Service Plays Friday 6/7/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC BIG MOVE $1000 Golden St Moneyline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass :

400 reds
400 rays
400 Yankees
400 athletics
1000 * golden state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* GS-4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris
7* over 215 tor/gs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George
3* tor +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

7* Play. Take #528 Golden State -4.5 over Toronto (Friday, June 7 at 9:00 PM ET)

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Reds LAD Philly Guy - Phils Red Sox NYY Astros

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

BASKETBALL PLAYS

• Game: (527) Toronto Raptors at (528) Golden State Warriors
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Total Over 215.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (527) Toronto Raptors at (528) Golden State Warriors
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: 1H Total Over 105.5 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (527) Toronto Raptors at (528) Golden State Warriors
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Golden State Warriors -200
  
  View Analysis
  
  Probably would consider this one of the biggest bets I'd ever make and sure does seem strange it's actually this low. I know it sounds stupid to say "this low" for something that's 1 to 2 odds but I think of this game exactly the way I saw the other night for Toronto. With losing home court advantage in a wild game 2 and the possibility of Klay AND KD coming back for tonight they knew damn well the series was de facto over if they went down 2-1 before tonight.
  There is no good way to quantify how it affects the Raptors play knowing deep inside the coup has been completed, the deed is done, they simply have to take care of what is in front of them...and a must win tonight just isn't something necessary...whereas Dray and Klay know Steph just needs them to do their thing and that this IS a must win and as the game drags on and the crowd wills them in the 3rd and forward....the Dubs will win this going away and solidly over in my estimation as well.
  At the very least...if you are with me...I am willing to play a huge wager on this big number and go down swinging with the best team to come along in a long while with "backs against the wall" per se. Steph and Klay both north of 25 and Lowry a very back to his playoff normal 15 or less points is my guess here!

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


BASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Philadelphia Phillies
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Cincinnati Reds +112
  
  View Analysis
  
  Mahle v. Eflin
  Following the line simply here....bonus TP package add!
  
• Game: (955) Atlanta Braves at (956) Miami Marlins
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Atlanta Braves -0.5 (-135)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Soroka v. Urena
  Just a simple play exactly on these 2 pitchers and lineups and history. Urena had his worst game and analytics stats at home against these Braves....getting lit up in his game this season. Soroka. allowed 0 ER in his win in Miami this season. Soroka has proven his sabermetric numbers are for real and this kid is a STUD...especially facing weaker teams...and Fish had quite a week but were brought back to earth yesterday afternoon by the Brew Crew.
  The Marlins this season following a day game with a night game are 1-4 this season and. a couple systems for this spot since the start of 2018 are 11-24 and 17-36 for close to 20%ROI.
  Braves are 7-0 last 7 after allowing more than 10 hits to their previous opponent.
  g
  
• Game: (969) New York Yankees at (970) Cleveland Indians
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New York Yankees -119
  
  View Analysis
  
  German v. Plesac
  Line flipped...new favorite and basically let's be serious it would be the first week of June and the #TriplePlay package without the Bronx Bombers hitting our play trends!
  
• Game: (965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) Boston Red Sox
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Tampa Bay Rays +110
  
  View Analysis
  
  Chirinos v. Porcello
  Bonus again....just following the lines...use Vegas as a guide...and fade the Porcky
  
• Game: (971) Oakland Athletics at (972) Texas Rangers
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 8:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Oakland Athletics +100
  
  View Analysis
  
  Anderson v. Lynn
  Total pitching v. lineup mismatch in my estimation...Anderson coming from the left side is underrated while Lynn is overrated if that's a possibility. The A's offense has been stellar outside a rough weekend series with Houston and excels even moreso on the road against righties while Texas is missing Gallo from their offense and it affects them more with each game...they also are nothing to write home about against lefties. Anderson has also been better against the righties he faces as opposed to lefties...and better away from Oakland as opposed to home.
  
• Game: (975) Chicago White Sox at (976) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 10.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Nova v. Bailey
  1) wind blowing in hard at Kauffman tonight
  2) 2 underrated pitchers with much better xFIP than what the public is aware and thus sees ERA and record etc.
  3) 31% is the higher FB rate of the 2 and is Bailey's with Nova coming in at 28%.
  4) 2 offensive lineups facing righties the last 2 weeks who K too much, don't draw walks, have only 89wRC+ with each wRAA in the red and barely north of .300 wOBA.
  Should be a low scoring affair where manufactured runs will be required and we are getting a double digit Vegas total....bargain!
  
• Game: (977) Seattle Mariners at (978) Los Angeles Angels
  Date/Time: Jun 7 2019 10:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Los Angeles Angels -160
  
  View Analysis
  
  Gonzales v. Heaney
  Quick rundown of this spot
  Mariners played at home last and went 14 full innings hosting the Astros...coming back 3 separate times to extend the game before succumbing without being able to match Houston's 14th inning sac fly. Now they travel to Anaheim...not a terrible trip but on no rest while the Angels played at home and lost to Oakland last night.
  The Mariners opened the game with Adams who then gave immediately over to Milone (the starter) and as the game dragged on and on Seattle went to 6 more pitchers from the pen to complete the game. The only pitcher from the pen who didn't have to pitch last night was Jessie Biddle and he sports a 6.00 xFIP and in 21 appearances on the season has only pitcher 16 total innings. He also walks as many batters as he Ks at 7!! per 9 innings!
  The Angels , on the contrary were at home as we said last night...but additionally while they lost...most of the issue was Skaggs the starter who was run after 4 innings...but Jaime Barria relieved him and completed the final 5 innings all by his lonesome...leaving the bullpen rested especially much more than the all used traveling Mariners pen.
  Problem here is Marco Gonzales on the bump tonight has been in the mode of needing a large amount of bullpen help...especially since May rolled around and squandered the excellent start he (and his team) had to the season...he is winless and has allowed 37 runs in the 32 innings total he has been on the mound in the mentioned 7 starts! His xFIP stands at 5.32 and is stranding less than 60% of baserunners! Also his BABIP is .319 which say what you will about using it to cap...but he is STILL 7 points shy of his career .326 average!
  On top of all this....he is in the odd position of already having faced the team he faces tonight....3 times this season...with each start progressively worsening...from 1 run to 3 runs to 10 runs and getting chased incredibly fast just last week!
  On the other end we have Heaney who I love...just faced this team when they were fresh and pitched pretty well...and through 2 starts has K-ed every other batter that came to the plate and walked almost NO ONE! Over the last month....very few teams have shown more futility on the road against lefties than this lineup...with a negative wRAA, .078 ISO hitting with zero power almost and .257 wOBA with only 59 wRC+.
  The Angels as we said...also don't struggle much at home facing lefties...rarely strike out and have the best overall K rate in the majors, as well as just feasted on Marco last time out....big time.
  Love all these stats...but the systems are where I move this over to HUGE bet territory!
  We have a 22-6 run backing Heaney specifically tonight as well as a 26-11 trend backing the Angels in this spot as well as a 1-8 run specifically with the Mariners in the spot!
  I have this marked at the highest 5% and would recommend even higher. Not sure where you'll be able to hop on as the line has expanded greatly likely in large part due to all these excellent factors....gonna be a big win tonight for us to prepare for a HUGE weekend!