Tuesday 4-30-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

04/30/19, CD, Race 6, 3.18 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 CLAIMING. Purse $42,000.
Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (6-7-8) - Pick 4 (6-7-8-9)
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Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 93, Win Percent 31.18, $1 ROI 1.25, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 1 Mad Grace 4-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. FEC 66.60 1.83 45.00 18 40
099.4322 12 Even Beat 6-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 60.20 1.46 36.92 24 65
098.3772 9 Infuse 3-1 Leparoux J R Hartman Chris A. 62.40 1.37 34.12 29 85
097.1602 5 Dial Me 5-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Drury. Jr. Thomas T 60.20 1.46 36.92 24 65
096.6741 4 Cubs Win 7/2 Lanerie C J Stewart Dallas 62.40 1.37 34.12 29 85
096.4488 10 Domonette 5-1 Saez G McGee Paul J. SL 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
095.2411 7 Bella Belle 15-1 Geroux F Foley Gregory D. W 84.60 2.28 51.52 17 33
095.1757 11 Arch Avenue 15-1 Baze T Barkley Jason 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
092.5538 6 Lucky Move 15-1 Saez L Hancock John A. J 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
092.3008 2 My Wynter Rose 15-1 Radosevich J Short Tommy C. 62.40 1.37 34.12 29 85
091.7630 13 Bella Bella 5-1 Mena M Forster Grant T. 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
091.1526 3 Charmin Dixie 12-1 Gaffalione T Sims Philip A. 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
086.3060 8 Ellens Birthday 30-1 Padron-Barcenas J Medley Joseph A. 84.80 2.41 53.33 16 30
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Finish
P# 12 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K
P# 9 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Sprint To Route Today
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $75K
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Sprint To Route Today
P# 10 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Lower Purse Than Today
P# 11 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Sprint To Route Today
P# 13 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Higher Purse Than Today
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If Race Is Off Turf
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Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 371, Win Percent 22.91, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 1 Mad Grace 4-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. FC 11.40 1.36 37.50 6 16
099.8553 12 Even Beat 6-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. S 11.40 1.36 37.50 6 16
099.1504 10 Domonette 5-1 Saez G McGee Paul J. EL 55.80 1.16 39.55 70 177
098.8005 9 Infuse 3-1 Leparoux J R Hartman Chris A. 8.20 1.15 25.93 7 27
098.3943 5 Dial Me 5-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Drury. Jr. Thomas T 11.40 1.36 37.50 6 16
098.3686 4 Cubs Win 7/2 Lanerie C J Stewart Dallas 8.20 1.15 25.93 7 27
097.8164 7 Bella Belle 15-1 Geroux F Foley Gregory D. W
096.4288 13 Bella Bella 5-1 Mena M Forster Grant T. 11.40 1.36 37.50 6 16
096.0993 11 Arch Avenue 15-1 Baze T Barkley Jason
096.0870 6 Lucky Move 15-1 Saez L Hancock John A. J
094.4941 2 My Wynter Rose 15-1 Radosevich J Short Tommy C.
093.9118 3 Charmin Dixie 12-1 Gaffalione T Sims Philip A.
088.1089 8 Ellens Birthday 30-1 Padron-Barcenas J Medley Joseph A.
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
P# 12 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
P# 10 [All Surfaces] Horse Best Earnings
P# 9 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
P# 13 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
FREE

Boston vs. Columbus, 04/30/2019 19:00 EDT

Money Line: +100 Columbus

Sportsbook:
Bodog

The Blue Jackets accomplished a split at Boston. Back on home ice, I expect them to be at their best for a pivotal Game 3. The Jackets dominated Tampa in the two games here in the first round. They outscored the Lightning by a 10-4 margin in those games. Going back a bit further finds that they've won seven of their past eight here. The Jackets are 40-21 (+11.2) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Consider Columbus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian’s 9* MLB Under Cover Winner

Cincinnati vs. NY Mets, 04/30/2019 19:10 EDT

Money Line: -118 Cincinnati

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Reds are a .500 team at best but Luis Castillo will be money all year as I see him being a Cy Young contender. Jason Vargas despite his last two starts is a very weak starter and a guy the Reds can hit. Luis is 3-1 with a 1.23 ERA and that is pitching in a hitter friendly park. Lay the juice today.

Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Reds are 5-1 in Castillos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Road team is 8-2 in Meals' last 10 games behind home plate.

Invest 9 units on the Reds Rotation #953

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 Star NBA Free Play

Boston vs. Milwaukee, 04/30/2019 20:00 EDT

Point Spread: +7½/-105 Boston

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Fp: Celtics with the 20 point blowout in game 1 have a real shot to take this game outright! Getting the 7:5 for insurance making Boston my nba free play !

