Service Plays Monday 7/1/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
SDP F5 -.5 -120 3u

MLB Season: 59-67-7 47% -42.15units

[dawggy]

ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (953) Milwaukee Brewers at (954) Cincinnati Reds
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -105
  
  View Analysis
  
  $9 MONDAY BONUS: TAKE $5.00 OFF AS MANY OTHER $9 PACKAGES TODAY AS YOU WANT USING COUPON CODE BONUS5.
  
• Game: (959) Baltimore Orioles at (960) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-128)
  
  View Analysis

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (959) Baltimore Orioles at (960) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -0.5 (-165)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Eshelman v. Stanek
  No Bigger discrepancy exists tonight between opponents and their average margin through the first 5 innings. The Rays in all games averaging nearly a 0.6 run lead while the O's average nearly a 1.3 run deficit. In Stanek's 23 opens this season the Rays are 15-8 first 5 spread and against sub-.500 teams at home more specifically they are 4-1.
  Facing a AAA starter with a 6.16/6.17 FIP/xFIP split I really like our chances for the bullpen game to shut down an offense that blew their wad with 26 runs in 2 games over the weekend and for the good guys to at least throw a few across the plate the first 3 times through the lineup!
  
• Game: (953) Milwaukee Brewers at (954) Cincinnati Reds
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds 0.5 (-145)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Houser v. Mahle
  
• Game: (961) Los Angeles Angels at (962) Texas Rangers
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 8:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Texas Rangers -150
  
  View Analysis
  
  Suarez v. Minor
  Not sure if it will continue to be this easy...but today I shant complain. The Angels are the close to worst team facing lefties on offense over the past 2 weeks...and expanding it out just a bit further for a larger sample size...they have put up
  .214 BA
  .261 BABIP
  .071 ISO
  8 wRC
  .7.4 wRAA
  .249 wOBA
  56 wRC+
  That is all before taking into account Mike Minor is on the mound for the Rangers today, at home, with the wind blowing in on a sweltering hot 90+° day!
  Bigger price for Minor than we normally have to pay...but that makes sense. Gallo goes deep for us again I predict and they get themselves enough runs for Mike Minor to mow down the lineup the first 2 full times through!
  
• Game: (955) San Francisco Giants at (956) San Diego Padres
  Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H San Diego Padres -160
  
  View Analysis
  
  Samardzija v. Allen

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Cubs Brewers

[dawggy]

SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP


Game:(955) San Francisco Giants at (956) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jul 1 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: San Diego Padres -161

View Analysis


5-Star PADRES over Giants - The Padres have won Logan Allen’s first two starts as a major leaguer. Allen’s numbers are excellent. He has averaged 6.5 innings of work and has allowed an average of one run while striking out five and walking two.
The Padres, unlike other teams, do not get overconfident in this spot. San Diego is 12-0 SU in the first game of a home series with no rest when they won the last two games their starter started and it is before the All-Star break. San Diego has actually been a slight dog on the average in the 12 wins.
The Padres are also a reliable 11-0 SU since the start of the 2016 season as a favorite in the first game of a series with no rest when their opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 2.5 on the season and it is before the All-Star break. San Diego has outscored their opponent by an average of 3.09 runs per game in this spot and they are 4-0 SU in this spot this season.
The Giants were our top play yesterday and they won 10-4 with three separate multiple-run innings. They have been terrible in this spot, going 0-14 SU as a road 140+ dog off a game as a dog in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and it is before the All-Star break. San Francisco has been beaten by an average of 4.36 runs per game in this spot.
The Giants lost Samardzija’s last start 6-3 AND they lost his last start vs the Padres 3-1. These are both negative indicators. San Francisco is 0-11 in franchise history with Samardzija as a dog of more than 130 when they lost his last start AND 0-8 SU in franchise history with Samardzija as a dog of more than 130 when he is seeking same-season revenge for a loss in which he got fewer than four runs of support.
The Padres play their best in series openers and they are facing a pitcher against whom they can score runs. San Diego has the line value.

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Cubs Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

MLB - Cincinnati Reds

The Brewers were able to hold off the Pirates in Sunday's series finale to close out a disappointing homestand, but now hit the road for seven straight. Adrian Houser takes the mound first in what looks like a difficult first task for the Crew since the Reds will send Tyler Mahle to the hill in order to get off to a strong start to a four-game set after taking two of three from the Cubs. Ride Cincinnati.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

1* Milwaukee Brewers (-110) vs Cincinnati Reds

1* San Diego Padres -1.5 (+123) vs San Francisco Giants

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
10 cinci

[FATMANWINS]

ats
4 cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Whale picks

Below is the Pythagorean Betting System series pick for Monday:

*5* Star Betting Series: Reds {A** Bet *- This is the {A** bet of a potential 4-game chase series. If the {A** bet loses, please double up on the B game the next day, and so forth.


Note that all Pythagorean picks are on the money line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

2*
Milwaukee -106

2*
Tampa bay / Baltimore over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROCKY ATKINSON

3*
1st Half MLB GOY - Texas -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN


3*
Cincinnati -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3*
San Francisco +140

3*
Cincinnati -110

3*
Toronto / SASKATCHEWAN Over 51