Service Plays Saturday 6/29/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson

Oakland +128 and ska
Arizona -145 gre pom
Atlanta -111 teh mat
Miami +117 elf yam

OAKLAND +128


OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/29 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:36 AM
The Angels' Tyler Skaggs has turned his season around with consecutive solid starts, while the Athletics' Brett Anderson was rocked his last time out. But as they face off Saturday, Skaggs takes on an A's offense that is hitting .281 with an .852 OPS against lefites, while the Angels have struggled vs. southpaws. Specifically, Saturday's A's lineup is a lifetime .303 against Skaggs in 145 at-bats. The value lies with Oakland.

8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +413
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK ML PICKS | +153

4-2 IN LAST 6 LAA ML PICKS | +143


ARIZONA -145


ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/29 | 10:05 PM EDT
10:29 AM
The Diamondbacks rank No. 2 in MLB in hitting against left-handed pitching, with a .290 average and .860 OPS. They get to face Drew Pomeranz, who they've torched for seven runs in 6.1 innings and two starts. Meanwhile, the D'backs counter with Zack Greinke -- opponents are hitting .195 against him in road starts and he sports a 1.37 ERA in five career starts at San Francisco.

8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +413
5-0 IN LAST 5 SF ML PICKS | +500

10-7 IN LAST 17 ARI ML PICKS | +98


ATLANTA -111


ATLANTA @ N.Y. METS | 6/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
10:23 AM
Both Julio Teheran and Steven Matz have been rocked in their last two starts. But Teheran has a solid track history against the Mets with a 2.17 ERA over 17 starts. Matz has been a better pitcher at home, but the Braves' offense has too many weapons, averging 6.8 runs in June. In what amounts to a pick 'em game, I'll pick Atlanta.

8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +413
25-9 IN LAST 34 ATL ML PICKS | +1771

14-6 IN LAST 20 NYM ML PICKS | +673


MIAMI +117


PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 6/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
10:06 AM
Marlins hurler Jordan Yamamoto faced the Cardinals in his debut and shut them down, then faced him again in his following start and used that experience to do even better. He faced the Phillies in his third start and allowed two runs over five innings. Now he gets Philly again on Saturday. The Marlins' offense has improved to the point it's averaging more runs over the month of June than the Phillies' unit. Look for it to give Yamamoto enough support against Zach Eflin, who's coming off a dud performance.

8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +413
20-11 IN LAST 31 PHI ML PICKS | +751

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
10:05 PM EST
Rotation #961-962
Diamondbacks -135 over Giants
Diamondbacks/Giants Over 7.5 runs
Greinke/Pomeranz
The Diamondbacks should have no problem putting up runs tonight. This is a team that is great against left handed pitching and tonight the pitching matchup clearly favors Zack Greinke. I think Arizona can put up 8 runs all by themselves tonight against the struggling Pomeranz. This is a good spot to play side and total. No parlays. Take the Giants and the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
2* Royals/Blue Jays Over 9
2* Phillies/Marlins Over 8
1* Texas Rangers +170
1* Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports ( MLB Underdog of the Day - going for 5 in a row) - Miami Marlins +131

[dawggy]

• ROB VENO
• Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-103)
  
  View Analysis
• Game: (961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) San Francisco Giants
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 10:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
  
  View Analysis

[/QUOTE]
Game:(979) Washington Nationals at (980) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-123)

View Analysis

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-145)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Lyles v. Woodruff
  Woody has been solidly backed by us on a regular basis and this spot is even better! The Brewers are 3-1 SU following a home loss in a series when he starts...and Lyles is coming on the IL and hasn't started since the first week of June. Excellent value and spot for that lineup to crush a right handed hitting rusty starter and not worry about the bullpen. Yelich takes him deep at least once in the first 2 at bats almost definitely haha. Woodruff knows he needs to be a stopper and turn this stretch around...especially after losing to the Pirates at home!
  Amazing value on the half run only laying less than -150 today and I think BW can shut down the Pirates to 0 or 1 run through 5 almost assuredly!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB
5* Arizona Diamondbacks -143
4* Houston Astros -1.5 runs (-145)
4* Rays/Rangers Over 8
3* Dodgers/Rockies Over 12
3* Yankees -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy MLB

3 unit Phillies/Marlins Over 8.5

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (971) Texas Rangers at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -165
  
