Service Plays Friday 5/17/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #1

    Service Plays Friday 5/17/19

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • golden contender
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2010
    • 2863

    #2
    GC: MLB

    NBA Semi Finals perfect System Total of the year headlines along with Platinum Supreme high end MLB Power side and more. Top plays sweep going 3-0 on Thursday MLB Comp play below


    The MLB comp play is on Arizona at 9:40 eastern. The D-backs are in a solid system that is 13-2 since 2004 playing on home favorites off a -140 or higher home favored win scoring 10 or more runs vs a team like SF that also won as a -140 or higher home favorite. Arizona is 5-0 with rest and has Kelly on the mound. SF is 0-4 off a win and has lost 36 of 51 vs losing teams as well as 7 of 10 with rest. Samardzija has dropped 28 of 39 vs a winning teams, 9 of 12 on the road and 4 of 5 here. Look for Arizona to take this one. On Friday we start the weekend off a big with a high end MLB Platinum Level Supreme model side play and the NBA 3rd Round Semi Final Total of The Year and more Top plays 3-0 on Thursday.. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free pick we are siding with Arizona. Rob V- GC Sports

    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #3
      May 17] Official Play: .67* LAA -135


      Royals v. Angels Basewinner Line Angels -179


      • Brad Keller has an alarming .821 BB/K this season. This figure ties him for the bottom of 127 pitchers with 30+ IP this season. His 17.3% K rate is 113th in this group and his 13.8% BB rate is 2nd highest.
      • The Angels had the best BB/K rate in MLB for the 1Q of 2019 at .61. However, they were only 15th in OPS at .754. We look for the Angels OPS number to improve.
      • BB/K is simple and useful number to quickly identify plate discipline skills. The BB/K ratio has moderate to strong correlation with more granular Plate Discipline metrics as well as OPS.
      • For the 1Q 2019, the Angels led MLB in grounding into double plays (48). However, if you look at their team overall GB% it is only 18th in MLB (42.9%). What has led to the high number Double Plays is their GB% with RISP is 50.7%. Much research has shown that RISP numbers are luck based rather than skill based. The CDSA team looks for the Angels GB% with RISP to regress to their overall GB%.



      Cheers,
      BaseWinner
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #4
        Now, let's go onward to the next bets for original Champ MLB betting system for Friday May 17th:

        Reds {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference is too great.

        Miami {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference is too great.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #5
          Ben Burns

          3* Milwaukee / Toronto over 215.5
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #6
            Spartan

            3* Houston -135
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #7
              Stephen Nover

              3* GOM Milwaukee -6.5

              2* Toronto -104
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #8
                mlbtotal us

                Arizona Diamondbacks , Over 9
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #9
                  Sleepyj

                  3* Milwaukee -6.5
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #10
                    Greg shaker

                    3* Arizona / San Francisco over 9

                    2* Seattle / Minnesota over 8.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #11
                      From Northcoast group of handicappers:

                      ------------------------------------
                      Red Dog Sports

                      MLB
                      3* #921/922 Houston/Boston under 9.5
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                      • dawggy
                        Senior Member
                        • Dec 2017
                        • 1770

                        #12
                        ROB VENOBASKETBALL PLAYS
                        • Game: (545) Toronto Raptors at (546) Milwaukee Bucks
                          Date/Time: May 17 2019 8:35 PM EDT
                          Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                          Play Rating: 3%
                          Play: Total Over 216.5 (-110)

                          View Analysis

                        BASEBALL PLAYS
                        • Game: (929) St. Louis Cardinals at (930) Texas Rangers
                          Date/Time: May 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
                          Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                          Play Rating: 4%
                          Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+105)

                          View Analysis

                        Comment

                        • dawggy
                          Senior Member
                          • Dec 2017
                          • 1770

                          #13
                          TONY FINNBASEBALL PLAYS
                          • FINN FRI NITE NL PRIVATE PLAY
                            Game: (909) Milwaukee Brewers at (910) Atlanta Braves
                            Date/Time: May 17 2019 7:20 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Atlanta Braves -122

                            View Analysis

                            PLAY: Atlanta Braves -122 (good to -135)
                            4% game rating

                            LIST PITCHERS: Chacin and Fried
                            Check back shortly for game analysis
                            ATLANTA BRAVES -122
                          • FINN FRI NITE NL PRIVATE PLAY II
                            Game: (929) St. Louis Cardinals at (930) Texas Rangers
                            Date/Time: May 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Texas Rangers +136

                            View Analysis

                            PLAY: Texas Rangers +136 (good to +110)
                            3% game rating

                            LIST PITCHERS: Mikolas and Leclerc
                            (929) St. Louis Cardinals at (930) Texas Rangers
                            Check back momentarily for game analysis
                            TEXAS RANGERS +136

                          Comment

                          • dawggy
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2017
                            • 1770

                            #14
                            DWAYNE BRYANTBASKETBALL PLAYS
                            • Game: (545) Toronto Raptors at (546) Milwaukee Bucks
                              Date/Time: May 17 2019 8:35 PM EDT
                              Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                              Play Rating: 4%
                              Play: Total Over 216.5 (-110)

                              View Analysis

                              8:35 PM ET -- NBA

                              545 Toronto Raptors
                              546 Milwaukee Bucks

                              PLAY: OVER 216.5 (-110)
                              BET SIZE: 4%

                              My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

                              Projected Points Scored = 222 (Bucks 114, Raptors 108)

                              4% play at <= 217.5
                              3% play at 218 to 219
                              No play > 219

                              DB's THOUGHTS:

                              These two put up 208 points in Game 1 despite shooting only 37% (Toronto) and 39.8% (Milwaukee). I expect better shooting overall, which should easily put this game Over. In the two regular season meetings in Milwaukee, they combined to score 233 and 239 points. I don't expect quite that many points, but I do expect this to land somewhere in the 220's.

                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #15
                              Jason sharpe mlb 5-17

                              8 atlanta-125
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