Sunday 5-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #16
    Sharks, Blues confident going to Game 5
    Associated Press

    SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) The San Jose Sharks have been at their best this postseason when they had little margin for error.

    That's probably why they feel comfortable heading home for Game 5 of the Western Conference final against the Blues after a lackluster start led to a Game 4 loss in St. Louis.

    Having squandered a series lead for the second time in this matchup, the Sharks know a loss Sunday could mean they won't get to play on home ice again this postseason.

    ''It's a great spot to be in,'' coach Peter DeBoer said Saturday. ''This is supposed to be hard. What happened with Boston on the other side, that usually doesn't happen. Usually these are all six, seven hard-fought games, hard-fought series. We're right where I expected we would be, in a good spot going home, and we've got to get the job done.''

    After alternating wins in the first four games, the Sharks and Blues now have a best-of-three to decide who plays the Bruins in the Stanley Cup Final. Boston swept Carolina in the East and will have 10 days off before the start of the next round May 27.

    Nothing has come easy for San Jose or St. Louis. The Blues went six games in the opening round against Winnipeg before needing double overtime in Game 7 of the second round against Dallas to make the conference final.

    The Sharks, meanwhile, have endured two seven-game series - Vegas and Colorado. That's happened in part because they have appeared to let up when leading a series before responding with greater desperation.

    San Jose is 0-6 this postseason when leading a series. But it is 10-2 when tied or trailing, including four wins in elimination games sparked by a comeback from 3-1 down in the opening round to the Golden Knights.

    ''There's a lot of emotion in the playoffs,'' Sharks captain Joe Pavelski said. ''We're in the conference finals. We've had overtime wins, we've had game sevens. We've had emotional games for sure. You just lace them back up next game and you compete.''

    The Blues got a goal from Ivan Barbashev 35 seconds into Game 4 and added another late in the first period before hanging on for the 2-1 win Friday.

    It was an impressive rebound from a crushing Game 3 loss when the Blues allowed the tying goal with 1:01 left in regulation and then the winner in overtime after the officials failed to see a hand pass by San Jose that set up Erik Karlsson's goal.

    ''We're in a good spot,'' coach Craig Berube said. ''So just pushing and keep fighting and be aggressive. Just be aggressive as a team and be confident as a team. That's our message. You're going to have ups and downs in the playoffs and you have to move on from it. You really do. As much as we had to move on from that Game 3 loss we have to move on from last night's win.''

    The Sharks need to come out in Game 5 with the kind of play they showed in the final two periods Friday. They controlled the puck and hemmed the Blues into the defensive end for long stretches.

    The only problem was St. Louis rookie goalie Jordan Binnington, who stopped all 11 shots in the second period and then nine of 10 in the third. He allowed only a power-play goal to Tomas Hertl on the way to his franchise-record 10th win this postseason.

    Binnington improved to 11-2 this season in games following a loss.

    ''As soon as people start doubting him, he pulls another sick performance,'' Blues forward David Perron said.

    Another big concern for the Sharks is the health of Karlsson, who played only one shift in the final 9:24 after an apparent injury. Karlsson missed 27 of the final 33 games in the regular season with groin injuries that have hampered him in the playoffs.

    He's had big moments, with 14 assists and two goals, including the disputed overtime winner in Game 3 against the Blues. But he also seems to labor at times, as he did in the third period before taking an extended break when the Sharks were fighting for the tying goal.

    He returned for the final 1:55 game with the goalie pulled but mostly stayed positioned at the point for passes and shots, his skating limited. DeBoer offered no update Saturday on Karlsson's condition.

    The Blues will again be without defenseman Vince Dunn, who took a puck to the face in Game 3.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369813

      #17
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Sunday, May 19


      St. Louis @ San Jose

      Game 21-22
      May 19, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St. Louis
      11.406
      San Jose
      12.951
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Jose
      by 1 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Jose
      -130
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Jose
      (-130); Over
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369813

        #18
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, May 19

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST LOUIS (55-33-0-11, 121 pts.) at SAN JOSE (56-34-0-10, 122 pts.) - 5/19/2019, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN JOSE is 19-6 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 40-22 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
        ST LOUIS is 34-23 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ST LOUIS is 22-11 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST LOUIS is 7-6 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 7-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369813

          #19
          NHL

          Sunday, May 19

          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          St. Louis Blues
          St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
          St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
          St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Jose
          St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing San Jose
          St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
          San Jose Sharks
          San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
          San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Jose's last 14 games at home
          San Jose is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
          San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
          San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369813

            #20
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Miles City
            PURCHASE
            Miles City - Race 3

            $3 Exacta / $3 Quinella / $2 Trifecta ($1 Box)


            Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $3,000 • Post: 3:00P
            QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHTS, 124 LBS.
            Contenders

