Tuesday 5-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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11Boston -12 Carolina
CAROLINA is 31-15 ATS (13.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 14

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BOSTON (59-29-0-9, 127 pts.) at CAROLINA (54-33-0-8, 116 pts.) - 5/14/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CAROLINA is 38-19 ATS (+6.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 214-169 ATS (+44.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 21-7 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 13-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 117-131 ATS (-67.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)

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NHL

Tuesday, May 14

Trend Report

Boston Bruins
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Carolina
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing Boston
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 14


Boston @ Carolina

Game 11-12
May 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
14.566
Carolina
12.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Over

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Bruins vs Hurricanes NHL betting picks and predictions: Carolina rallies behind home crowd
Monty Andrews

Petr Mrazek and the Carolina Hurricanes will look to bounce back at home as -120 favorites against the Boston Bruins in the Stanley Cup playoffs.

The Boston Bruins thoroughly outclassed the Carolina Hurricanes in the opening two games of their Eastern Conference final showdown – but things won't be nearly as easy as the series shifts to Raleigh for Game 3.

The Hurricanes were walloped by a combined 11-4 score in back-to-back losses at TD Garden, and will need a victory Tuesday night to avoid falling into a virtually inescapable 3-0 hole. Fortunately for the hosts, they have been truly dominant at home during the Stanley Cup playoffs, and will look to penetrate a stout Bruins defense and goaltending combo that has been quite stingy on the road.

We break down the odds and give you the best betting notes and leans so you can make a profit on the playoff action on the ice.
Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes (-120, 5.5)

QUICK-HITTER

PNC Arena will be hopping for this one, as it welcomes back a Hurricanes team that looked out of sync at both ends of the ice on the way to allowing 10 consecutive goals to the Bruins between Games 1 and 2. And getting off to a fast start will be critical for a Carolina team that has just seven first-period goals in the postseason; by comparison, Boston has 16. We like both sides to see plenty of scoring chances in the early going, making the O1.5 on the first-period play a great way to get things started.

PREDICTION: Over 1.5 first-period goals (-105)

PERIOD BET

You'll no doubt notice a theme for Game 3, which is that bettors and fans alike should expect plenty of scoring. The Hurricanes will aim to clean things up defensively, but are almost certain to come out swinging against a Boston team that has been unstoppable over the first two games. And these teams love their third-period scoring: Five of Carolina's last nine games have featured three or more third-period goals, while Boston has seen an average of 3.6 third-period tallies in its last five. Think big with this one.

PREDICTION: 3+ third-period goals (+195)

TEAM/PLAYER BET

Going all-in on a high-scoring game allows for access to extra props; in this case, since we believe at least one of these teams will produce three or more goals, it's just a matter of determining which team gets there first. Carolina has won four consecutive playoff games at home, each of the last three by identical 5-2 scores. And while this one might a more closely-contested affair given how well the Bruins are playing, we like the team averaging 4.4 goals per game at home to win a race to three.

PREDICTION: Race to 3 goals: Carolina (+135)

FULL-GAME TOTAL

Do we really need a full write-up here? Perhaps not – but it's certainly worth sharing a few other tidbits that could make the Over a great option for Game 3. Carolina has now finished above the total in seven of its previous nine playoff games, averaging 7.25 total goals in its past four. And the teams have been on an incredible run of high-scoring affairs, producing seven or more goals in eight of their past nine meetings. This could very well be a totals trap – but we don't think so.

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+100)

FULL-GAME SIDE

If there is one positive to be taken from that Game 2 shellacking, it's that the Hurricanes limited Boston to 25 shots. And while it didn't matter in terms of the final outcome, it suggests that better goaltending will go a long way in helping Carolina get back into the series. Boston is allowing just two goals per game on the road in the postseason, but PNC Arena has been fantastically hostile for opposing teams – and we don't see the Hurricanes rolling over just yet. We like the home side to prevail.

PREDICTION: Carolina -120

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Dustin Hawkins

May 14 '19, 6:35 PM in 11m
MLB | Orioles vs Yankees
Play on: Orioles +215 at YouWager

1 Dimer on Orioles +215

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John Martin

May 14 '19, 7:05 PM in 41m
MLB | Brewers vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies +106 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies +106
The Philadelphia Phillies have won three straight and five of their last six, outscoring their opponents 36-6 in their five wins. And now they are home dogs to the Brewers, who haven’t been good on the road this season. And the Phillies send Jarad Eickhoff to the mound, who is 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA in four starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two home starts. Brandon Woodruff is 5-1 in spite of a 4.25 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in eight starts for the Brewers. He has simply been getting good run support in his starts because he hasn’t been that effective. Milwaukee is 2-8 in its last 10 road games against a right-handed starter. Philadelphia is 7-1 in its last eight home games against a right-handed starter. Give me the Phillies.

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Cole Faxon

May 14 '19, 7:10 PM in 46m
MLB | Rays vs Marlins
Play on: Rays -126 at sportsbook

FREE PLAY on Rays -126

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Brandon Lee

May 14 '19, 7:10 PM in 46m
MLB | Rockies vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -1½ -115 at BMaker

10* FREE MLB PICK (Red Sox -1.5, -115)
I'll take my chances here with the Red Sox winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Rockies on Tuesday. I was all over fading Boston's ace Chris Sale to start the year. The velocity wasn't there and he was getting hit hard. That's no longer the case. Sale has a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. What tells me he's back is the fact that he's struck out 32 in 21 innings during this stretch. That includes back-to-back double-digit strikeout performances. Rockies will counter with Kyle Freeland, who is 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 4 road starts and comes in with an awful 8.47 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (-115)!