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Bob Valentino

Tuesday comp play is Under the total in the Rockets-Warriors game.

These teams could only combine for 204 total points in Game One on Sunday at Oracle Arena, as the game held well Under the posted price of 224 points.

That marked the 3rd straight meeting between the teams that has landed Under the total, as the Under for the year is 4-1 when the Rockets and the Warriors meet.

Dating back to the playoffs last season, these teams have landed Under the total in 9 of their last 10 showdowns, with the Under 5-1 the last 6 meetings at Oracle Arena.

Houston has now played 5 of their 6 playoff games Under the total, and they are on an overall 6-1 Under run their last 7 games played since the regular campaign.

Golden State has split their last 10 games overall, with 5 landing Over and 5 landing Under.

Until we actually see an Over between these teams - and both are certainly capable of lighting up the scoreboard - I think you keep riding the Under until the Over actually materializes.

Rockets-Warriors Under in Game Two.

3* HOUSTON-GOLDEN STATE UNDER

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Dwayne Connors

Houston and Golden State delivered a gem, and in the end the Warriors had enough to hold off the Rockets, 104-100 in a game that saw Houston cover as the +5 1/2 point underdog.


James Harden, Chris Paul and Mike D'Antoni all voiced their concerns over fouls they felt were not called against Golden State. The Harden three-point shot in the closing seconds was the straw that broke the camels back, and Paul even picked up a second technical in the closing seconds and was ejected from the contest!


I am not going to get into a debate over how the refs called the contest, but I do think that it is now in Houston's head that they are NOT going to get the calls - at least not at Oracle Arena - and I think that here in Game Two we will see the Dubs not only win this game here on Tuesday, but cover it as well.


Both Steph Curry and Klay Thompson are dealing with ankle sprains, but when you have a guy like Kevin Durant on your side, things tend to get a little easier. Durant made it 5 straight postseason games with over 30 points scored - he had 35 -, as he played 43 minutes in the Sunday victory.


Draymond Green stepped up big on Sunday with 14 points, 9 boards and 9 assists, while on the Houston side, Harden did net 35 points, but he did not shoot it particularly well, as he was just 9-of-28 overall, and only 4-for-16 from behind the arc. The frontcourt combo of Clint Capela and P.J. Tucker could only muster a combined 4 points on a 1-for-6 shooting day! Perhaps that upper respiratory issue is lingering a little longer than Capela is letting on?


I still feel we are in for a long series, but I think Golden State is heading to Houston up 2 games to none. Lay it tonight with the Warriors.

4* GOLDEN STATE

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Top Dog

NBA BOSTON CELTICS +260

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Golden Lock Sports

NHL BOSTON BRUINS +100

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DIY Sports Betting Systems

NBA HOUSTON ROCKETS +200

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MaxActionSports

NBA HOUSTON ROCKETS +195

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Jack Jones

Apr 30 '19, 7:40 PM in 13m
MLB | Rockies vs Brewers
Play on: Rockies -112 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Colorado Rockies -112
The Colorado Rockies have a big edge on the mound today that should help them bounce back from a Game 1 loss to Milwaukee tonight. And there’s a good chance that the Brewers’ best player in Christian Yelich will sit again today.
German Marquez is 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in six starts this season, picking up where he left off last year. Marquez has been virtually untouchable away from Coors Field, going 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA and 0.545 WHIP in three starts.
Jhoulys Chacin has struggled this season for the Brewers, going 2-3 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in six starts. And he’s supposed to be one of their best starters. It is the one weakness the Brewers have, which is their rotation.
The Rockies are 5-1 in Marquez’s six starts this season. Colorado is 20-7 in Marquez’s last 27 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall. The Brewers are 0-4 in Chacin’s last four starts. Bet the Rockies Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Apr 30 '19, 8:05 PM in 38m
NBA | Celtics vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -7½ -103 at betonline

NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 1989 (our NBA database's history), underdogs of 2 points or more off of a win that went under the total are just 105-158-5 (39.9%) ATS in the playoffs. - Fade the Celtics

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Doug Upstone

Apr 30 '19, 8:05 PM in 38m
NBA | Celtics vs Bucks
Play on: OVER 219 -109

In the NBA Playoffs tonight, Play Over on teams when the total is 210 to 219.5 like BOSTON, after six or more consecutive wins, playing only five times or less games in 14 days. In the last 23 years, this rare situations is 30-9 OVER.

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Cole Faxon

Apr 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 43m
MLB | Orioles vs White Sox
Play on: Orioles +142 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on Orioles +142

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Mike Williams

Apr 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 43m
MLB | Orioles vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox -145 at Mirage

1* on White Sox -145