Service Plays Friday 5/10/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

2*
Golden State / Houston under 214.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Consensus
CONS:5/10/19
NBA 5* #519 Take GSW/Hou OVER 214
MLB 5* #956 Take STL -150 ov Pitt,
5* #956 Take STL (RL +125) ov Pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al


Golden State/Houston Rockets UNDER 214.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
CLE/OAK F5 UNDER 4.5 -110 3u

ADD

NBA:
GSW/HOU 1H UNDER 108.5 1u

NBA Season: 81-69-2 54% +25.70 units

[dawggy]

TONY FINNBASKETBALL PLAYS

• FINN NBA POSTSEASON WEST PRIVATE PLAY
  Game: (519) Golden State Warriors at (520) Houston Rockets
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 9:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 214.0 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Over the Total of 214 (good to 217)
  4% game rating
  (519) Golden State Warriors at (520) Houston Rockets
  
  I will keep my usual detailed game analysis short and sweet for tonight's Game 6 in Houston. This matchup that is Durant-less will not be about replacing KD's 34 postseason ppg... it will be about how much scoring there will be without the presence of Durants defense 15-feet and around the rim. KD does not get near the credit he deserves for his length and quick feet defensively.
  The Warriors will be back to their old tricks on offense without Durant. There will be no dribbling at the top of the key and waiting for KD to free himself from the pick... you are going to see the Warriors in transition a large number more than with Durant and the permiter offense of the Warriors will be back to the motion-O with the ball swinging from one side to the other for the open look.
  
  The Warriors are nearly perfect when Curry and Klay score 20-plus in a playoff game. The Warriors record in playoff games when both Curry and Thompson score 25-points or more?
  
  The Warriors are 9-3 when the pair score 25-plus with the ATS and OVER results being identical.
  
  Over the Total of 214

BASEBALL PLAYS

• FINN AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME ~ WEEK
  Game: (971) New York Yankees at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Tampa Bay Rays -158
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays -158 (good to -170)
  4% game rating
  LIST PITCHERS: German and Glasnow
  The kid was exceptional last year when he was the lead-off man in the "Opener" scheme that the Rays began streaming. Glasnow demonstrated his high upside last season but the 24-year old was such, and in the role the coaching staff had him in which was pitching and throwing all out for limited innings... and most importantly because he was a two pitch pitcher with both of those being fastballs. As the 2018 season progressed and he took on more responsibility in terms of innings and managing his arsenal it led to an offseason of tinkering with his grip for command and working on his secondary pitches.
  The results? Commanding a near 100 mph fastball with an effective curveball as an out pitch. Glasnow’s curveball has even more vertical movement this season and the soft contact percentage on his second pitch is elite.
  
  The Rays ace of the best pitching staff in baseball owns a 1.75 ERA and 22.6% SO-BB%. Throughout his career the questions have never been about his talent and ability to overpower hitters it was always his command of that talent. That issues has been put to bed. For a young player at this level to throw 100 mph with a 5.1% walk rate are, without exaggeration, indicators that Glasnow is on the verge of being an absolute MLB Pitching god.... with the only need being... staying healthy.
  
  The Rays Glasnow is no Game of Thrown bastard. His right to the Iron Thrown is legitimate. And while he won't register a 1.75 ERA across 200 innings of work -- especially in the American League -- he is the next in line to win the Triple Crown of Pitching... Wins, ERA and K leader in a single season. As misleading as ERA is... the league and the media will never let go of the importance they place on the fictional measure.
  
  German has been terrific this season. The converted reliever has earned his role in the rotation. But he has yet to go head to head with Dragon that is Glasnow and he has faced a combined group of teams that together rank 25th in the league in offensively capability, efficiency, well below the league average in OBP and OPS.
  
