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Wednesday 5-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 51 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 5:09P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SAMURAI'S PRIZE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SAMURAI'S PRIZE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. GLORIETA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHARLOTTE'S WISH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TURKISH DELIGHT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WEAVEMEAWINR: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
5
SAMURAI'S PRIZE
5/1
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 48 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 5:10P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JOES A ROCKIN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JOES A ROCKIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SLICK SIX: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
3
JOES A ROCKIN
3/1
Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 68
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#5 HEATHER HILLS (ML=5/2)
HEATHER HILLS - This mare ran well in her last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that she was well clear of the 3rd horse, and looks like a major contender in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SMOKIN PRINCESS (ML=9/5), #1 SWEETHEART LADY (ML=7/2), #3 REDNECK LADY (ML=6/1),
SMOKIN PRINCESS - This filly earned a speed rating in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. SWEETHEART LADY - Registered a common rating in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on May 6th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure. REDNECK LADY - This horse hasn't been in the money in either of her last two outings.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HEATHER HILLS - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top thoroughbred in earnings per start. This magnificent animal looks good to me so I'm making a prime wager on her.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 HEATHER HILLS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17800 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 2 ITSALLABOUTMEMEME 9/2
# 6 MACKENZIE'S STAR 6/1
# 1 SHIPKA 8/5
ITSALLABOUTMEMEME has a quite good shot to take this race. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt route races as of late. A solid 73 avg class fig may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group. Win percentage one of the strongest in this field. MACKENZIE'S STAR - Runco is trying to prove victorious with this horse by bringing her back so soon. Has run soundly when running a dirt route race. SHIPKA - With a very good 83 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 67
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 COLLCHIEF 8/5
# 9 ALWAYSBEHUMBLE 5/2
# 3 CLOSE THE CASE 10/1
COLLCHIEF has a solid shot to take this race. Riquelme ought to be able to get this gelding to break out early for this event. Should be given consideration here if only for the quite good speed figure recorded in the last race. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid choice. ALWAYSBEHUMBLE - He has been racing soundly lately while recording strong speed figures. Could beat this field given the 59 Equibase Speed Figure earned in his last outing. CLOSE THE CASE - Ought to be given a shot in this race if only for the formidable Equibase Speed Fig recorded in the last contest.
Presque Isle Downs - Race #5 - Post: 7:05pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 81
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#5 IM CHILLIN (ML=3/1)
IM CHILLIN - Stalking speed. My peers and I like this horse. That 82 fig this gelding garnered in his last event tells me he's a major player this time around. Have to give this gelding a fair chance. Ran a solid effort last time out within the last month.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ANIMUS (ML=7/2), #6 MAD JACK (ML=4/1), #1 LORD REVELSTOKE (ML=5/1),
ANIMUS - Not probable that this equine will finish better than he did last time when finishing ninth. MAD JACK - Last seen on October 3rd at Presque Isle Downs. Probably needs to do some racing into form. LORD REVELSTOKE - When examining today's class rating, he will have to garner a better rating than last time out to vie in this dirt route.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 IM CHILLIN is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
05/15/19, LAD, Race 6, 5.37 CT
5F [Dirt] 00.57.00 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
------------------------------
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 278, Win Percent 32.37, $1 ROI 1.02, For Overall [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 6 Cat's Hit 8-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. JFWL
099.8103 3 Red Princess 9/2 Del-Cid H Cascio Andrew J. S
097.9790 1 Lil Kylie 5/2 Murray E M Schmidt Denise T
096.5307 8 Prime Patriot 7/2 Flores D S Urbina Ruperto R. E
095.9022 7 Little Miss Rebel 8-1 Castillo A Mouton Patrick
095.1498 4 Peach Baby 15-1 Bolanos L West. Jr. Henry
094.3946 9 Gina's Pie 5-1 Green A Fontenot Allen C
092.9111 2 Interslew 10-1 Nieves E Gomez Jorge
092.1792 5 Cool Deal 15-1 Martinez O Romero Alvin
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
6 75.70 1.39 41.84 41 98 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Jockey
3 37.60 1.18 33.64 36 107 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
1 40.30 1.20 38.61 39 101 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Greater Than Today
8 37.60 1.18 33.64 36 107 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
7 37.60 1.18 33.64 36 107 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
4 40.30 1.20 38.61 39 101 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Greater Than Today
9 49.20 1.21 35.90 42 117 [All Surfaces] Horse Best Closer
2 37.60 1.18 33.64 36 107 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
5 37.60 1.18 33.64 36 107 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
Play - Milwaukee Brewers w/Gonzalez vs. Arrieta (Game 905)
Edges - Brewers: Gonzalez 2-1 with 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP with Milwaukee this season, and Gonzalez 7-1 last eight team-starts during May, including 5-0 the last five … Phillies: Arrieta 3-9 last twelve team-starts during May. With that we recommend a 1* play on Milwaukee. Thank you and good luck as always.
May 15 '19, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Angels vs Twins
Play on: Twins -141 at BMaker
This is a Free play on the Minnesota Twins.
The Twins have split the first two games of this home series versus LA, and they look good to win the rubber match with a favorable matchup on the mound.
Jake Odorizzi will toe the slab for Minnesota, and he's riding a five game winning streak. Odorizzi (5-2, 2.32 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing one hit in a home win over Detroit his last time out.
The Angels hand the ball to Trevor Cahill, who has struggled so far this season. He's 0-2 with an 11.81 ERA in four appearances versus the Twins since 2015.
Albert Pujols is 0-for-10 lifetime versus Odorizzi.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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