Service Plays Friday 4/26/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

KANSAS CITY +115


L.A. ANGELS @ KANSAS CITY | 4/26 | 8:15 PM EDT
2:29 AM
After beating the Yankees in Anaheim late Thursday night, the Angels, who have lost nine of 11, flew to Kansas City, where they catch a rested Royals team that had Thursday off. Los Angeles starter Tyler Skaggs is coming off his worst start of the season, giving up four runs on seven hits in 4.0 innings at the White Sox. My simulations say that the Royals win this game more than 50 percent of the time. Take K.C.

29-15 IN LAST 44 MLB PICKS | +1285
26-11 IN LAST 37 KC ML PICKS | +1804

3-0 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS | +330


MILWAUKEE +175


MILWAUKEE @ N.Y. METS | 4/26 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:48 PM
My numbers see the Brewers beating the Mets nearly half the time in their Friday showdown, providing a massive overlay on the sizable road underdog. Milwaukee is 5-2 in the past seven starts by Chase Anderson and 20-6 following an off day. The Mets are just 6-16 in the last 22 home starts by Jacob deGrom.

29-15 IN LAST 44 MLB PICKS | +1285
27-21 IN LAST 48 NYM ML PICKS | +852

4-1 IN LAST 5 MIL ML PICKS | +323


OAKLAND +116


OAKLAND @ TORONTO | 4/26 | 7:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:43 PM
My data sees the Athletics knocking off the Blue Jays in nearly 60 percent of simulations for their Friday meeting, giving us major value on the slight road underdog. Oakland has won five straight games behind Mike Fiers when the pitcher goes on full rest and is on an 8-2 run in road games against opponents that have losing records.

29-15 IN LAST 44 MLB PICKS | +1285
30-19 IN LAST 49 TOR ML PICKS | +1191

11-7 IN LAST 18 OAK ML PICKS | +339

[dawggy]

#1 Sports MLB Selections for Friday, April 26th

500,000* Major League 10-Run Blowout of the Month!!!!!

St Louis Cardinals - 145


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MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
Atlanta - 165
LA Dodgers - 170
Baltimore + 180
Chicago White Sox - 130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


TORONTO -130


OAKLAND @ TORONTO | 4/26 | 7:07 PM EDT
12:38 PM
A's starter Mike Fiers is winless in three career starts in Toronto, and there is no reason to believe he will pick up his first victory Friday night. Tonight is Vlad Guerrero Jr.’s debut, and the Rogers Centre will be rocking. After the Jays got swept in two games by the sub-.500 Giants, I look for Toronto to be locked in in this three-game homestand. The A's are coming off a sweep of the Rangers, and only regression makes sense. The Blue Jays are very fairly priced here. Take Toronto.

20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS | +1269
4-0 IN LAST 4 TOR ML PICKS | +469

4-3 IN LAST 7 OAK ML PICKS | +30


WASHINGTON -180


SAN DIEGO @ WASHINGTON | 4/26 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:31 PM
This may be the most lopsided pitching matchup in favor for the Nationals the entire season. Max Scherzer's ERA against the Padres (2.34) is his fourth best against any team. For San Diego, Matt Strahm enters the contest with a 15.43 ERA against Washington. I expect Scherzer to bounce back from a 1-3 start and help the Nationals win this game at home handedly. Take this line before it closes over 2/1.

20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS | +1269
6-2 IN LAST 8 SD ML PICKS | +455


PITTSBURGH +143


PITTSBURGH @ L.A. DODGERS | 4/26 | 10:10 PM EDT
12:22 PM
With the Pirates in the midst of a five-game losing streak, we have a great opportunity to bet against the Dodgers at home here. In his last outing against the Dodgers, Chris Archer was phenomenal, allowing one earned run over 7.0 innings and striking out eight. The takeaway: we’re receiving great odds to tail the Pirates' ace in a game that I see closer than the oddsmakers.

