Service Plays Tuesday 5/7/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis
4 Unit Philly +6

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Strike Point Sports
3 Unit Port +4.5

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Alan Harris
4 Unit philly +6

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Tony George
3 Unit under 211.5 tor/philly

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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider MLB Adding) - Top Play Seattle Mariners +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB, 8u: 913 CHW+115 1st 5. CHW+120g. 918 BAL+165 1st 5. BAL+170g. 926 PIT-.5+120 1st 5. PIT-1.5+160g. 920 TOR+132 1st 5. TOR+137g

11th: MLB, 8u: 903 PHI-.5+140 1st 5. PHI-1.5+180g. 905 MIA+135 1st 5. MIA-140g. 923 KC+200 1st 5. KC+205g.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


N.Y. METS -152


N.Y. METS @ SAN DIEGO | 5/07 | 10:10 PM EDT
1:30 PM
We bet against rookie Cal Quantrill and the Padres in his last outing, and we have no choice to bet against them again Tuesday night in San Diego. The bottom line is, this kid is going up against a phenom in Noah Syndergaard. Thor is coming off a complete-game shutout against the Reds and is well equipped to pull a similar feat against the Padres tonight. In fact, he has only given up two runs in his past two outings against them along with 14 strikeouts. Mets as a small favorite are the play.

33-17 IN LAST 50 MLB ML PICKS | +1193
7-3 IN LAST 10 SD ML PICKS | +375

4-1 IN LAST 5 NYM ML PICKS | +300


UNDER 10.5 SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 5/07 | 8:40 PM EDT


1:27 PM
I totally understand the altitude factor in Colorado, but this total is pretty steep. Madison Bumgarner, despite having a 1-4 record this season, is still an elite pitcher even this deep into his career. His track record against the Rockies is phenomenal. In his last two starts against them he has given up just two total runs and the average total runs per game came in a 5. Antonio Senzatela on the other side of the bump for the Rockies is going for his fourth straight victory against the Giants and all of those games resulted in the Under. Too good of a pitching matchup for the Over to hit tonight. I like a tight seven- or eight-run ballgame Tuesday night in the mountains.

38-24-1 IN LAST 63 MLB PICKS | +868


CHI. CUBS -161


MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 5/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
1:26 PM
Initially when I saw this line, I thought it was fifth starter day for the Cubs. After losing an embarrassing game to these Marlins last night in the ninth, I like the Cubbies to bounce back strong and continue their dominance in the month of May. In their last 10 games head-to-head, the Cubbies have more than doubled the Marlins by 3.3 runs per contest. This disparity shouldn't be overlooked. This line should be closer to -200. Take the discount.

33-17 IN LAST 50 MLB ML PICKS | +1193
10-3 IN LAST 13 CHC ML PICKS | +660

3-1 IN LAST 4 MIA ML PICKS | +200


WASHINGTON -110


WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE | 5/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
1:24 PM
Getting Strasburg and the Nationals at even money against rookie Adrian Houser is an absolute steal. Strasburg has been an average of a -146 his last three starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee is riding a four-game winning streak and is a bit overvalued. The Nationals are the play on the road Tuesday night.

33-17 IN LAST 50 MLB ML PICKS | +1193
8-2 IN LAST 10 MIL ML PICKS | +610


DETROIT +120


L.A. ANGELS @ DETROIT | 5/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
1:23 PM
This line is a disgrace to Daniel Norris and the Tigers. The Angels are on game one of a nine-game road trip and they are giving 22-year-old Griffin Canning the start who has never pitched on the road in his MLB career before. The Tigers are well-rested and are a much better team so far this season at home. I'll take the five year veteran at home plus money against the rookie on an injury plagued L.A. Angels team.

33-17 IN LAST 50 MLB ML PICKS | +1193

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

CHI. CUBS -163


MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 5/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
10:48 AM
The Cubs blew it Monday night with a brutal ninth-inning pitching effort from two relievers, but that was a big anomaly. The Marlins are the worst team in baseball, and Chicago is heating up and has Jon Lester on the mound, who has allowed one run in his last two starts combined. Chicago cruises past Caleb Smith and the Marlins in 72 percent of my simulations, which offers an implied differential of -257. The current money line price is way too low. Take it.

