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7-Unit Play. Take #577-578 Portland/Denver GAME TOTAL UNDER 219.5 (Wednesday, May 1 at 9:00 PM ET)
Take Portland/Denver GAME TOTAL UNDER as my 7-Unit NBA Smash for Wednesday night. This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and I expect both teams to step up defensively after playing very little defense in Game 1 of this series. Both of these teams have 2 of the lowest pace of plays in the NBA and Denver has allowed just 103.1 points per game at home this season. Denver has also allowed just 102.4 points per game over their last 5 games and you can expect them to step up defensively after allowing Portland to shoot 51.9% in Game 1. You can also expect Portland to step up defensively after allowing Denver to shoot 50.6% against them in Game 1. Opponents have shot just 32.2% against Denver from beyond the arc at home this season and the over/under is 4-13 for Denver in their last 17 home games. Portland must also step up defensively to have any legitimate shot at a win here tonight and I would not be surprised to see this game go under the posted total tonight by 14+ points. The over/under is 8-18 for Denver in their last 26 games after putting up 100 points or more in their previous game and the over/under is 9-20 for Denver in their last 29 games when their opponent puts up 100 points or more in their previous game. Play the UNDER as we move to 6-0 the last 6 days in the NBA.
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