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BALTIMORE @ TEXAS | 6/04 | 8:05 PM EDT
12:15 PM
Dylan Bundy has been much better in May, but he is still rocking a 4.56 ERA. Drew Smyly hasn’t been very effective this season but the Rangers have won four of his last five starts. The Rangers are 20-9 at home this season and 11-2 as the favorite, while the Orioles are 10-18 on the road. The Rangers have the third best OPS in the league against righties while the Orioles have the 21st best OPS against lefties. Lay the favorite at home.
21-14 IN LAST 35 MLB ML PICKS | +411
MILWAUKEE -185
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
12:14 PM
Chase Anderson is 2-0 this season with a 2.78 ERA since he was inserted into the starting rotation including a 3.57 ERA in seven career starts against the Marlins. This is a classic case of home and road splits making the difference. Pablo Lopez has a 1.84 ERA at home, but an 8.26 ERA on the road. The Marlins are 10-18 on the road while the Brewers are 18-11 at home, and the Brewers offensive splits are noticeably better at home. The Brewers are 6-2 after a day off when their bullpen is rested, lay the favorite.
21-14 IN LAST 35 MLB ML PICKS | +411
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +85
11:25 AM
I want to jump on this number before it gets any higher. There will be a stiff breeze blowing out to center throughout this game, and when that is happening at Wrigley Field, the ball tends to fly out of the park.
21-13-2 IN LAST 36 MLB O/U PICKS | +646
11-4 IN LAST 15 COL O/U PICKS | +664
COLORADO @ CHI. CUBS | 6/04 | 8:05 PM EDT
11:44 AM
Kyle Hendricks is throwing lights-out in the last month-plus, but the Rockies are knocking the lights out with their bats. For the last month, they're hitting .300 and averaging more than seven runs per game. They're riding an eight-game win streak. The Cubs' offense is in a funk. Jeff Hoffman has been mediocre in three starts so far, but he was successful in his one career start at Wrigley and Colorado's bullpen is throwing well. The price is right on a team that is crushing the ball.
17-10 IN LAST 27 COL ML PICKS | +509
18-14 IN LAST 32 CHC ML PICKS | +112
MILWAUKEE -200
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
11:36 AM
Chase Anderson has been a nice surprise since joining the rotation, with a 2.78 ERA in five starts. And the Marlins are throwing Pablo Lopez and his 8.26 road ERA. He's backed by the third-worst bullpen in MLB. Milwaukee is 14-7 as a home favorite and won six of eight following a day off.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MIL ML PICKS | +874
5-2 IN LAST 7 MIA ML PICKS | +96
N.Y. YANKEES -195
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 6/04 | 7:07 PM EDT
11:20 AM
Masahiro Tanaka is coming off his worst start of the year, but he's been very successful against the Blue Jays over his career, and Toronto is the worst-hitting team against RHPs in the majors. Clayton Richard hasn't gone longer than four innings in his two starts this year, Toronto scored three combined runs and lost both. The Blue Jays are averaging just 2.3 runs over the last week, and this doesn't seem like the spot for a breakout game.
MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 6/04 | 7:10 PM EDT
12:24 PM
The Minnesota Twins will aim to utilize Monday's off day after an impressive road series in Tampa Bay. The Twins have consistently defied the betting markets as they have the fewest losses in MLB with 18 and also have the best road record at 21-9. Look for a reversal as the Cleveland Indians should sustain with Shane Bieber on the mound Tuesday. Grab Cleveland.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS | +806
9-7 IN LAST 16 CLE ML PICKS | +119
TORONTO +175
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 6/04 | 7:07 PM EDT
12:22 PM
A rough month of May for the Blue Jays has carried over into June. Over their last 31 games they've gone 7-24. They'll take on the AL East-leading Yankees Tuesday with veteran Clayton Richard on the mound. His struggles last week in his first start as a Blue Jay coupled with the Blue-Jays' poor run support is a recipe for disaster. Yet this is a value spot to side with the home dog as Masahiro Tanaka is coming off a shaky home start against the Padres. Grab Toronto.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS | +806
25-14 IN LAST 39 TOR ML PICKS | +958
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/04 | 10:07 PM EDT
1:01 AM
Griffin Canning faced the A's last week and was brilliant, allowing one run on three hits over six innings in an eventual 12-7 win. Canning fanned five and walked none. Back the Angels as they go for their 18th win in their last 26 home dates with Oakland.
28-12 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS | +1157
17-4 IN LAST 21 LAA ML PICKS | +1269
11-5 IN LAST 16 OAK ML PICKS | +503
SAN FRANCISCO +131
SAN FRANCISCO @ N.Y. METS | 6/04 | 7:10 PM EDT
12:54 AM
Grab the Giants as substantial road underdogs behind Madison Bumgarner. They've won his last six starts at the Mets. Noah Syndergaard is coming off his highest pitch count -- by far -- of the year, and he's given up nine earned runs (on 20 hits and walks) in his last two starts covering 11.1 innings. Back San Fran to win for the fourth time in five games.
28-12 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS | +1157
32-12 IN LAST 44 NYM ML PICKS | +1696
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
9:48 AM
The breakdown of this matchup screams home team to me. The Marlins entering game 58 as one of the worst road teams in the MLB while the Brew Crew carry a great home to road positive disparity. Chase Anderson is flying under the radar as a phenomenal pitcher this year and can easily be considered the Brewers MVP next to Yelich. Too much firepower for Pablo Lopez and the Marlins. Their road woes continue. Brewers should take this one convincingly.
53-40 IN LAST 93 MLB ML PICKS | +554
8-3 IN LAST 11 MIL ML PICKS | +500
PHILADELPHIA +130
PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/04 | 10:10 PM EDT
9:47 AM
Vegas is overvaluing Paddack a decent amount this early on in his rookie MLB career. There’s no question he has turned heads carrying a 2.40 ERA in 10 starts, but he has yet to face the Phillies who carry a few essential lefty batters. I think this game should be tight all the way through, as the Phillies shouldn’t be a heavy underdog as they are. Jerad Eickhoff has a great track record against the Padres allowing just one run in his last 10 innings. Phillies will steal this one as the underdog.
53-40 IN LAST 93 MLB ML PICKS | +554
8-5 IN LAST 13 SD ML PICKS | +266
4 Units - #906 Milwaukee RUN LINE (-1.5 @ +105) over Miami *7:40 EST
Milwaukee has climbed back atop the NL Central by winning five of seven and take on Miami, who has the same record in that timeframe. The Marlins have hit better which has helped them, but chances are they are going to have to hit a lot because Miami starter Pablo Lopez has an 8.26 ERA on the road and his team is 1-5 in those starts. Place Lopez and the Fish as road underdogs on a run line of -160 to -105 and they are 1-7. Also, the Brewers are 20-1 after two straight wins by two runs or less and for our purposes, they are winning by 3.4 RPG in those 21 contests.
2 Units - #925 Oakland (-105) over LA Angels *10:05 EST
Oakland has lost five straight and included in the group is two losses to the Angels. But the Angels come in as weary bunch. They have flown from Seattle to Chicago to Anaheim in two days and this is their third game in three days in three different cities.
The Halos were flat yesterday and lost 8-1 to a slumping Cubs team. That is the third-longest flight schedule in that time period in 20 years of baseball. They are facing the A's Frankie Montas (6-2, 2.81 ERA) who has allowed three earned runs or less in 10 of his 11 starts. With the Angels 6-18 at home vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better, snag the Athletics.
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