Service Plays Tuesday 6/11/19

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(871) Toronto Blue Jays at (872) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: Jun 11 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -124

View Analysis

Thornton v. Means
John Means is a nice little pitcher who has some appealing stats to glance at in the daily newspaper or ESPN.com box score! However, he fits almost to a T the FIP system we utitlize on a regular basis here with our plays. This play is already devolving away from us sadly as I assume the money and sharps are all over this play as well. Means sits on the bump tonight with a 5-4 record for the worst team in baseball with a 2.67 ERA. However, digging deeper into where we go to make an actual gamble on a play, and not just a boring public look at superficial stats! The best part of our play is his 4.03/4.98 FIP/xFIP split....proving his stats are about to hit the fan and hard. He also sports an excellent .249 BABIP with a projection for what his starts have played to be over .300 in this space.
Toronto on offense has been solid against lefties....as solid as this offense can be of course while the Orioles facing righties (like Thornton) at home have been just about as poor as it gets....odd but true. A couple of bad teams facing off inside the division, I'll take the road chalk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman

L.A. DODGERS -150


L.A. DODGERS @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/11 | 10:07 PM EDT
11:23 AM
Kenta Maeda has been good with a 7-2 record and 3.48 ERA this season while Felix Pena is 3-1 with a 4.53 ERA after pitching after an opener most of the time. The Angels are 2-4 when Cam Bedrosian starts as the opener this season, while the Dodgers are 7-5 when Maeda starts. The Dodgers are the better team and they’re adding a DH, lay the favorite.

17-5 IN LAST 22 MLB PICKS | +1031
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAD ML PICKS | +118

4-3 IN LAST 7 LAA ML PICKS | +3


MINNESOTA -185


SEATTLE @ MINNESOTA | 6/11 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:19 AM
Mike Leake is coming off his best start of the season but he is still 5-6 with a 4.3 ERA while Martin Perez is 7-2 with a 3.72 ERA. In four home starts, Perez is 3-1 with a 2.51 ERA. In seven road starts, Mike Leake is 1-4 with a 5.57 ERA. The Twins are 27-8 as the favorite and 8-4 coming out of an off day. The Mariners are 19-32 as the underdog and 2-6 coming out of an off day. Lay the favorite.

17-5 IN LAST 22 MLB PICKS | +1031
4-1 IN LAST 5 SEA ML PICKS | +233

3-1 IN LAST 4 MIN ML PICKS | +200


BALTIMORE +104


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 6/11 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:18 AM
Trent Thornton is 1-4 with a 4.73 ERA this season, while John Means is making a bid for the Orioles All-Star with a 5-4 record and 2.67 ERA. John Means has only given up more than three runs once this season, and he is rocking a 1.53 ERA at home. The Blue Jays have the fifth worst OPS in the league against lefties. Neither of these teams have been very productive this season, but I like the Orioles at home behind their ace.

17-5 IN LAST 22 MLB PICKS | +1031
3-0 IN LAST 3 BAL ML PICKS | +300

3-0 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS | +300


HOUSTON -121


MILWAUKEE @ HOUSTON | 6/11 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:17 AM
Brad Peacock has been very good this season with a 5-3 record and 3.2 ERA, while Freddy Peralta has been underwhelming with a 3-2 record and 5.11 ERA. Since Peacock started pitching out of the windup, he is 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA and in six home starts he is sporting a 2.38 ERA. The Brewers are a completely different team on the road and they are only 3-4 when Freddy Peralta starts. The Astros are 8-0 coming out of an off day and 8-3 when Peacock starts.

17-5 IN LAST 22 MLB PICKS | +1031
5-3 IN LAST 8 HOU ML PICKS | +152

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

SAN DIEGO -161


SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/11 | 9:45 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:18 PM
Chris Paddack is not playing his best ball right now, but the Giants aren't hitting right now, either. My projections see a rebound more likely for Paddack than the struggling Giants bats. San Diego emerges victorious in a big 70 percent of my simulations -- that number brings an implied money line of -233, so we're getting quite a deal with the Padres.

85-53 IN LAST 138 MLB PICKS | +3072
4-3 IN LAST 7 SF ML PICKS | +42


CLEVELAND -120


CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 6/11 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:13 PM
These Ohio teams are a combined 15-6 following a day off this season. But my projections like the Indians at home, and for a great bounce-back spot for Trevor Bauer. Luis Castillo has been roughed up in two of his last three starts. Cleveland wins 62 percent of my simulations, so the money line price is fair.

85-53 IN LAST 138 MLB PICKS | +3072
26-18 IN LAST 44 CLE ML PICKS | +1169

13-8 IN LAST 21 CIN ML PICKS | +512


KANSAS CITY -130


DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY | 6/11 | 8:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:10 PM
The Tigers have won five of six matchups with the Royals so far, and Kansas City is just 5-4 as a favorite all year. But my projections like Jake Junis in this spot, as the Royals take nearly 70 percent of my computer simulations. That's a big number that makes KC a great value pick here.

85-53 IN LAST 138 MLB PICKS | +3072
28-15 IN LAST 43 KC ML PICKS | +1604

20-9 IN LAST 29 DET ML PICKS | +1058

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* Colorado / Chicago Cubs under 12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

3* TOM
Oakland / Tampa Bay over 9

2* Miami +132


2* San Diego -151

[B*mb07]

Augie J -STL Braves Champagne - Twins over Philly Guy - Reds LAD Phils Red Sox STL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

7:05 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. Baltimore orioles

pick: Baltimore orioles (+105)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est mlb
arizona diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia phillies

pick: Arizona diamondbacks (+125)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
texas rangers vs. Boston red sox

pick: Texas rangers (+155)

risk: 11 units

8:10 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. Houston astros

pick: Houston astros (-119)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
**7-U WNBA PLAY TUESDAY**
Indiana Fever -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy
**7-UNIT WNBA PLAY TUESDAY**
Phoenix / Chicago Over 165.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3*
Atlanta. / Pittsburgh over 9.5

3*
Milwaukee -110

3*
Kansas City-138

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
8:40 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Cubs/Rockies Over 12 runs
Quintana/Lambert
Peter Lambert has only pitched 7 innings this year and ironic enough he was flawless in them against the Cubs on the road. Chicago is a very good hitting team and very consistent up and down the stat categories when it comes to offense. This second time around will be harder for Lambert. The Rockies hit the ball well in this park and should get runs of their own. Two flaws from both teams are their bullpens. The Rockies do not have a good bullpen at holding on at home while the Cubs don’t bring a good bullpen on the road with them. We have a really good shot to also get key late inning runs. Look for a shootout. Take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Big ticket 5% Seattle game over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets
3* Dbacks Ov9 -104
3* NYY/NYM G2 1H Un5 -108
3* Brewers ML +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 6/11

100* Phillies -135
100* Astros -115
100* Over 9.5 White Sox/Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
SFG F5 +.5 -110 3u
LAD F5 -.5 -120 1u

MLB Season: **46-58-7 44% -52.70 units**