            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line

            Accept
            Odds


            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * A TOAST TO BRINDIS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. EYES A SPECIAL SHADOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TEMPTING FUTURO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a p ost position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            4
            A TOAST TO BRINDIS
            2/1

            7/2
            6
            EYESA SPECIAL SHADOW
            3/1

            9/2
            1
            TEMPTING FUTURO
            5/2

            5/1




            P#

            Horse (In Running Style Order)

            Post

            Morn
            Line

            Running Style

            Good
            Class

            Good
            Speed

            Early Figure

            Finish Figure

            Platinum
            Figure
            1
            TEMPTING FUTURO
            1

            5/2
            Fast
            85

            78

            2.8

            0.0

            0.0
            2
            JESS FOLLOW ME
            2

            7/1
            Slow
            76

            55

            7.1

            0.0

            0.0
            3
            JESS STREAK
            3

            8/1
            Average
            60

            59

            5.7

            0.0

            0.0
            4
            A TOAST TO BRINDIS
            4

            2/1
            Average
            87

            87

            3.8

            0.0

            0.0
            6
            EYESA SPECIAL SHADOW
            6

            3/1
            Average
            84

            81

            3.9

            0.0

            0.0








            Unknown Running Style: BODACIOUS PRIZE (9/2) [Jockey: Beetem Brian - Trainer: Ecoffey Gilbert W].
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369813

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Suffolk Downs
              PURCHASE
              Suffolk Downs - Race 5

              Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (10-cent min) / Second Half of Daily Double


              Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 2:47P
              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY) (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $5,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $5,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED1ST, 2ND OR 3RD FOR $5,000 OR MORE.).
              Contenders

              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line

              Accept
              Odds


              Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CREATIVE THUNDER is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CREATIVE THUNDER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. EL GRILLO: Horse h as a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEAT ROAD: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              8
              CREATIVE THUNDER
              8/5

              3/1
              7
              EL GRILLO
              5/1

              4/1
              2
              HEAT ROAD
              10/1

              10/1




              P#

              Horse (In Running Style Order)

              Post

              Morn
              Line

              Running Style

              Good
              Class

              Good
              Speed

              Early Figure

              Finish Figure

              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              MINI COSMO
              1

              10/1
              Front-runner
              84

              77

              72.6

              67.8

              57.3
              2
              HEAT ROAD
              2

              10/1
              Front-runner
              85

              91

              72.4

              70.0

              61.0
              4
              HE'S SPECIAL
              4

              8/1
              Front-runner
              78

              68

              72.0

              65.8

              56.3
              8
              CREATIVE THUNDER
              8

              8/5
              Alternator/Stalker
              87

              87

              77.0

              78.0

              75.5
              7
              EL GRILLO
              7

              5/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              89

              84

              57.4

              77.8

              73.8
              3
              TWIN ENGINE
              3

              3/1
              Trailer
              76

              68

              47.2

              73.0

              65.0
              5
              HUNDRED ACROSS
              5

              12/1
              Trailer
              74

              71

              10.6

              61.0

              46.5
              6
              RED ALE
              6

              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              81

              70

              33.8

              61.8

              48.8
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369813

                #22
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.

                Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 85

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000


                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                The Walker Group Picks

                # 8 HAMMERS VISION 1/1

                # 3 SURFING U S A 5/1

                # 6 REFUSEING 30/1

                My selection in this contest is HAMMERS VISION. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 80. Pennington will most likely be able to get this gelding to break out early for this event. Ran a strong last race. SURFING U S A - Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group in his last race. Should be used in the exotic bets.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369813

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs
                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.

                  Race 7 - Allowance - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $14600 Class Rating: 77

                  QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.


                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  The Walker Group Picks

                  # 1 WASCALLYWITTLEWABBIT 5/2

                  # 4 BIG DADDY DIRT BAG 2/1

                  # 5 MR BOO RADLEY 8/1

                  I think WASCALLYWITTLEWABBIT is a strong choice. Is a key contender - given the 79 speed figure from his most recent race. Could best this field here, showing respectable figs of late. This colt is a contender based on his earnings per start in longer quarter horse races. BIG DADDY DIRT BAG - Has been racing solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Sedillo has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the gate. MR BOO RADLEY - With a formidable 58 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Must be in good form if the conditioner is bringing him back so quickly.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369813

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                    PURCHASE

                    Bar

                    Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:34pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 68

                    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                    #1 DESERT FRONTIER (JPN) (ML=6/1)
                    #4 CAPTAIN REGAN (ML=3/5)


                    DESERT FRONTIER (JPN) - I predict an ideal trip. Stalk the leaders, and surge on the turn. The improved speed figs over the last 3 races is strong. Demczyk drops him in this clash fit and ready to go. CAPTAIN REGAN - This thoroughbred could be tough this time, especially since Oliveros rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. When Oliveros and Clouston are put together on animals the ROI has been fantastic at +198. Ran in the last race against tougher competition at Mountaineer Park. The move down in class ranks should suit him well. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a vital factor. This horse is ranked number 1 in this bunch. A repeat of that latest performance on May 4th where he recorded a rating of 72 looks lofty enough to triumph in this race.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PIAZZA DEL CAMPO (ML=4/1), #2 DENUNCIATION (ML=5/1), #5 FARMER PHIL (ML=8/1),

