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Thursday 5-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $10,800 • Post: 6:32P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SILENT ALARM is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SILENT ALARM: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SAINT MICHAEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1A
SILENT ALARM
2/1
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 7:05P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MPS TRIPLE FUNNYFACE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AREBA JARRED: Quarter horse has the hig hest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MONEY IS ON ME: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
10
MPS TRIPLE FUNNYFACE
3/1
9/2
2
AREBA JARRED
5/2
5/1
3
MONEY IS ON ME
5/1
6/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
FREAK THIS
1
6/1
Average
0
0
5.7
0.0
0.0
2
AREBA JARRED
2
5/2
Average
62
62
4.9
0.0
0.0
3
MONEY IS ON ME
3
5/1
Fast
64
53
1.8
0.0
0.0
7
ONEFAMOUSGOODBYEKISS
7
20/1
Slow
0
0
7.2
0.0
0.0
8
PK MAKE IT KINKY
8
20/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9
UP TO GAME
9
12/1
Average
62
45
0.0
0.0
0.0
10
MPS TRIPLE FUNNYFACE
10
3/1
Slow
65
61
6.2
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: CECALA (12/1) [Jockey: Vivanco Luis L - Trainer: Rodriguez Jr Jesse], HC MISS TEMPERD BLUE (8/1) [Jockey: Castaneda Noe - Trainer: Gonzalez Jorge L], PLAY IT AGAIN SHINEY (15/1) [Jockey: Martinez Damian I - Trainer: Haywood Van
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pimlico
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 93
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED OR STATE SIRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN,
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 TORCH OF TRUTH 2/1
# 7 GREAT HERMAN 6/1
# 4 HALL PASS 6/1
TORCH OF TRUTH has a very strong shot to take this race. With a solid 91 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition. Win percentage one of the best in this field. This one has been consistently racing well recently. GREAT HERMAN - Robb has one of the most favorable winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface. Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. HALL PASS - I like the rider on this gelding - solid chance to win the contest. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This horse ranks at the top in this lot.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 75
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 9 KILLER LEAVING YOU 4/1
# 5 DALTS FORM MY FANCY 3/1
# 2 HIGH ON CHABLIS 8/1
I've got to go with KILLER LEAVING YOU. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. His 66 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures in this race. Alcala has shown excellent profits (+7 ROI ) with horses in short events. DALTS FORM MY FANCY - Posted a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this horse a definite contender. HIGH ON CHABLIS - Has to be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. I would have to consider this gelding on the rider and handler numbers alone.
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE
05/16/19, BEL, Race 1, 3.05 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $62,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 6 Happy Sophia 5-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Handal Raymond T
098.7706 3 Singular Sensation 7/2 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. J
098.1874 2 Princess Pinky 5-1 Franco M Nevin Michelle EL
097.6762 4 Champayne 9/2 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle WC
096.5938 5 Amos 3-1 Ortiz J L Danner Kelsey
096.2237 1 Alphadora 5/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Coffey Marialice SF
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
6 33.90 1.71 25.00 6 24 [All Surfaces] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
3 5.00 1.18 28.57 4 14 [Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
2 33.90 1.71 25.00 6 24 [All Surfaces] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
4 33.90 1.71 25.00 6 24 [All Surfaces] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
5 5.00 1.18 28.57 4 14 [Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
1 5.00 1.18 28.57 4 14 [Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:31pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,600 Class Rating: 71
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#4 UNEXPECTED VISIT (ML=5/2)
UNEXPECTED VISIT - Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. I like that recent contest on May 5th at Belterra Park where she finished first. This entrant brings in a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe she can add to that bankroll in this race.
CAROLINA REAPER - You think this equine is going to be first just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first often. LOVE TOTEM - This vulnerable equine has not finished first here today in 10 starts. Little chance she wins today. Will be hard for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 UNEXPECTED VISIT to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
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