Service Plays Wednesday 6/12/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson


BALTIMORE -110


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 6/12 | 7:05 PM EDT
10:53 AM
One of the worst pitching matchups in recent memory. Edwin Jackson hasn't had a solid start all year. David Hess has thrown two quality starts -- one which which was when he tossed 6.1 no-hit frames against the Blue Jays. Toronto's offense remains miserable, hitting .199 and averaging 2.9 runs in June. Hess has been a trainwreck at home, but on the road he's at least been serviceable. This is the matchup he needs to get back on track. On the road, Jackson has a 14.73 ERA and hitters are batting .421 against him. I'll take Baltimore at the near-even price.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +61
13-5 IN LAST 18 BAL ML PICKS | +758

4-1 IN LAST 5 TOR ML PICKS | +205


TEXAS +125


TEXAS @ BOSTON | 6/12 | 4:05 PM EDT
10:44 AM
The Rangers' offense remains vastly underrated. In June the Rangers are hitting .281 and averaging 5.9 runs per game, and they're scoring nearly seven runs per game in the afternoon. They face a slumping pitcher in Rick Porcello that they've had success against, hitting .283 lifetime with a 5.16 lifetime ERA vs. Texas. Lance Lynn, meanwhile, has a 1.93 ERA in five career starts against Boston. The Rangers are at a good price all things considered.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +61
21-10 IN LAST 31 TEX ML PICKS | +962

26-16 IN LAST 42 BOS ML PICKS | +444

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(921) Cincinnati Reds at (922) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jun 12 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-108)

View Analysis

Desclafani v. Plesac
Full fledged 5% play for me or at least a 4 had I been able to get this posted as it crept up toward 10 this AM. Amazing deal there...2 different systems with different parameters BOTH are on 18-5 trends Under for us here...and rarely do we have a total this high either. Wind is blowing out this afternoon at Progressive but that park ain't exactly GAB so the balls are going to be rushing to leave the park.
Plesac is nepotism that has worked out well so far and while his ERA is much better than his FIP/xFIP and should struggle little with a very subpar Reds offense that is SO hot/cold it's remarkable....but they are the best Under team going in the MLB aside from the systems we use...and while Desclafani is easily the least impressive starter going for Cincy he can do enough against an also struggling Indians offense to keep this right in the range of a 3-2 game as we predicted for yesterday's easy breezy winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

(MLB)

600* American League Game of the Month - Texas Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

NHL

Max Wager 100 Dime - St Louis Blues

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Valentino

MLB

50 Dime National League Best Bet - Philadelphia Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Markus (VegasInsider)

NHL
Boston Bruins/St Louis Blues Under 5.5 (Best Bet)
Regular Play - Boston Bruins -175 (BetOnline)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

4 Units - #922 Cleveland (-130) over Cincy *1:10 EST

EARLY GAME ALERT
Cleveland continues to dominate their in-state rival having won 16 of 21 over Cincinnati. That continues today as the Indians send out sensation Zack Plesac (1.86 ERA), who has shown incredible poise and talent for the Indians. Cleveland might not catch Minnesota, but they are playing solid baseball and have won six of nine and the offense is coming around and they should score on Anthony DeSclafani (2-3, 4.70).
The Reds offense is just plain ugly averaging 2.0 RPG in the last eight tries. With Cincy 3-16 in road contests after a game with a combined score of three runs or fewer, they are going down!

2 Units - #923 Houston / #924 Milwaukee (OVER 7.5) *8:10 EST
Veerlander on the hill for Astro's who are red hot, and rarely can you get him at this price, especially at home but I am passing on the side pick at -135 because the Brewers play well behind their starter today. Motivation will be a key here as if Veerlander can get the win, he will be the first 10 game winner in MLB.
Conversely Woodruff goes for the Brew Crew and is going for 8 straight wins. Both pitchers will be dialed in for this one. I lost on the under yesterday as a premium play with 18 runs scored. Cut that number in half and this game still covers the over. Once this hits the bullpens it will change the landscape and I have a sneaky feeling despite recent ERA's and all the hype, both starters will struggle here a bit. Look for the cover late with bullpens stepping in. Both teams average over 5 runs per game and both teams average allowing over 4 runs per game.
The entire world is on the Under and Houston here, I mean lopsided on numbers big time with no adjustments from books, which tells me they will welcome Under money all day, you know what that means! Books are in a ?for profit? business! Contrarian play here.