                    PIAZZA DEL CAMPO - Hasn't been getting close at all lately. Earned a pedestrian speed rating last out in a $10,000 Claiming race on May 4th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. DENUNCIATION - Don't feel this runner will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's Equibase class figure. FARMER PHIL - 8/1 is just too low of a price to take on most any racer that has run poorly in back to back races. This gelding earned a rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                    #1 DESERT FRONTIER (JPN) is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

                    EXACTA WAGERS:
                    Box [1,4]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass

                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369813

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                      PURCHASE

                      Bar

                      Prairie Meadows - Race #6 - Post: 3:17pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,933 Class Rating: 75

                      Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                      #4 C J OMEGA (ML=8/1)
                      #3 LAUNCH LIGHT DREAM (ML=9/2)


                      C J OMEGA - This first timer has been getting primed in the morning at Prairie Meadows, a good sign. I have all the raw data you need right here. Dam stats for first timers, winners 50 percent of the time. LAUNCH LIGHT DREAM - I expect this mount to bewilder some fans today.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RED WHITE AND LOUD (ML=2/1), #5 CHA CHA NOW Y'ALL (ML=4/1), #6 MR. SOLO (ML=5/1),

                      RED WHITE AND LOUD - This gelding notched a speed fig in his last race which probably isn't good enough today. CHA CHA NOW Y'ALL - Finished third in his most recent effort with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. MR. SOLO - Doesn't appear to be in a satisfactory spot today.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                      Have to go with #4 C J OMEGA on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

                      EXACTA WAGERS:
                      Box [3,4]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Pass

                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                      Pass
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369813

                        #26
                        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs
                        PURCHASE

                        05/19/19, CD, Race 6, 3.18 ET
                        6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000.
                        Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                        Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) - Pick 5 (6-7-8-9-10)
                        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                        Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
                        100.0000 6 Runway Starlet 8-1 Graham J Flint Bernard S. T
                        098.4947 4 Traci's Greeley 10-1 Borel C H Thomas Gary A. EW
                        098.3691 7 Miss Lady Locker 9/2 Gaffalione T Sims Philip A. L
                        098.3203 2 Sweet Gisel 3-1 Saez G Lukas D. Wayne J
                        098.1300 1 Made to Be 5/2 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. S
                        095.9901 3 Miss Hannah 4-1 Lanerie C J Godsey Justin F
                        095.5364 5 Factor Around 12-1 Leparoux J R Vance David R. C
                        094.4188 8 Grand Slam Getaway 15-1 Baze T Hofmans Grant
                        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                        Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.
                        Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
                        6 31.60 1.11 32.37 45 139 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
                        4 52.40 1.13 38.81 78 201 [All Surfaces] Horse Best Earnings
                        7 36.40 1.11 32.92 53 161 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Not 1st Race After 45 Days Off
                        2 36.40 1.11 32.92 53 161 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Not 1st Race After 45 Days Off
                        1 36.40 1.11 32.92 53 161 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Not 1st Race After 45 Days Off
                        3 41.00 1.59 37.14 13 35 [All Dirt] Last Race Claimed By Trainer With Worse Win Percent
                        5 31.60 1.11 32.37 45 139 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
                        8 21.40 1.14 33.33 25 75 [Dirt MdnMClm] *2nd Horse With 98.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
                        * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369813

                          #27
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
                          PURCHASE

                          05/19/19, BEL, Race 1, 1.30 ET
                          1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
                          Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden and Claiming races for $10,000 or less not considered). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
                          Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
                          100.0000 6 Papa Zulu 6-1 Carmouche K Gargan Danny SW
                          099.2544 2 Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) 4/5 Lezcano J Servis Jason JTFEC
                          096.4086 5 Old Upstart 10-1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R.
                          095.9099 4 Orpheus (ARG)(b+) 6-1 Saez L Martin Carlos F.
                          095.0275 7 Swiping Dan 30-1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra
                          094.7014 1 Call Me 3-1 Reyes L R Kantarmaci Mertkan L
                          091.5222 3 Kenyan(b+) 20-1 Davis D Sciacca Gary
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
                          Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
                          6 55.60 1.36 38.96 30 77 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 2nd Race After 45 Days Off
                          2 55.60 1.36 38.96 30 77 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 2nd Race After 45 Days Off
                          5 40.00 1.19 32.69 34 104 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
                          4 40.00 1.19 32.69 34 104 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
                          7 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Not Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
                          1 40.00 1.19 32.69 34 104 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
                          3 40.00 1.19 32.69 34 104 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
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