Service Plays Saturday 5/11/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

Raise the Bar 20 Dime Winner

4-Run Mismatch

Red Sox RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CPAW does anyone have Bill Hilton -Gameday's basebasll card today? TIA!!!

Have not seen Gameday posted in a while.

[dawggy]

TONY FINNBASEBALL PLAYS

• BIG TICKET 5% MLB GAME ~ MONTH (7-2)
  Game: (929) Philadelphia Phillies at (930) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: May 11 2019 7:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Philadelphia Phillies -128
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Philadelphia Phillies -128 (good to -150)
  5% game rating
  LIST PITCHERS: Eflin and Keller
  (929) Philadelphia Phillies at (930) Kansas City Royals
  Check back for game analysis - enjoy the weekend you Mothers (Day)
  PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -128
  
• FINN MLB SAT NITE LIGHTS (11-2)
  Game: (913) Washington Nationals at (914) Los Angeles Dodgers
  Date/Time: May 11 2019 9:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Washington Nationals +118
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Washington Nationals +118
  3% game rating
  LIST PITCHERS: Scherzer and Buehler
  (913) Washington Nationals at (914) Los Angeles Dodgers
  WASHINGTON NATIONAL;S +118

[golden contender]

GC: MLB

Saturday card has the N.L. Total Of The Month early and a Top Rated TIER 1 MLB Play later on. In the NHL we have a Rare 100% 6* Top Play total. Friday card goes 4-1 led by the Warriors. MLB Comp Play below.


The MLB Comp Play is on Boston at 1:05 eastern. The Redsox are a solid favorite here and they fit a nice system that has gone 11-1 since 2004 for any home team that won by 5+ runs and scored 10+ runs as a -200 or higher home favorite if the total was 10 and is 10 or more today and the opponent scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits. The Mariners have dropped 9 of 11 on the road. The Sox have won 6 of 8 at home vs the Mariners and are 62-29 vs rightys. Porcello has won 5 of 6 at home and the last 4 vs Seattle. Felix Hernandez has lost 7 of 7 as a road dog, 6 straight in game 2 of a series and 4 of 5 in Boston. Look for the Sox to take another. On Saturday we have a Massive MLB TIER 1 Play and the National League Total Of the Month. In the NHL we have a 100% Rare 6* top Play total in playoff action. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free play. Go with Boston. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3-Unit Play. Take #918 Minnesota (-1.5) (+120) over Detroit (2 p.m., Saturday, May 11)
The Twins have the best record in baseball and are not slowing down heading into this double dip with the Tigers. Minnesota has a four-game winning streak and should be in line to take two more from this offensively challenged Detroit squad. They have been shut out five times already this season and in back-to-back games already this year so Michael Pineda has a chance to get his bloated ERA down. This should be an easy early win for the Twins so take them with little worry today.
Best of luck - Strike Point Sports

[Dr. B]

Thanks CPAW all the best see you when pigskins start!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


TORONTO -6


PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 5/12 | 7:00 PM EDT
10:23 AM
Maybe it'll make me end up looking like a fool, but I couldn't help but get the sense that Philly's 112-101 win over the Raptors in Game 6 was the team's last gasp effort to fight back, and I just don't trust the Sixers to have another performance like that in them. Honestly, I'm not sure that game as a result of Philly playing well as much as it was just Toronto laying an egg. I don't think Toronto will do that at home in Game 7.

79-50 IN LAST 129 NBA PICKS | +2389


DENVER -5.5


PORTLAND @ DENVER | 5/12 | 3:30 PM EDT
10:20 AM
We head into the final game of this series with the home team going 4-2 both straight up and ATS, and I expect that trend will continue in the finale. The Nuggets have been terrific at home all season, and in the playoffs, going 29-19 ATS overall, and 27-18 ATS as a home favorite. The Blazers, meanwhile, are only 11-18 ATS as a road underdog.

79-50 IN LAST 129 NBA PICKS | +2389
3-1 IN LAST 4 POR ATS PICKS | +189

2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +91


UNDER 7.5 MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 5/11 | 2:20 PM EDT


9:58 AM
Temperatures will be in the low 50s with winds blowing in directly from centerfield. Wrigley will be a pitcher's haven on Saturday. Take the Under.

16-7-1 IN LAST 24 MLB O/U PICKS | +806
5-1 IN LAST 6 MIL O/U PICKS | +402

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
CHW F5 +.5 +100 3u

MLB Season: 30-33-5 48% -25.15units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Spot Player MLB (138-94 season)

2* Milwaukee
2* SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 twins game 1, 300 cubs , 300 blue jays , 700 Phillies game under , 500 braves , 500 SJ Sharks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

MLB - May 11 - Listed pitchers only

2 Units - #909 San Diego / #910 Colorado (Over 10.5) *8:10 EST
Colorado is flat out hitting lights out, and the Padres have the lineup to hit today against Grey, and at days end off heels of a 10-2 game last night I expect another big run type game Saturday. Colorado starts Jon Grey 5.5.1 ERA his last 3 backed by a bullpen with over an 8 ERA their last 5 games, and SD starts Lucchesi with a 4.91 ERA backed by a bullpen with a 5.82 ERA their last 5, and we have the makings of a shootout. Colorado hitting southpaws at .338 as a team their last 5, and Lucchesi is a lefty. They should have 7 or 8 runs themselves today if not more, I will take the OVER which is 13-3 in Colorado's last 16 games.

