If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Tuesday 4-23-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 1:49P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. RUCKSACK is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUCKSACK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
RUCKSACK
8/5
Claiming $6,250 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $9,400 • Post: 1:16P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR (NEW MEXICO BREDS NON WINNERS OF FOUR LIFETIME). THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED). NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MARCOMSNIGHTOUT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MARCOMSNIGHTOUT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TAX MON EY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). IRISH CREAM N KAFE: Horse has the highest a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
5
MARCOMSNIGHTOUT
4/1
MISTER PEPPERS - Can't wager on this runner in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint clash of late. The Equibase speed figures are going downward. I'm not wagering on this horse off of that trend. URBAN RENEWAL - The favorite is vulnerable here with the lack of works. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this entrant as a vulnerable contender. BAM WHAT - Hasn't been close to winning at all recently. Hard to support any animal with decreasing Equibase speed figures of 84/76/68.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 SUM SONG is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5800 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2018 - 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 WILDWOOD'S AFLEET 7/2
# 5 WILDWOODSUMMERTIME 3/1
# 2 THUNDERING RICHIE 9/2
WILDWOOD'S AFLEET looks decent to best this field. Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 72 avg - of late. This gelding has a strong win percent in dirt sprint races. With a very strong 61 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. WILDWOODSUMMERTIME - Could best this group based on the speed figure - 72 - of his last contest. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. THUNDERING RICHIE - Will almost certainly compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this field. Has been racing well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13860 Class Rating: 54
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 SHERRY BABE 7/2
# 8 EUROSADY 2/1
# 3 BILLIE G 6/1
SHERRY BABE has a very good shot to take this race. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. EUROSADY - Has run soundly when running a dirt sprint race. Will probably compete solidly in the pace contest which bodes well with this field.
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY - The jock and handler combination have a beneficial ROI when they unite. I like to see fast morning blow outs. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Grissom is giving this one Lasix for the first time. A really smart move. WILLINLILVILLIAN - Was in a $30,000 Maiden Optional Claiming race at Turf Paradise in the last race. That event had an Equibase class figure of 66 and she is moving down right here in this race. A certain solid contender.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TENGS WONDER (ML=8/5), #5 FOXY BY PROXY (ML=7/2), #6 LADY BURNELLE (ML=5/1),
TENGS WONDER - Finished second in her most recent race with a quite unimpressive speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. FOXY BY PROXY - I'm predicting a less than stellar go of it out of her this time around. LADY BURNELLE - 5/1 is too short of a price to take on this entrant.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 KEEPONROCKINMEBABY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
Comment