39-24 IN LAST 63 MLB PICKS | +1451
16-11 IN LAST 27 MIA ML PICKS | +566

4-1 IN LAST 5 CHC ML PICKS | +355


L.A. DODGERS -142


ATLANTA @ L.A. DODGERS | 5/07 | 10:10 PM EDT
10:44 AM
The Dodgers are a different team at home. They're 13-4 in their own ballpark and averaging six runs a game. My projections see those bats getting all over Braves rookie Max Fried, who has been great this year but is coming off his worst start so far. L.A. takes care of business in more than 70 percent of my simulations.

39-24 IN LAST 63 MLB PICKS | +1451
23-16 IN LAST 39 LAD ML PICKS | +245

4-3 IN LAST 7 ATL ML PICKS | +129


OAKLAND -120


CINCINNATI @ OAKLAND | 5/07 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:38 AM
The Reds are just 1-5 this season when Tyler Mahle starts and the team is only 6-12 on the road. My projections like the inconsistent Mike Fiers to be on his game against one of the poorest-hitting teams against right-handed pitchers. Oakland wins 65 percent of my simulations, which gives them an implied differential of -185. Getting then anywhere near -120 is a great value.

39-24 IN LAST 63 MLB PICKS | +1451
10-4 IN LAST 14 CIN ML PICKS | +703

12-8 IN LAST 20 OAK ML PICKS | +339

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini


OVER 213 PORTLAND @ DENVER | 5/07 | 10:30 PM EDT


1:33 PM
Effects from a four-overtime performance were on full display in Sunday’s Game 4 between the Nuggets and Trailblazers. Portland’s shots were flat from the perimeter while the Nuggets were able to attack the paint with Nikola Jokic and Paul Millsap. On Tuesday, look for fresh legs and offense to be back intact. Grab the Over.

19-8 IN LAST 27 NBA PICKS | +1018
4-1 IN LAST 5 DEN O/U PICKS | +292


TORONTO -6


PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 5/07 | 8:00 PM EDT
1:27 PM
On Sunday, the Philadelphia 76ers squandered a great opportunity to go up 3-1 against the Toronto Raptors. With the series now even, the momentum is clearly on the Raptors' side. Confidence and the edge at the free throw line are keys tonight ATS. Grab the Raptors to push forward ATS and in the series.

19-8 IN LAST 27 NBA PICKS | +1018
12-5 IN LAST 17 TOR ATS PICKS | +650

3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ATS PICKS | +189


ST. LOUIS -104


PHILADELPHIA @ ST. LOUIS | 5/07 | 7:45 PM EDT
1:23 PM
After being shut out on Monday, the Philadelphia Phillies will be eager to get on the board Tuesday. They’ll face Cardinals pitcher Dakota Hudson, who has had his issues with walks (15) and home runs (eight) this season. With Aaron Nola appearing to be settled in, oddsmakers have sided with him and the Phillies in this game. But look for the Cardinals to carry the momentum from yesterday’s at bats into Tuesday. Grab St. Louis.

8-5 IN LAST 13 STL ML PICKS | +300


N.Y. YANKEES -161


SEATTLE @ N.Y. YANKEES | 5/07 | 6:35 PM EDT
1:18 PM
Yankees starter in Masahiro Tanaka has allowed six home runs in his last five starts. In fact he has failed to last 6.0 innings in three of his last four starts. Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales was cruising to start the season with a 5-0 record. That changed in his last outing where he lasted just 1.2 innings. Look for the Yankees to attack early and get to Gonzales. Grab the Yankees.

17-13 IN LAST 30 SEA ML PICKS | +394

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson


CHI. CUBS -161


MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 5/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
1:21 PM
The Cubs' bullpen imploded in a terrible ninth-inning collapse, allowing the Marlins to steal a win Monday. The odds of that happening two nights in a row aren't strong. Across the board, the Cubs' offense is better, and while Miami starter Caleb Smith is throwing well, so is Jon Lester, and Miami is averaging four fewer runs a game in the last week and nearly 2.5 runs fewer on the road compared to the Cubs at home (and Chicago is just getting warmed up). There's value in the Cubs at this price.

7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +357
16-11 IN LAST 27 CHC ML PICKS | +275


WASHINGTON +100


WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE | 5/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
1:00 PM
Stephen Strasburg is dealing right now, allowing three runs his last 21.2 innings pitched, with 29 strikeouts and five walks. The Brewers can light up the scoreboard, but the Nationals average more runs on the road than the Brewers do at home, and Milwaukee's call-up starter (Adrian Houser) and likely bullpen-heavy effort doesn't inspire confidence in the Brew Crew. Washington's relieving corps is not good, but if the Nats can score early and Strasburg can go seven innings, they're in a good spot.

