Saturday 4-27-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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MaxActionSports

NBA SAN ANTONIO SPURS +210

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Pure Lock

MLB PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES ‑170

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Mikey Sports

NBA PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +6.5 +100

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Team Underground

MLB MINNESOTA TWINS ‑1.5 ‑135

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R and R Totals

MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS/BOSTON RED SOX +105 u8.5

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Top Dog

NBA SAN ANTONIO SPURS +215

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne

Hawthorne - Race 4

$1 Exacta / 20 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1 Daily Double


Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 4:34P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHE IS GORGEOUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. LUCKY AT JUSTICE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROSIE BEAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). DANEIRA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth st art after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5
SHE IS GORGEOUS
8/5

7/2
4
LUCKY AT JUSTICE
3/1

6/1
6
ROSIE BEAR
9/2

7/1
1
DANEIRA
7/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
ROSIE BEAR
6

9/2
Front-runner
73

69

78.6

56.8

50.3
1
DANEIRA
1

7/2
Front-runner
65

62

66.8

57.4

49.9
4
LUCKY AT JUSTICE
4

3/1
Stalker
78

70

67.6

63.2

58.7
5
SHE IS GORGEOUS
5

8/5
Alternator/Stalker
80

69

64.6

71.2

68.2
2
BAYLOR
2

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

71

49.5

27.4

17.9
3
R FOUR O ONE K
3

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
73

70

42.0

39.4

28.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 8

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 8-9) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Claiming $16,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 4:42P
(RAIL AT 70 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE AND ONE HALF FURLONGS)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GET A VALENTINE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GET A VALENTINE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FIELD ADVANTAGE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BIBBO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
9
GET A VALENTINE
12/1

9/2
3
FIELD ADVANTAGE
6/1

5/1
4
BIBBO
8/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
GET A VALENTINE
9

12/1
Front-runner
89

78

116.8

89.0

78.5
4
BIBBO
4

8/1
Front-runner
99

83

102.3

83.8

72.3
8
NICHOLAS AND ME
8

8/1
Front-runner
94

96

92.0

76.2

59.7
11
ANY SUGAR HONEY
11

30/1
Front-runner
86

71

88.4

71.1

49.1
3
FIELD ADVANTAGE
3

6/1
Front-runner
93

91

83.6

87.4

79.4
1
SPARTY
1

12/1
Front-runner
91

90

73.8

70.2

53.2
7
IN ARREARS
7

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
95

102

80.6

69.2

66.2
10
FEARTHEFALCON
10

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
90

84

76.2

78.2

60.7
12
FLY E DUBAI
12

8/1
Trailer
97

90

80.8

85.7

80.7
5
SCOUT'S HONOR
5

4/1
Trailer
93

85

79.9

87.8

75.8
6
NOT A CHANCE
6

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
96

99

89.8

81.8

66.8
2
MINERS QUEST
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
100

95

86.9

70.9

58.9

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9400 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 27, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 RANSOM NOTE 8/1

# 7 OGEECHEE 5/2

# 8 THATLOOKONYERFACE 7/2

RANSOM NOTE looks very strong to best this group and is a very good value bet given the line at 8/1. OGEECHEE - Has decent Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Recorded a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. THATLOOKONYERFACE - Can't overlook the connections here, a 17 winning percentage, one of the most respectable at getting into the winner's circle. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Englehart running at this distance are the most competitive in this group.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 4:04pm - Stakes - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 94 Foxy J. G. S.

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 ZIPPER'S HERO (ML=6/1)
#13 TRACE OF GRACE (ML=10/1)
#5 BRONX BEAUTY (ML=3/1)
#1 SWEETEST YET (ML=15/1)


ZIPPER'S HERO - Rosado and Coletti teamed up together are a horseplayer's friend. TRACE OF GRACE - This mare seems to run pretty good after a layoff. Nice return on investment for this rider and trainer duet. Always watch out for the longer priced equine when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Gonzalez is reunited today with this horse after enjoying some pretty nice success riding in the past. Based on workouts, I look for this mare to run a big race. BRONX BEAUTY - This filly runs very well off of a vacation. A little change in scenery has got to do this one well. Reading the PP lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle on different ovals. When this rider and conditioner unite you have to take a look. Pennington and Margotta have been wonderful together. SWEETEST YET - A mare like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This mare should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed fig points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 ROSE TREE (ML=4/1), #8 TROLLEY RIDE (ML=5/1), #6 PHANTOM PROTON (ML=8/1),

ROSE TREE - Should take this one off your contenders list with the absence of early speed in that last route race. Would have to improve off that seventh place finish last time to make an impact here. TROLLEY RIDE - This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint contests. Difficult to invest in her in this event. PHANTOM PROTON - No favorable outcomes for this pony in a short distance race over the last sixty days tells me that this mare is in a thorny spot No value in playing this racer. Probably won't improve off that Apr 7th event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 ZIPPER'S HERO is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,9,13]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4 - Post: 1:57pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,700 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 NINA'S PATIENCE (ML=6/1)
#5 BRIDAL SHOWER (ML=5/2)
#1 DEFERENCE (ML=6/1)
#3 WILD CAT GRACE (ML=10/1)