3 Units - #976 - Atlanta RUNLINE -1.5 (-110) over Pittsburgh *7:10 EST
Rookie Mike Soroka (7-1, 1.38 ERA) has been splendid for Atlanta all season and he will face one of Pittsburgh's top pitching prospects in Mitch Keller, who is making his second career start.
Keller allowed six runs in four innings on May 27th to Cincinnati and he'll face a blistering Braves offense that is scoring 6.9 RPG in their last 10 and eight of those contests were Atlanta victories. Even if Keller pitches well for say five innings, the Pirates bullpen is 14th in ERA in the National League. The Bravos will by at least two runs tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass day baseball : 300 Indians , 500 Indians game over , 400 cubs , 400 Red Sox game under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEA/MIN u9.5 -110 (we recommend playing the overnight lines because the market can move fast on sharp plays)

Mariners at Twins (under 9 ½) -- BW Projection = 8.2 runs

Milone has been very good in his 3 2019 starts with a BAR of 60 and a bbk of .21.
Berrios has been stellar in 2019 with a 72 BAR and a .19 bbk.
bbk model projects 8.17 runs.


Cheers,
BaseWinner

[swaminator]

fyi Cpaw, no Milone today........GL SEATTLE MARINERS - UNDECIDED FOR T MILONE -L
with gratitude, Swami

SEA/MIN u9.5 -110 (we recommend playing the overnight lines because the market can move fast on sharp plays)

Mariners at Twins (under 9 ½) -- BW Projection = 8.2 runs

Milone has been very good in his 3 2019 starts with a BAR of 60 and a bbk of .21.
Berrios has been stellar in 2019 with a 72 BAR and a .19 bbk.
bbk model projects 8.17 runs.
BaseWinner

Cheers,

[Can'tPickAWinner]

fyi Cpaw, no Milone today........GL SEATTLE MARINERS - UNDECIDED FOR T MILONE -L
with gratitude, Swami


Cheers,

Thanks bud!

[Player1]

John Ryan - Premium Picks




Jun 12 '19, 8:08 PM
NHL | Blues vs Bruins

Play on: Blues +155

Top Play



10-STAR WAGER ON THE ST. LOUIS BLUES (13) IN GAME-7 OF THE STANLEY CUP FINALS SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST, WEDNESDAY, JUNE 12, 2019
This situational query has earned a 102-66 record good for 61% wins and has averaged a 145-dog wager over the past five seasons. The query instructs us to play on any team using the money line after allowing five or more goals and facing an opponent, who won their previous game by four or more goals.
The SIM projections call for the Blues to start the third period with a one or more goals advantage. In playoff games, road teams that had a one or more goal lead posted a 104-20 record for 84% wins averaging a 165-dog wager since 2007. When the home team has been favored by a line between -150 and -200, the home team has gone just 17-87 for 16% wins.
If Boston scores first the live in-game betting line on the Blues will be at least +250 and would offer a good solid opportunity with strong risk versus reward profile. As an alternative strategy, you can wager a 7.5-Star amount on the money line before the game starts and keep the 2.5-Star amount in reserve to take advantage of an adverse start to the gamne, but still believing that the Blues will come back and win the game.

[Player1]

Does anyone have Big Al McMordie's NHL play?

Thank you for your help!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

7-Unit Play. Take #916 Boston (-1.5, +130) over Texas (4 p.m., Wednesday, June 12)

The Sox have not looked like the defending champions so far this season but today is as good a day as they are going to get to start the momentum towards being what they were last year again. Boston is at .500 and 15-17 at Fenway so while 34-34 isn't the end of the world they need a shot in the arm and with the Bruins playing for the Stanley Cup this evening in Beantown this is exactly the spot they have been looking for. Rick Porcello is tasked with taking down the Rangers this afternoon and he also needs a pick me up. The righty is 4-6 with 4.86 ERA so look for him to put forth his best effort, which the sox haven't seen yet this year. A lot of moving pieces in Boston but they will be ready to feed off the Fenway energy so take them to get an easy win.
Best of luck -

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connor

Top-End
1000 UNIT
Winner # 16 of 25

Five Run Blowout of the Year

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