7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +357
14-3 IN LAST 17 MIL ML PICKS | +1200

10-7 IN LAST 17 WAS ML PICKS | +44


BOSTON -192


BOSTON @ BALTIMORE | 5/07 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:50 PM
Boston's offense is averaging 6.7 runs the last week as it continues to get better following a brutal opening month of the year. Tuesday they face David Hess, who has allowed 21 runs in his last 21.1 innings pitched, who is backed by a bullpen with a 6.03 ERA and facing a Boston lineup that lifetime is hitting .304 against him. Boston, which averages nearly five runs per game on the road, should score plenty Tuesday. The Sox go with a bullpen game, but its 'pen is holding opponents to .223 hitting. The Orioles' offense can score, but I can't imagine they keep up here.

7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +357
12-4 IN LAST 16 BAL ML PICKS | +758

23-14 IN LAST 37 BOS ML PICKS | +384


TEXAS +120


TEXAS @ PITTSBURGH | 5/07 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:40 PM
The Pirates' offense is starting to score runs but it's still a lower-tier unit, especially at home where the team averages a modest 3.4 runs per game. The only time Pirates reliever-made-starter Steven Brault hasn't been effective was when he tossed two scoreless against the Rangers last week. But now they have seen him, giving an edge to the hitters. Otherwise, teams are still hitting .303 against him. Adrian Sampson had had some brutal outings, but he hasn't allowed a run in the last three (9.2 innings), five of which were a blanking of Pittsburgh. The edge to Texas is slight, but the underdog price is right.

7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +357
17-8 IN LAST 25 TEX ML PICKS | +736

3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


UNDER 211.5 PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 5/07 | 8:00 PM EDT


9:54 AM
All four games in this series has gone Under. Finally, as a result, this line was dropped a full four points from Game 4. That's still not enough. No game has gone over 211 total points yet, and we have yet to see both teams hit 100 points in any of the previous matchups. Take the Under.

102-81-1 IN LAST 184 NBA PICKS | +1278
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR O/U PICKS | +90


DENVER -4.5


PORTLAND @ DENVER | 5/07 | 10:30 PM EDT
12:35 AM
Enes Kanter re-separated his shoulder in Game 3 and it showed in Game 4, when he was held to 5 points after scoring 26, 15 and 18 in the first three. With the Nuggets continuing to harass Damian Lillard into a low shooting percentage, look for Denver to win and cover.

102-79-1 IN LAST 182 NBA ATS PICKS | +1495
33-21-3 IN LAST 57 DEN ATS PICKS | +993

11-4 IN LAST 15 POR ATS PICKS | +664


PHILADELPHIA +6.5


PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 5/07 | 8:00 PM EDT
SUN 5/5
This is a dead-even series and I'll grab the points with Philly, expecting much better performances from Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons in Game 5. Embiid was sick in Game 4 and he played extremely passively. His teammates are demanding he take more than seven shots Tuesday, and the bet is he'll bounce back in a big way.

102-79-1 IN LAST 182 NBA ATS PICKS | +1495
15-12 IN LAST 27 TOR ATS PICKS | +168


ST. LOUIS -103


PHILADELPHIA @ ST. LOUIS | 5/07 | 7:45 PM EDT
11:36 AM
Aaron Nola sports a 9.35 ERA on the road, and the Phils have won just six of their last 24 visits to St. Louis. Back the Cards and Dakota Hudson, who's 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA at Busch Stadium.

8-3 IN LAST 11 PHI ML PICKS | +501

2-1 IN LAST 3 STL ML PICKS | +95

[B*mb07]

Marco D
PLAY: (908) COLORADO -118
RATING: 3% PLAY

Two key factors have us on Colorado. First off this is a horrible scheduling spot for the Giants who had to play a Monday Game in Cincinnati and now play on Tuesday in the altitude of Colorado. Secondly Madison Bumgarner goes for the Giants and since the start of last season when he starts on the road the Giants are just 5-18. Note that when the Giants play on the road and the total is 10 or higher they are just 4-21 the last 3 seasons. My numbers have Colorado winning 6-4.

TAKE COLORADO as MARCO’S 3% MLB PLAY

[B*mb07]

Killer Sources Champagne - Indians LAA Under Augie J - Stars

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The Pythagorean Betting System:
[MLB] 4* Star: Texas Rangers
[MLB] 3* Star: Washington Nationals
[MLB] 2* Star: LA Angels
[MLB] 1* Star: Kansas City Royals
All the best,The Champ Team

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