NINA'S PATIENCE - Have to give this horse a long hard look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. Pimental drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this horse is in a good spot at this level. This mount ran out of the money at Gulfstream Park last time around the track on the soft turf. She should improve right here in this race without the off-track conditions. BRIDAL SHOWER - The February 28th race at Tampa Bay Downs was at a class level of (82). Dropping down in class ranks drastically, so she should be in a good spot. Jock hops back aboard after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding in the last race. That's always a green light. This racer collects a lot of dough per race. I believe she can increase that total in this event. DEFERENCE - Rider hops up on board after getting to know the horse by riding last time out. That's always a helpful angle. I like this racer. Should be familiar with this level since she ran against the same type last out at Tampa Bay Downs. WILD CAT GRACE - Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Jones enters her at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PROSPETTIVA D'ORO (ML=3/1), #6 U KNOW I B LION (ML=6/1),

PROSPETTIVA D'ORO - Difficult to bet on any horse in a short distance race at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. This pony ran a common speed rating last race out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's event running that number. U KNOW I B LION - Hard to play this filly today since the affair isn't limited to three year olds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 NINA'S PATIENCE to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [1,3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
4 with [1,3,5] with [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
4 with [1,3,5] with [1,3,5] with [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[4,5] with [1,3,4,5] with [1,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5,8] with [1,2,3,4,5,8] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/27/19, OP, Race 8, 4.56 CT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $91,000.
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR ARKANSAS STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 685, Win Percent 24.53, $1 ROI 0.76, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Le Pin (IRE) 20-1 Smith K J Chatters Benard TW
099.7642 3 Bebop Shoes 3-1 Court J K Fires William H. E 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
099.3587 7 Absolutely Aiden 5/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. JL 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
098.7511 4 Carter Cat 6-1 Eramia R E Asmussen Steven M. SFC 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
098.7050 1 Candyrock 5-1 Bridgmohan J V Mason Ingrid 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
097.3117 8 J. E.'s Handmedown 10-1 Vazquez R A Altamirano Elueterio J
097.0524 5 Firehorn 8-1 Lara E Morse Randy L. 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
096.1675 2 Earnednevergiven 6-1 Elliott S Vance Thomas D. 80.40 2.09 18.92 7 37
095.3687 9 Bandit Point 15-1 Harr K Cline Robert N. 14.00 1.64 45.45 5 11
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 9 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Carries Apprentice Weight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 39

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON $8,000 SINCE APRIL 26, 2018. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 4, 2018 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 DIVA DEL SOL 15/1

# 1 ALIADA 2/1

# 2 JALDA ARRIBA 6/1

DIVA DEL SOL looks to be a formidable contender and is a very good value-based bet given the 15/1 line. She should have a strong outing versus this easier field. ALIADA - Handler has very solid win rate (16 percent) at this distance and surface. Has strong front-end speed and ought to fare admirably versus this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

04/27/19, SA, Race 7, 4.15 PT
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $67,000.
Claiming Price $40,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING ORSTARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000
$1 Exacta /$0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 7-8-9)/ $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 HRR - (RED 2,6,9: 1/1. BLK 4,5,7,10: 6/5. GRN 1,3,8: 10/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 460, Win Percent 23.70, $1 ROI 0.79, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Kylemore 5-1 Fuentes R Baltas Richard WL 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
098.6525 2 Hootie 6-1 Puglisi I McCarthy Michael W. T
098.1095 9 Twentytwentyvision 3-1 Talamo J Puype Mike 9.40 1.06 33.78 25 74
098.1090 7 Move Over (GB) 8-1 Espinoza V Palma Hector O. JS
097.3241 5 Jungle Warfare 6-1 Van Dyke D Hollendorfer Jerry FE 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
097.1638 4 Red King 4-1 Gryder A T D'Amato Philip C 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
096.1665 3 Lazzam (GB) 10-1 Blanc B Garcia Victor L.
095.4156 10 War Chest 8-1 Pereira T J Meah Anna 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
094.8145 1 Major Cabbie 12-1 Desormeaux K J Hendricks Dan L. 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
094.2936 8 Plain Wrap 50-1 Delgadillo A Sierra Javier Jose 36.80 1.13 28.08 41 146
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 9 [All Surfaces] Last Race Not Claimed By Trainer With Better Win Percent
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 10 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 661, Win Percent 31.77, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Kylemore 5-1 Fuentes R Baltas Richard WL 86.20 1.15 22.22 64 288
099.3673 2 Hootie 6-1 Puglisi I McCarthy Michael W. T 86.20 1.15 22.22 64 288
098.6797 4 Red King 4-1 Gryder A T D'Amato Philip EC 37.80 1.27 39.44 28 71
098.0836 9 Twentytwentyvision 3-1 Talamo J Puype Mike 103.20 1.23 23.66 53 224
098.0205 5 Jungle Warfare 6-1 Van Dyke D Hollendorfer Jerry F 103.20 1.23 23.66 53 224
097.2530 7 Move Over (GB) 8-1 Espinoza V Palma Hector O. JS 103.20 1.23 23.66 53 224
096.5909 3 Lazzam (GB) 10-1 Blanc B Garcia Victor L. 48.90 1.09 34.62 90 260
095.3464 10 War Chest 8-1 Pereira T J Meah Anna 103.20 1.23 23.66 53 224
095.2712 1 Major Cabbie 12-1 Desormeaux K J Hendricks Dan L. 103.20 1.23 23.66 53 224
094.1204 8 Plain Wrap 50-1 Delgadillo A Sierra Javier Jose 40.40 1.06 34.23 115 336
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Turf to Main Today
P# 9 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Less Than Today
P# 10 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 8 [All Dirt] Last Race Not 3rd Race After 45 Days Off