Service Plays Thursday 6/27/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    From Northcoast group of handicappers:

    ------------------------------------
    Master Sports

    MLB
    3* #961 Texas -115 (Jurado)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Tampa Bay Rays +105
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18
        Stats Analytics Sports

        MLB
        2* Astros/Pirates Over 9.5
        2* Diamondbacks/Giants Over 8.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #19
          Tony chau/john morrison sports betting champ

          (a) colorado +1.5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #20
            Indian Cowboy WNBA

            7 Unit LA Sparks +2.5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #21
              Vernon Croy

              7 unit play LA Sparks / Las Vegas Under 158
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              • dawggy
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2017
                • 1770

                #22
                Game: (955) Washington Nationals at (956) Miami Marlins
                Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)

                View Analysis

                Strasburg v. Alcantara

                All at bats for the Nats with this away contest and Alcantara is right there near the top of my fade list with his xFIP over 5 and his ERA right around 3.50! He continues to skip by these teams on a regular basis and like most starters for the Marlins do a better job for their lineup than vice versa. The Nats however, seem to have him figured out as they shelled him in the last outing.

                Strasburg is a solid back each and every time with his extremely excellent metrics and hard luck from his rarely healthy offense and hideous bullpen. We won't worry about that as much tonight as the Nats get to Sandy early and SS holds his own keeping the Fish bats to 3 or less and we cruise to a RL victory!

                Marlins are 5-16 against the RL the last 21 times they lost, never led, and struck out at least 8 times also...for over 50% ROI!

                Game: (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Colorado Rockies
                Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 8:40 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

                View Analysis

                Buehler v. Lambert

                This is about Buehler and his last performance and several as well...but even more about Lambert. He started off nice with a couple solid starts against the Cubs home and away and a couple of victories for his team. Since it has NOT been the same story...2 no decision is the bright side...the bad is how much worse he was and now he gets the Dodgers visiting Coors off a nasty set with Arizona and a Rockies team who handled their business rather easily over San Fran.

                Buehler has been phenomenal...but the Dodgers offense looked like a no show in AZ with REALLY excellent hitting conditions. No rest here...but this spot screams a wake up from a PROLIFIC line up.

                Dodgers 3-1 after losing on the road and scoring 3 or less runs

                15-5 record not accounting for the loss

                All 9 at bats for Bellinger and the Rookie Co.

                Buehler has been good in Coors against non-2017 Kyle Freelands

                10-2 is the record of teams whose starter Ked 15 or more batters last time starting last 10 years

                Game: (959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) San Francisco Giants
                Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 9:45 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -110

                View Analysis

                Young v. Beede

                Hmmm...Alex Young is getting his major league debut tonight at Oracle Park and the Giants are a full game favorite with Tyler Beede on the mound. For inexperienced or reduced outs type bettors out there....or just flat unaware of options...believe it or not that -120ish full game number for the Giants with just the 2 starters accounted for has Alex Young as chalk of -110 or bigger. I am not the biggest fan of MLB debut backing spots no matter how impressive the AAA work was...but if taken into account the opponent here...both offense and pitcher wise...this is a bargain! Beede is likely getting money first 5 because he just got whooped by these Dbacks, cannot avoid the dreaded free pass (25 in 28 starter innings), allows too many HRs, and has an astronomical BABIP...this last number is fluke-ier than most of my analytical usage...but in short spurts speaks volumes to how it has gone...luck or not and another reason Vegas feels incredibly liable by this home starter.

                We call the 'books bluff here and hit up the road chalk first 5 for what I consider to be one of the best values on the board this week. Keep Alex Young calmed down for his first ever start and we roll for several innings...and past that we have no worries...great use of the shorter bet and late inning shenanigans!

                Game: (965) Oakland Athletics at (966) Los Angeles Angels
                Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 10:07 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: Total Under 9.5 (-105)

                View Analysis

                Anderson v. Canning

                Both teams within division and no rest and off wins that went way under or solidly under. Additional factors place this is an excellent play on Under spot that is on a 14 of 20 Under stretch and both pitchers I like to take advantage of their opposing lineups, one off travel and the other off largely only spurts of offense from 1 player and not a dominant team effort scoring the runs.

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                • dawggy
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2017
                  • 1770

                  #23
                  ROB VENO

                  BASEBALL PLAYS

                  Game: (967) Seattle Mariners at (968) Milwaukee Brewers
                  Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 2:10 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                  Play Rating: 3%
                  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

                  View Analysis

                  Game: (969) Pittsburgh Pirates at (970) Houston Astros
                  Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 2:10 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                  Play Rating: 3%
                  Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-110)

                  View Analysis

                  Game: (955) Washington Nationals at (956) Miami Marlins
                  Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                  Play Rating: 3%
                  Play: Total Under 7.5 (-115)

                  View Analysis

                  Game: (959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) San Francisco Giants
                  Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 9:45 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                  Play Rating: 3%
                  Play: Total Over 8.5 (-105)

                  View Analysis

                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369801

                    #24
                    Rooster's Moves

                    June 27, 2019 - 55670931

                    27-Jun-2019: 966 Angels under 9.5 (2%)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369801

                      #25
                      Green Bay Monster Sports - 5 star release OVER Giants 8.5 -
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369801

                        #26
                        +EV: WNBA 4u: 609 Las Vegas Aces -2 -105 (Thursday, June 27th)
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369801

                          #27
                          Indian Cowboy
                          4 Unit over 11.5 in the Dodgers game
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369801

                            #28
                            Dirty Bear Sports

                            MLB:
                            LAA F5 -.5 -110 3u

                            MLB Season: 55-67-7 45% -54.75units
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369801

                              #29
                              Vernon Croy

                              MLB

                              5 Unit Washington -1.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369801

                                #30
                                Worlds Worst Picker

                                San Francisco Giants (ML)
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