20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS | +1269
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAD ML PICKS | +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Hot Shot Sports

MLB
3* #961 Cubs -105 (Hendricks)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (951) Miami Marlins at (952) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Apr 26 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 8.5 (+109)

View Analysis

Not crazy optimistic this game even goes tonight with the weather looking pretty grim with wind and storms expected...but this is one of the aspects why we make this a 4% hopefully getting this one in fully. The wind is projected to be well into the mid to high teens MPH going out to right and right center....with gusts and slight possibility of 20+mph seen at times.

Urena v. Eichkoff tonight in this matchup and aids our Over bet in my estimation...as Urena is lefty and will like face an entire lineup of RH batters save for Harper. Oddly enough the splits for each of these fellas help us in this spot as well. Harper has hit 80 points higher BA against lefties thus far for the Phils...at .308 with 3 doubles, 2 HRs, 6 RBIs, 5 BBs/1HBP, and 1.091.OPS. Facing lefties he has 185 wRC+ v. 105 against righties...not common but yet another benefit of the truly great players.

Add to this the fact Urena ain't at all scary facing lefties as a lefty....read: anti-Big Unit...he does K more lefties, but also allows as many hits, doubles, MORE HRs, many more BBs, and as a better view...his advanced road stats...



BA/WHIP/BABIP/FIP/xFIP

% .3642.63.333 10.619.27



Eickhoff is a solid back and his ERA is almost exactly playable as his FIP is 2 full points better...however regression to the mean is likely for such a guy...who will be lucky to find spots to start in a rotation of Arrieta, Nola, Elfin, Velasquez, and Pivetta.

[dawggy]

TONY FINN

BASEBALL PLAYS

FINN FRI NITE MLB PRIVATE PLAY #2
Game: (963) Pittsburgh Pirates at (964) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Apr 26 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 7.5 (-112)

View Analysis

PLAY: Under the Total of 7.5 runs (good to 7 runs)
4% game rating

LIST PITCHERS: Archer and Ryu

Don't be put off by yet another groin injury to the Dodgers left-handed import Ryu.

The Pirates send Archer to the hill on Friday night with the aim of winning a low scoring affair at Chavez Ravine.

For those that haven't had an opportunity to watch Archer pitch this season and are up late this first of three weekend days filled with good MLB action should find a 10-minute period to view the veteran right-hander complete a half inning.

Thjrow Archer’s last outing to the side. The right-hander fell in a 3-2 contest to the San Francisco Giants --- everything that Archer surrendered in last week's loss was via a poor placed pitch to Buster Posey -- who squared up the mistake and hit a three-run homer. It was a fastball that simply was middle-located... catching far too much of the plate.

Archer pitched the game on seven days’ rest, a negative when examing Archer's career trends.. Al due to him coming off a suspension. He'll be on regular rest on Friday - pithing on his successful and regular routine,” in a venue that Archer and his opposition Ryu have had uber-success.

Chris Archer is pitching as efficient as at any point in his career. The 30 year-old is as trustworthy as they come when knowing how to pitch at specific points in a nine-inning chess match. His microscopic ERA and WHIP are a result of his elite swing and miss stuff -- which has resulted into a 12.00 K/9. And his 3.36 xFIP is a much more accurate measure of his runs per game average but the Bucs are defensively sound behind Archer, are a defensive fit to Chavez and while Archer can't possibly sustain his current 92.6% strand rate -- a big reason for the high left-on-base percentage is Archer's savvy understanding of game situations.

Take in an inning or two of tonight's Las Vegas feature sporting event -- as most locals won't be able to stomach the Sharks and the Ave's in San Jose playing in the same time frame as Ravine contest. Note that Archer's arsenal, pitch menu, is more expanded than in year's past. Archer, past his prime, has found another gear with his fastball. And he is using the four-seamer nearly 50 percent of the time... mixing in his solid slider (36%) of the time along with a change-up that offers a near 10-mph differential from his fastball.



Ryu's plan of attack against opposing team lineups is always different. And the time he spends, has spent mind you, watching tape of the opposing hitters and examining the data available for each hitters hot and cold spot above the plate has made him, literally, millions of dollars.



