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BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (951) Washington Nationals at (952) New York Mets
Date/Time: May 20 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+107)
2 Units - #957 Arizona (+125) over San Diego *10:10 EST
The Padres are playing awful (6-11 this month) and Chris Paddock is off his worst showing of the year. Arizona's Luke Weaver has three straight quality starts, with a 2.25 ERA, a .183 opponents' batting average and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings. He is also 3-0 in his last three road starts with a 0.98 ERA, a .194 OBA and 24 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings. The Snakes are 9-3 as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
all the numbers favor San Diego which oddsmakers put as a decent sized favorite but there is VALUE in the underdog play here on Monday with SD only hitting a paltry .174 as a team their last 5 games. I will take the D Backs in the dog role here.
4 Units - #963 NY Yankees RUNLINE -1.5 (-125) over Baltimore *7 EST
The Yanks are 27-7 away vs. teams whose hitters draw three walks or fewer walks a game and 20-4 this season if they strand 6.9 or less runners on base. (Winning both by over 2 RPG) Baltimore is 12-43 as a home underdog of +125 or more and when we search deeper, the Birds are even worse at 3-21 as a home dog of +150 to +200 the last two seasons. (Losing both by over 2 RPG)
The Yankees are at -125 in the RL, but normally, given the ML of -200, the RL should be +100 to -115, not this much higher. This is the sportsbooks way of trying to chase bettors off the number, yet, hard to ignore the O's lose by well over four runs a game when defeated.
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