3 Units - #906 NY Mets RUNLINE -1.5 (-125) over Miami *7:10 EST
11-2 win last night for the Mets against one of the Marlins better pitchers and Miami is one the worst teams in MLB and they get to face Jacob Degrom tonight with is not good news for the Marlins. Miami has scored more than 2 runs in just 3 out of their last 10 games, batting just .188 against right handers as a team their last 5 games. NY will roll again.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

3* Brewers ML +114
3* Diamondbacks ML +107
2* Reds -1.5 +139
2* Blue Jays -1.5 +130
2* Sharks 3-Way ML +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


UNDER 7 WASHINGTON @ L.A. DODGERS | 5/11 | 9:10 PM EDT


10:49 AM
Max Scherzer is 1-4 with a 3.78 ERA, however he has been extremely unlucky in 2019. (Opponents' BABIP is .380.) Scherzer has walked just eight hitters while striking out 72. Over the last three years, he has made two starts in Dodger Stadium, going 2-0 allowing just one earned run in 13.0 innings while striking out 23. Walker Buehler is the real deal at 24. Last year he was 8-5 with an ERA of 2.62 and a more impressive 1.93 ERA at home. In his last two home starts, Buehler has allowed just three earned runs in 13.1 innings. This should be a great pitcher's duel. Take the Under

4-1 IN LAST 5 MLB O/U PICKS | +290
13-8 IN LAST 21 LAD O/U PICKS | +427


COLORADO -128


SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO | 5/11 | 8:10 PM EDT
10:38 AM
Padres lefty Joey Lucchesi has been 20 cents below the average major league pitcher, but in his two road starts he has been more than $1.50 below the average pitcher. In 8.0 innings on the road he has allowed 16 hits and 11 earned runs. The Rockies Jon Gray is coming off two poor performances on the road against Atlanta and Milwaukee. But in Gray's last home start, he went 6.0 shutout innings, allowing just two hits versus Philadelphia. Take the Rockies.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +84
4-1 IN LAST 5 COL ML PICKS | +325


TORONTO -6


PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 5/12 | 7:00 PM EDT
10:30 AM
I'm looking for Kawhi Leonard to take over this game. Leonard won an NBA Finals with San Antonio, so he knows what it takes to win a big Game 7. I have Toronto rated the No. 1 team in the East, three points better than Philadelphia. The Sixers are night and day, home and away. Philly is 23-23 SU on the road while being outscored by 2.9 points per game. In Philly, the Sixers are 35-12, winning by 8.3 points per game. The difference is 11.2 points. Toronto's defense is No. 2 in the playoffs. Philadelphia wants to run, but the Raptors want to play half-court basketball. Toronto will control the pace, playing its game and frustrating the Sixers.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +300
5-0 IN LAST 5 TOR ATS PICKS | +500

2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


UNDER 10 SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO | 5/11 | 8:10 PM EDT


12:06 PM
The Padres and Rockies have cashed the Over 12 out of their last 14 games combined. The Under is well overdue for regression and the pitching matchup helps that cause. In the last six games involving these pitchers, the total has never gone above 10 runs. In fact, the average has been eight. We’re receiving a bit of a cushion on this total. The Under should hit here.

45-29-1 IN LAST 75 MLB PICKS | +1079


PHILADELPHIA -130


PHILADELPHIA @ KANSAS CITY | 5/11 | 7:15 PM EDT
12:04 PM
Zach Eflin has been on a roll as of late for the Phillies. In his last two starts he has given up just two combined runs in 16 innings. Helping this case for the Phillies, let’s look at their straight-up record as favorites. Entering this game, they are 19-11 when favored. The Phillies are a much better team here and have such an advantage on the pitching front Saturday night. Receiving this line as a small favorite for the Phillies is a steal.

40-21 IN LAST 61 MLB ML PICKS | +1520
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS | +68

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

KANSAS CITY +125


PHILADELPHIA @ KANSAS CITY | 5/11 | 7:15 PM EDT
8:27 AM
Philadelphia is the favorite, but my projection model has Kansas City winning this one straight up. The Royals took Game 1 of the series 5-1 and Royals starter Brad Keller (3.99) has pitched well this year. Take the value of the home underdogs.

45-26 IN LAST 71 MLB PICKS | +1829
26-13 IN LAST 39 KC ML PICKS | +1604


L.A. DODGERS -121


WASHINGTON @ L.A. DODGERS | 5/11 | 9:10 PM EDT
8:21 AM
The Dodgers have been a profitable play this season on the money line at home (+395), as a favorite (+77) and when Walker Buehler starts (+116). Those are all in play on Saturday, and my projection model loves the value on them against a Nationals squad that has lost five of their last six.

45-26 IN LAST 71 MLB PICKS | +1829
15-10 IN LAST 25 WAS ML PICKS | +473

24-16 IN LAST 40 LAD ML PICKS | +345


OAKLAND +125


CLEVELAND @ OAKLAND | 5/11 | 4:05 PM EDT
8:16 AM
Oakland has won three out of four, including the series opener against Cleveland on Friday. The Indians are favored in this one, largely because Trevor Bauer is on the hill. But Bauer's control has been shaky (24 walks), and my projection model has found value on the Athletics as slight home underdogs.

45-26 IN LAST 71 MLB PICKS | +1829
23-17 IN LAST 40 CLE ML PICKS | +868

13-8 IN LAST 21 OAK ML PICKS | +439