Saturday 5-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 HEAT DOME 1/1

# 7 LEGACY'S PRINCE 6/1

# 6 GLASS BRIDGE 4/1

I've got to go with HEAT DOME. His chances to win are much better today facing this easier bunch. This equine is prominent in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. LEGACY'S PRINCE - Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been competitive - 76 avg - of late. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (76 average) at today's distance and surface lately. GLASS BRIDGE - Is tough not to consider given the company run in as of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horsemen's Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 PENNYBACKER BRIDGE 5/2

# 1 MASTERPIECE DAY 5/1

# 4 CAPTAIN AMANTE 7/2

I've got to go with PENNYBACKER BRIDGE. The average class fig of 40 makes this entrant difficult to beat. Earning some good money in dirt sprint races. MASTERPIECE DAY - Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 54 speed fig which is one of the top in this group of animals. Looks strong to be on the front end at the first call. CAPTAIN AMANTE - He has a good opportunity for this event as handler, Hibdon, has solid win rate with horses going this distance. Posted a decent Equibase Speed Fig last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

05/18/19, LAD, Race 1, 12.55 CT
1M 70Y [Dirt] 1.39.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $7,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Catbalee 15-1 Green A McKellar Joe P. TSW
099.3753 2 Dance for Joy 12-1 Del-Cid H Hukill Charles P. J
098.7728 3 U Thought U Got Me 3-1 Murray E M Dison Phillip Mark
098.5750 5 Robyns Luckylizard 9/5 Lozada C Cates Al FE
097.9124 4 Kaydees in Town 2-1 Martinez O Burress Beverly C
097.5099 7 Whatduzitmater 6-1 Carrero V Einerson Kerry L
094.9396 6 Love Davos 20-1 Guerrero J A De Beauville Alex
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
1 22.00 1.22 36.00 18 50 [All Dirt] *Horse Actual Post 1
2 1.00 1.05 40.00 4 10 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3 1.00 1.05 40.00 4 10 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
5 9.60 1.04 31.62 37 117 [All Dirt] Last Race Distance Greater Than Today
4 9.60 1.04 31.62 37 117 [All Dirt] Last Race Distance Greater Than Today
7 11.20 1.22 44.00 11 25 [Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Best LeadPack
6 1.20 1.01 21.15 11 52 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Prairie Meadows - Race #9 - Post: 8:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,414 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 EQUIPHOBIA (ML=9/2)


EQUIPHOBIA - Rode this mount on May 3rd and Johnstone is right back in the irons today. Tibbitts drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more information to think this horse should run well at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MISS M KAYS DEPUTY (ML=5/2), #1 WILBUR'S RUNAWAY (ML=7/2), #2 DEPUTY DAVE (ML=4/1),

MISS M KAYS DEPUTY - Will not be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list. WILBUR'S RUNAWAY - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. Extended layoff, then came back and finished fifth. Hard to expect much better in today's event. DEPUTY DAVE - This gelding hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance races. I find it hard to wager on him in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 EQUIPHOBIA to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE

05/18/19, BEL, Race 5, 2.03 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 6 Major Flirt 6-1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. TFEC
096.6065 3 Preternatural 9/5 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. J
094.9027 7 Bourbon Did It(b+) 5/2 Davis D Englehart Jeremiah C. L
093.7462 4 Our American Star 20-1 Camacho. Jr. S Shivmangal Lolita W
093.4317 5 Remstin 5-1 Richards G Contessa Gary C. S
092.0746 2 Sams Last Ghasp(b+) 10-1 Gutierrez R Morley Thomas
091.9122 1A Flat Out Jayvien 15-1 Martinez J R Persaud Randi
090.2287 8 Great Going 8-1 Reyes L R Quiles John N.
089.4329 1 Buss the Bell 15-1 Martinez J R Persaud Randi
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
6 33.90 1.71 25.00 6 24 [All Surfaces] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
3 55.60 1.36 38.96 30 77 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 2nd Race After 45 Days Off
7 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Not Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
4 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Not Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
5 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Not Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
2 33.60 1.53 18.75 6 32 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Horse Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
1A 62.80 1.34 38.04 35 92 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Equal To Today
8 62.80 1.34 38.04 35 92 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Equal To Today
1 62.80 1.34 38.04 35 92 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Equal To Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.