Service Plays Tuesday 4/30/19

[dawggy]

CAL SPORTSBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (957) Colorado Rockies at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Apr 30 2019 7:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Colorado Rockies -114

#957 4% Colorado w/ Marquez -114 Milwaukee w/ Chacin 7:40 PM
Colorado came into this series winners of 9 of 12 but dropped game #1. No surprise as the Brewers were tossing their best pitcher YTD, Zach Davies, while Colorado was bringing Freeman off the IL and he allowed 4 runs in the first inning. Now the Rockies are starting their best P to date, German Marquez, who in 6 starts has allowed 31 hits with a 37-10 K-w ratio while posting a 0.41 ERA in his 3 road starts. The Brewers counter with Jhoulys Chacin who is 0-3 with a 7.64 ERA his last 4 starts. Despite getting held to one run last night the Rockies are batting .280 the last 10 days while the Brewers are hitting .224.The Rockies have won 6 straight as a favorite

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


DR. CHUCKBASKETBALL PLAYS

• Game: (571) Boston Celtics at (572) Milwaukee Bucks
  Date/Time: Apr 30 2019 8:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Milwaukee Bucks -5.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis

[B*mb07]

Killer Sources Philly Guy - Red Sox Astros Reds Phillies

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
mlb
10 oakland
7 oakland over
7 padres

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
nba
10 bucks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


UNDER 8.5 N.Y. YANKEES @ ARIZONA | 4/30 | 9:40 PM EDT


6:40 PM
The Yankees have somehow managed to keep winning despite having roughly 80 percent of their Triple-A team on the Major League roster, but Zack Greinke is a tough matchup for anybody, including this team. Still, even if I lean toward Arizona on the ML, I don't love the price. I do like the Under, however.

11-4-1 IN LAST 16 MLB O/U PICKS | +644
7-1-1 IN LAST 9 NYY O/U PICKS | +591


UNDER 8.5 SAN DIEGO @ ATLANTA | 4/30 | 7:20 PM EDT


6:38 PM
Even with the addition of Manny Machado, this Padres offense hasn't been great in 2019, and not having Fernando Tatis Jr in the lineup won't help. Still, I'm not super-confident in the Braves lineup against Chris Paddack, and with the wind blowing in directly from center, conditions should benefit the pitchers.

11-4-1 IN LAST 16 MLB O/U PICKS | +644
4-1 IN LAST 5 ATL O/U PICKS | +299


GOLDEN ST. -5


HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT
6:35 PM
I don't care which ref is working the game, nor do I care about the Rockets complaining about officiating in Game 1. I look at this matchup and I see a line that's moved 1.5 points in the wrong direction, providing plenty of value on the Warriors.

73-43 IN LAST 116 NBA PICKS | +2558
3-0 IN LAST 3 GS ATS PICKS | +300


MILWAUKEE -7.5


BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE | 4/30 | 8:00 PM EDT
6:34 PM
Everyone's convinced the Celtics have already won this series after what happened in Game 1, but I'm not nearly so sure. I don't expect the Bucks to shoot as poorly Tuesday night, nor do I expect the Celtics will make over 40% of their three again.

73-43 IN LAST 116 NBA PICKS | +2558
3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


HOUSTON +5.5


HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT
4:34 PM
Houston looked like the better team in Game 1, but came up short by four points. the Rockets nearly won despite shooting 41.9 percent from the field, while the Warriors shot 50.7 percent with a 52-39 edge in rebounds. Houston's defense was No. 2 in the NBA post All-Star break and the Rockets should step up their intensity Tuesday in Game 2.


TORONTO +133


TORONTO @ L.A. ANGELS | 4/30 | 10:07 PM EDT
4:10 PM
Riding the Vald Jr. train. The Blue Jays front office, fans and most importantly the players are so excited about this ultra talented 20-year old rookie. I have not seen such fan fare since "The Kid" Ken Griffey Jr. first step on the field of a big league game. Toronto swept Oakland with a four-run come from behind 11th inning victory on Sunday. The Angels are 12-17 down -5.3 units with no bright lights ahead. Griffin Canning, a 22-year-old rookie out of UCLA will get the start for the Angels. Canning has made a strong run through the minors and will be a good one for the Angels for years to come. But tonight he is going to try and step in from of the Vlad Jr. train.

