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Thursday 5-23-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: Astros -177 at betonline
Ben Burns doesn't count free plays in his records. That doesn't mean that they don't win though! In fact with yesterday's winner, his complimentary selections are now 15-5 the last 20. (His premium plays are even hotter!) Today, Burns takes a look at the Chicago/Houston game. The Sox may have scored the upset yesterday but don't expect them to repeat that feat this evening. Giolito has been pitching well of late but he won't be happy to see the Astros. He's made three starts vs. Houston and he's lost all three. The combined score of all three games was 15-3, in favor of the Astros. Martin's lone home start saw him record nine K's against one walk. The Astros have the edge at the plate and in the bullpen. Even with yesterday's loss, they're still 13-2 against teams with a losing record. Astros bounce back. Consider Houston.
May 23 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: White Sox +1½ -115 at sportsbook
This is a Free MLB play on the CWS.
The White Sox were the biggest underdog on the board yesterday, and they won outright by a score of 9-4 at Houston. They look good again in Game 4, facing a rookie pitcher.
Corbin Martin will toe the slab for Houston, and he's allowed five runs on eight hits and five walks over 9 1/3 innings in two major league starts.
The White Sox hand the ball to Lucas Giolito, who is 6-1 with a 3.35 ERA in eight starts. He has won four consecutive starts, allowing a total of five runs in those games.
Take CWS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 83 • Purse: $85,000 • Post: 5:58P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS.).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TESORINA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the h ighest TrackMaster Power Rating. Sire's win percentage is at least 25 in two year old races. ENGLISH TOFFEE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
5
TESORINA
3/1
5/2
10
ENGLISH TOFFEE
15/1
9/2
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
LADY DELAWARE
6
7/2
Front-runner
0
0
84.4
54.0
49.0
5
TESORINA
5
3/1
Front-runner
81
71
80.6
67.3
63.8
3
ELOQUENT LADY
3
5/1
Stalker
0
0
73.9
64.5
60.5
8
CANDY'S DREAM
8
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
70.2
36.0
28.0
1
SPARTANKA
1
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
62.9
45.6
37.1
Unknown Running Style: SWANAGE (8/1) [Jockey: Leparoux Julien R - Trainer: Maker Michael J], WELL SPENT (12/1) [Jockey: Gomez Agustin - Trainer: Helmbrecht William R], QUIET DAWN (12/1) [Jockey: Beschizza Adam - Trainer: Sharp Joe], MOM'S PASS (5/1)
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $11,800 • Post: 6:27P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BATTLE ROYALE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BUBBALOVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. BATTLE ROYALE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AJWIBAH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a l ayoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
1
BUBBALOVE
7/2
3/1
9
BATTLE ROYALE
3/1
7/2
7
AJWIBAH
5/2
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
9
BATTLE ROYALE
9
3/1
Front-runner
0
0
73.4
58.4
52.4
1
BUBBALOVE
1
7/2
Front-runner
70
64
69.0
52.6
48.1
7
AJWIBAH
7
5/2
Alternator/Stalker
63
60
62.2
52.8
50.3
3
BAYSIDE
3
8/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
23.1
39.9
31.9
4
CRYPTO'S PICK
4
5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61
50
53.4
40.4
30.9
2
SPICY SIDER
2
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71
69
43.7
38.9
27.9
Unknown Running Style: CARTAYON (12/1) [Jockey: Ocasio Juan G - Trainer: Cruz Jaime], SCI FI (15/1) [Jockey: Corujo Wilfredo - Trainer: Rodriguez Franklin], INTHEMOODTODANCE (12/1) [Jockey: Cora David - Trainer: Johnston Robert JW].
Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,700 Class Rating: 59
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#7 REAGANIZE (ML=5/1)
REAGANIZE - Good return on investment for this rider and conditioner pair. Taking a class drop in class rating points from his May 10th race at Belterra Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the advantage. A racer coming back this soon after a strong contest is a good sign. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. Last raced at Belterra Park carrying 5 pounds more. The lower impost in this field should serve him well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 UNCATCHABLE (ML=3/1), #5 PLAY'EM OR FOLD'EM (ML=7/2), #4 TOM SWEENEY (ML=4/1),
UNCATCHABLE - This gelding will likely bounce, and not even come close to the latest speed rating of 70. PLAY'EM OR FOLD'EM - I find it hard to bet on any mount in a short distance contest at 7/2 when he hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last couple of months. This colt finished outside the top 3 on April 6th and wasn't close in the last race either. TOM SWEENEY - This gelding hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance races. I find it hard to bet on him in this affair. This gelding earned a speed figure in his last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 REAGANIZE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $17100 Class Rating: 60
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDEN, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 CR A STORMIN HEAVEN 5/2
# 1 EMPIRE MAN 3/1
# 8 LOTTA SMOKING 6/1
CR A STORMIN HEAVEN looks like the bet in here. Could provide positive profits based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 53. With a respectable 60 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. EMPIRE MAN - The speed figure of 55 from his latest contest looks decent in here. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field recently. LOTTA SMOKING - This gelding gets a boost with Pulido in the irons. Looks formidable against this field and will almost certainly be one of the leaders.
Prairie Meadows - Race #4 - Post: 7:24pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 78
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#2 UNPROVOKED (ML=5/2)
#1 SHE'S A LUCKY ONE (ML=4/1)
UNPROVOKED - The rest of the group may trail this mount all the way around the track. Filly has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for her. SHE'S A LUCKY ONE - This filly has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Anderson. Better beware of this angle. Generally accepted handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. This one is live today.
PLUM GORGEOUS - Hasn't been on the Prairie Meadows oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. EASTER INDY - This mare notched a fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough today. ARKANSAS ALLEY - Acquired her best fig in the last race, but the track conditions may have played a major role in the outcome. This filly recorded a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 UNPROVOKED to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
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