Consistency is an understatement for what Ryu has accomplished in his MLB career. The lefty has nearly 100 big league outings in his days in the United States. And his 8.1 K/9 to a solid 2.2 BB/9 doesn't equate him as, or allow him to hang out with the elite, but his 11.6 swinging strike rate of a year ago is because of Ryu's preperation and baseball IQ.



The Pirates have a ridiculous dichotomy when it comes to taking the batters box this season. The Caveat is the differential in successes, and failures, versus right-handed and left-handed pitching. And the caveat is that Pittsburgh simply isn't an offense that is going to put a large number of crooked numbers on the scoreboard -- not with the current lineup and the roles inside of the said lineup.



The Bucs are slashing-- and note that it is nothing special -- .231/.307/.378 with a.686 OPS versus RHP. Versus lefties, across 211 at bats and 23 games Pittsburgh ranks 30th out of 30 MLB offensives slashing .219/.272/.316 with a.588 OPS and a whopping 4 (not a typo the Giants have hit only four home runs this season versus southpaws) and just four total doubles -- and have scored just 15 runs when lefties have been on the hill in those 23 games and 200-plus at bats in 2019.



First pitch teams at Dodgers Stadium tonight find conditions nearly perfect for the pitchers -- 75 degrees with a light breeze blowing out to center field. Those of you who have followed my the last four years know that I have reliable sources for Game #1 umpires, informatin that is not availabe to the public, and not but a pair of hours before first pitch. You all also know I won't reveal, by name, the scheduled umpires for series Game #1's but am happy to report that tonights slated HP umpire is pitcher-friendly.



UNDER the TOTAL of 7.5 runs

FINN FRI NITE MLB PRIVATE PLAY #1
Game: (979) New York Yankees at (980) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Apr 26 2019 10:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Yankees -120

View Analysis

PLAY: New York Yankees -120 (good to -140)
4% game rating

LIST STARTING PITCHER Paxton in tonight's late pitch play.

There is not a large number, in total, variables that need to be discussed with this Friday Night Lights investment. The Giants are barely above the .200 batting average mark at ATT Park, their very own frinedly confines. And in as a team are slashing a minor league .226/278/.353 versus southpaws this season. The Giants have hit seven home runs... yes.. a mere seven home runs in 337 at-bats this early season.

And the result of last night's Big Ticket loss in Los Angeles, two poorly placed pitches by Tanaka and a pair of minor league defensive goofs by the Bronx Bombers -- this second rotation for the Yankees has done nothing short of impress.

And tonight's matchup of "in his prime" versus "past his prime" is an intriguing affair that pits two lefties in Paxton and Bumgarner.

LH'er James Paxton is coming off two consecutive --- back-to-back 12 K performances -- and the Bronx Bombers coaching staff are salavating at the matchup tonight against the soone-to-be's and the once-were's ---

Paxton dominates a porous Giants offense and is not only a sportsbook investment tonight -- those of you whom take part in Fanduel are recommended to spend the salary on Paxton tonight -- as he is in line to execute a complete game shutout in familar waters -- weather conditions as Seattle -- in a Yankees victory by margin.

NEW YORK YANKEES -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider MLB) - Blue Jays/Athletics Over 9
Mets/Brewers Under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider MLB) - Reds/Cardinals Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider MLB) - Mets/Brewers Over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

3* 1st Round GOY - Golden State -9 1/2 -114

2* St Louis -143

3* Houston -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MidAmerican Sports

MLB
Phillies -1.5 runs (+120)
Pirates +158
Brewers +163
Astros -120
Mariners/Rangers Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsvipvegas 4/26


Baltimore (+171) big dog play
milwaukee (+164) big dog play
philly -1.5 (+115)
washington -1.5 (+110)
dodgers -1.5 (+115)
torronto -1 (+103)
chc -107
san francisco (+120)
cincy (+135)
seattle -1.5 (+125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc mlb 4-26

7 Unit-st.louis-140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason sharpe mlb 4-26

6 Unit-toronto-125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - San Francisco Giants +120