  TAMPA BAY RAYS -158
  
• FINN NATIONAL LEAGUE RUN LINE ROUT
  Game: (963) Cincinnati Reds at (964) San Francisco Giants
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 10:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+122)
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 runs (+122)
  4% game rating
  (963) Cincinnati Reds at (964) San Francisco Giants
  LIST PITCHERS : Castillo and Rodriguez
  
  This play, not just against Derek Rodriguez, but as well on Luis Castillo is very likely one of the few times you will see the Reds ace accurately measured by the bookmakers. This due to whom he is facing, the opposing lineup, and the fact that a trio or handful more performances like he has executed in the first month-plus of the season and he becomes overvalued -- this because of who the Reds are on offense and defense.
  First if this game were played in early April Castillo would be a pick'em on the road against the Giants D-Rod.
  
  By April 24th the Giants lefty had impressed those just glancing at his game stats and surface numbers. D-Rod was coming off his second straight win, both road contests, in Washington and Pittsburgh. He had struck out 10 in the pair of contests and allowed just three runs on eight hits. And he was, in some form, the rising star of a vanilla Giants rotation... save MadBum.
  
  However, he faced a Pittsburgh lineup with a pitcher making his major league debut and two hitters with averages below .165. A Bucs lineup without Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco.
  
  One last note on D-Rod before I go on a typing tangent. The lefty is coming out of a start against these same Reds at GAB. The young southpaw allowed eight runs in five innings against the Reds Machine. And was the case and will be again tonight ... free passes were and will be a problem. The lefty doesn't have an out pitch and doesn't generate enough strikeouts to cover up his flyball tendencies and his command issues.
  
  Rodriguez had a solid start the year with a 3.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP -- which came on the heals of a second half of 2018 tour where few teams and hitters had live looks at Rodriguez. 2018 numbers (118.1 IP, 2.81 ERA, 1.13 WHIP).
  
  But-- Rodriguez is a middling arm that will find his way to the back end of a rotation on a team that scuffles to be a .500 team. He has outperformed his underlying metrics by a large measure. He doesn’t miss enough bats (20% K, 8% SwStr) to cover up his command and fly ball issues and if he were a member of the Reds pitching half of his games in Great American chances are he would be a member of a farm team... ATT Park helps mask his issues.. but today he goes against one of the best young arms in the bigs.
  
  Castillo is, like I outlined with Glasnow, the real deal. He has picked apart opposing lineups this season with the greatest of ease.
  
  He has dominated the likes of Atlanta, LA Dodgers, Milwaukee and the Cubs. And feel completely free to ignore his last start against the Giants, at home, in his last start. An outing that saw him allow four runs on four hits... with two coming via the long ball.
  
  Castillo has struck out at least seven in seven of his starts in 2019 and while his ERA is an impressive 1.97 his xFIP is stupid good and ranks in the top-10 of the league dating back to the start of 2017... not just this year.
  
  The time has arrived for the talented right-hander. He has come along slowly and has elite status within his grasp. The fact that he is supported by a home running offense that is hit and miss and a middling defensive group that won't compete for a postseason spot keeps Castillo a secret to some degree.
  
  The Velo differential on his fastball vs his change is outrageous. And in a start at Petco in late April, a venue much to the same field rating at ATT, he threw his changeup 34 times -- and registered nine swings and misses with no hits.
  
  CINCINNATI REDS -1.5 runs (+122)

[dawggy]

ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (971) New York Yankees at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+132)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (977) Cleveland Indians at (978) Oakland Athletics
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 9:37 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Oakland Athletics -1.5 (+125)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (961) Washington Nationals at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers
  Date/Time: May 10 2019 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  
  View Analysis

[Youngcatx21]

Any luck with Eastman, Croy, Raphael 7u plays?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco
15 DIME
Red sox -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

chuck o brien
100 DIME
MLB Winner
Minnesota Run Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels
75 Dime
2nd-Round
Game of the Year
Rockets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 athletics , 400 reds , 400 Mets game under , 500 Red Sox RL , 400 Golden State , 700 Golden state game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
6 Unit 1st half Hou -4.5
3 Unit over 214 gs/hou

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4 Unit GS +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
3 Unit GS +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris
3 Unit under 214 gs/hou