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Mike Lundin

May 14 '19, 7:20 PM in 56m
MLB | Cardinals vs Braves
Play on: Cardinals -125 at pinnacle

MIKE LUNDIN'S CARDINALS @ BRAVES FREE PICK
I like the price we get on the St. Louis Cardinals here in the opener of a three-game series with the Atlanta Braves.
The Cards hand the ball to right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-3, 4.32 ERA) who should be eager to bounce back from a couple of mediocre outings. Flaherty owns a solid 47/13 K/BB ratio over 41 2/3 innings of work on the season and figures to get a decent amount of run support as the Braves counter with Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 5.94 ERA).
The Braves have lost each of Foltynewicz three starts this season and the right-hander was tagged with five runs on five hits and four walks in six innings of a 9-4 loss at LA Dodgers last time out.
On the season, Foltynewicz has served up five homers through 16 2/3 innings of work and he is 2-3 with an 8.06 ERA over his last five starts against the Cardinals.
Free pick on St. Louis Cardinals.

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John Ryan

May 14 '19, 7:20 PM in 56m
MLB | Cardinals vs Braves
Play on: Braves +115 at 5Dimes

John Ryan Sports
5-STAR WAGER ON THE ATLANTA BRAVES (958) AS THEY TAKE ON THE ST. LOUIS CARDINALS IN MLB ACTION SET TO START AT 7:20 PM EST
The Braves won the final three games of their four-game series and had Monday to rest and prepare for this three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals set to begin at 7:20 PM EST. The Braves also have their ace Mike Foltynewicz on the hill and look for him to join the bounce back to winning ways. He has struggled to date with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.440 WHIP allowing 11 earned runs, five home runs, five walks, and striking out 15 batters in three starts spanning just 16 2/3 innings of work.
The machine learning projections look for Foltynewicz to post a quality start of at least six innings and allowing three or fewer earned runs. In past home games when the Braves’ starting pitcher posted a quality start they have earned a solid 439-190 for 70% wins averaging a -141 favorite wager and producing a 21% ROI. When installed as a home dog between 110 and 135 they have earned a 42-19 record for 70% wins and produced a 52% ROI and a strong 37-10 for 79% using the run line that has averaged a -142 vig and produced a 34% ROI. In addition, the UNDER in this situation has earned a 48-9-4 record for 84.2% wins and a 56% ROI.
So, the recommended wager is a 5-Star amount on the Braves and a 5-Star amount on the ‘UNDER’. Then add a parlay with the Braves and the ‘under’ not to exceed a 3-Star play.

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Matt Josephs

May 14 '19, 7:20 PM in 56m
MLB | STL vs ATL
Play on: OVER 9 -104

Mike Foltynewicz is 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA in three starts for the Braves. Folty has allowed 15 runs and 19 hits in just over 16 innings with 10 strikeouts to just five walks. In his career he's 2-3 with a 8.06 ERA and a WHIP of 1.925 in five starts against them. The Cardinals are averaging five runs per game this season and have gone over in 10 of their 18 road games. Atlanta's bullpen has a 4.86 ERA at home and three saves in seven chances. Jack Flaherty has lost two straight starts and is 0-2 with a 8.52 ERA in three road starts. Flaherty has allowed 21 runs and 40 hits in his eight outings overall. The righty lost to the Braves last September giving up five runs and five hits in just over four innings. Atlanta is averaging nearly five runs per game and have an offense that should be able to get theirs. The Cardinals bullpen has seven losses and five blown saves this season. These two have gone over in 10 of their last 12 meetings. I think this one does as well.

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Rocky Atkinson

May 14 '19, 8:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Hurricanes
Play on: Hurricanes -112 at BMaker

Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Tuesday 5-14-19
Boston @ Carolina 8:00 PM EST
Play On: Carolina -112
The Boston Bruins travel to Carolina to take on the Hurricanes on Tuesday night. Boston is 59-38 SU overall this year while Carolina comes in with a 54-41 SU overall record on the season. Carolina is 10-1 this year at home when the total is 5 1/2. Carolina is scoring 3.3 goals per game at home this year and 3.2 goals per game their past 5 games overall. Carolina is allowing only 2.5 goals per game at home this season. Carolina has not lost at home in the playoffs this year and are in need of a big win here. We'll recommend a small play on Carolina tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Sal Michaels

May 14 '19, 8:15 PM in 1h
MLB | Rangers vs Royals
Play on: Royals -133 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Royals -133

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Jimmy Boyd

May 14 '19, 8:15 PM in 1h
MLB | Rangers vs Royals
Play on: Rangers +125 at YouWager

1* Free MLB Pick on Texas Rangers +125
Give me the Rangers as a decent dog on the road against the AL worst Kansas City Royals, who come in at 14-27. While the Rangers are just 17-21, they have a mere -3 run differential, and are scoring a healthy 5.6 runs/game.
I expect a big effort here from Texas after a day off to stew over their most recent series. Rangers were swept in a 4-game series in Houston, getting outscored by the Astros 26-9 in the final 2 games.
Pitching has been the big weakness for Texas and the numbers aren't great for today's starter Shelby Miller. However, the Royals are not a good offensive team. They have been shutout twice in their last 4 games and scored just 1 run in another. They are averaging just 3.4 runs/game and hitting .213 as a team in their last 7. This is an offense Miller can handle.
Teams averaging 5.1 or more runs/game and are coming off back-to-back losses by 4 or more runs are 40-19 (68%) in their next game vs a starter that has an ERA of 3.50 or better. Take Texas!