4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +400
8-5 IN LAST 13 LAA ML PICKS | +271

3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR ML PICKS | +187


CINCINNATI -120[/B]


CINCINNATI @ N.Y. METS | 4/30 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:52 PM
Reds starter Luis Castilo is coming into his own. In his last outing, he managed to hold Atlanta scoreless over six innings. Castillo now has an ERA of 1.23 and a whip of 0.95. At this rate, we are were looking at the potential 2019 NL Cy Young Award winner laying just -120. Mets starter Jason Vargas has an ERA of 7.20 and didn't last five innings in his last performance.

4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +400
4-1 IN LAST 5 CIN ML PICKS | +370

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

NBA Playoffs
8:05 PM EST
Rotation #571-572
Celtics +7.5 over Bucks
MLB
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #951-952
Cardinals -110 over Nationals
Wainwright/Sanchez

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

nba
5* Milwaukee

At 8:05 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston. The Bucks own the best record in the NBA this season, but didn't play like it in Game 1 of this series. The Celtics blew out Milwaukee, 112-90, to take a 1-0 lead in this quarterfinals match-up. The entire Bucks' starting line-up shot the ball poorly, as not one player hit 50% of his shots, and the five starters combined to go 15-50, 30%. As a team, the Bucks were 31-89, 34%. In contrast, the Celtics' starters combined to shoot 34-64, 53%, while their full team was 47-87, 54%. Not surprisingly, the Bucks lost by 22, which was their worst defeat this entire season. However, there is reason for optimism. First, Milwaukee has generally bounced back strong off poor offensive efforts this season. Indeed, in the regular season, the Bucks had five SU/ATS losses, in which they shot less than 40%. But following each of those SU/ATS losses, the Bucks were a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS, and covered the point spread by an average of 9.3 ppg. That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday night. As does the fact that #4-seeded teams have cashed just 33% (18-36-2 ATS) since 1993 off an upset road win in the Playoffs. Moreover, .687 (or better) teams -- like Milwaukee -- are 100% perfect, 10-0 ATS, in the Playoffs since 2006 as favorites of -5+ points, if they were off exactly one loss, and lost that previous game at home by 7+ points. The Bucks also fall into 23-0, 62-21, 46-11, 100-50, 145-87, 94-42 and 25-1 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB, 8u: 951 STL-.5+110 1st 5. STL-1.5+150g. 954 NYM+105 1st 5. NYM+110g. 974 MIA+175 1st 5. MIA+180g. 957 COL-.5+100 1st 5. COL-1.5+140g.

[swaminator]

Marc Lawrence Tuesday MLB Key Play - 3* play on the NY Yankees w/Sabathia
Edges -
NYA: Sabathia 6-0 last six team-starts during April, and 2.40 ERA with 0.93 WHIP this season …
AZ 2-10 last 12 games versus AL East foes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JM

The Champ's Pythagorean System Picks For 4/30

Pick #1: [MLB] 4.5* Star: Reds

Pick #2: [MLB] 1.5* Star: Braves

Pick #3: [MLB] 1* Star: Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel


KANSAS CITY +1.5


TAMPA BAY @ KANSAS CITY | 4/30 | 8:15 PM EDT
5:14 PM
In this matchup last week, Blake Snell struggled a bit in his return from a foot injury, allowing three runs while failing to get through five innings. meanwhile, Royals starter Jakob Junis showed signs of becoming the reliable starter they had hoped for -- he gave up one run on four hits in five innings. This is a value price (-110) for pocketing 1.5 runs in the rematch Tuesday.

4-3 LAST 7 MLB SIDES | +123

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to Black

Milw-7.5