  View Analysis
  
  Sampson v. McKay
  The Rays came out just about how I had imagined they would on offense after the 18 inning marathon that was to have been the getaway day back home to prep for the Rangers. Lance Lynn wasn't even a part of that equation, but the fact he was on the mound for the opening game of the series only made that a play I LOVED even more! The hapless Rays managed to strikeout over 10 times and not cross the plate a single time as a result!
  Today Sampson is on the mound against an angry, embarrassed Rays lineup and they are giving a reprieve to all regular starters and sending out Brandon McKay, a lefty from AAA, who has been exemplary in his handful of starts and the Rangers have not only faced very few lefties of late, especially on the road, but have been quite subpar facing a lefty period. He sports a 2.88 FIP in addition to his 1.08 ERA and limits HR to the max...an important factor when facing a Rangers lineup facing a pitcher for a first time! A left handed pitcher, especially in a first 5 play, neutralizes the monster that is Gallo, who bats only .200 and has 1 single HR on the road against LHP. The McKay stoppage of a Gallo type hitter fades however, which is why I like the first 5 bet even moreso...Sampson included, with his ERA around 4 but his xFIP right up near 5!
  Overall, I think there is also solid value on the full game Rays ML, but I think the even more assured anger and embarrassment comes out quicklly against Sampson and they run him early....and we don't worry about the fatigue coming back into play late when the bullpens take over...considering the Rangers are an actual formidable opponent....basically no matter who the Rays played last night would have been the play...even Baltimore or Detroit!
  
• Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-145)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Lyles v. Woodruff
  Woody has been solidly backed by us on a regular basis and this spot is even better! The Brewers are 3-1 SU following a home loss in a series when he starts...and Lyles is coming on the IL and hasn't started since the first week of June. Excellent value and spot for that lineup to crush a right handed hitting rusty starter and not worry about the bullpen. Yelich takes him deep at least once in the first 2 at bats almost definitely haha. Woodruff knows he needs to be a stopper and turn this stretch around...especially after losing to the Pirates at home!
  Amazing value on the half run only laying less than -150 today and I think BW can shut down the Pirates to 0 or 1 run through 5 almost assuredly!
  
• Game: (975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Houston Astros
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 9.5 (-113)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Verlander v. Kikuchi
  System A is 15-6 and looking to top the Kikuchi 15-1-1 to the Over on the season...never has he faced a pitcher even close to this good on the season and will likely be able to combine with the pen to not entirely explode off the radar to keep this under a solidly valuable 9.5!

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris -MLB

7 Unit Play. Take #959 Los Angeles Dodgers -150 over Colorado Rockies (8:15 PM, Saturday, June 29)
The Los Aneles Dodgers will look to bounce back from a loss last night to the Colorado Rockies when the two teams meet again at Coors Field in Denver, CO on Saturday evening. Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 3.07 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) will get the start for the Dodgers and he will be opposed by Jon Gray (8-5, 3.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Rockies. The Dodgers have posted a 4-1 record in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and they have that same 4-1 record in their last five games following a game where they allowed five runs or more. They have also won 19 of their last 26 games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher and they have dominated NL West Division rivals, going a lights out 44-16 in their last 60 versus a team from the NL West. The Rockies, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning % of .600 or higher and they have lost six of their last eight games following a win. Throw in the fact that the Dodgers are 10-1 in their last eleven games against the Rockies at Coors Field when Kershaw was on the hill and that they are 20-7 in the last 27 head to head meetings between the two teams overall and we're laying the price here with LA to get the road win in Denver on Saturday night.

[B*mb07]

Marco D
PLAY: (954) MY METS -103
RATING: 4% PLAY

The Mets find themselves in a must win situation as they host the Braves this afternoon. The season is slipping away for the Mets but they are at home off a loss in the second game of the home stand. The Mets current losing streak was done all on the road against Atlanta, Cubs and Philadelphia all projected playoff teams. Granted the losing streak doesn’t look good but now at home I expect them to turn things around. Losing the first game back at home is not a surprise especially against Atlanta starter Soroka who has been fantastic all year. Today they face Julio Teheran who is a totally different story. Teheran who in his last 3 starts has a ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.07. Teheran has always battled control problems and when his control is off he gets lit up. In his last 5 starts his strikeout to walk ratio is 14-15. You can’t walk more batters than you strikeout. Steven Matz goes for the Mets and he’s been two different pitchers at home and on the road. The road Matz is terrible but the Home Matz has an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.13. In 6 home starts the Mets are 5-1. Note over the last 2 seasons the Mets are 16-8 when Matz starts following a Mets loss. Mets WIN this.


TAKE METS as MARCO’S 4% NL GAME OF THE WEEK

[B*mb07]

Executive 400% Cubs over 9-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim fiest

Shocker of the month
Marlins +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

400% Over 9.5 Cubs/Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

1* Mets / Atlanta over 10

1* Milwaukee / Pittsburgh over 9

2* Houston / Seattle over 9.5