Saturday 6-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #31
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa
    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4950 Class Rating: 51

    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 5 PENNYBACKER BRIDGE 2/1

    # 2 SUMMERSWEET ROAD 3/1

    # 3 JERKWATER 5/1

    I favor PENNYBACKER BRIDGE here. Look for this racer to be close up at the wire versus these horses. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of horses recently. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Wood will most likely have this gelding in excellent position to win the contest. SUMMERSWEET ROAD - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the halfway point of the affair. With one of the top jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this gelding out. JERKWATER - Have to take notice when any animal makes a quick major improvement.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #32
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9200 Class Rating: 81

      FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 5 AWESOME ARROW 1/1

      # 1 YADIRA M 5/2

      # 4 LAKE GIRL 2/1

      AWESOME ARROW is my choice. She should be considered given the solid speed figs. Looks very strong to be on or close to the lead at the first call. Ought to be given a chance in here if only for the formidable speed rating recorded in the last contest. YADIRA M - Could beat this field given the 77 speed figure garnered in her last outing. Overall the speed figures of this horse look quite good in this race. LAKE GIRL - This one has been consistently racing well as of late. Has put up strong Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races in the past.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #33
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
        PURCHASE

        Bar

        Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 50

        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

        #7 CHARITABLE LASS (ML=7/2)
        #8 CALLING INDIA (ML=8/1)


        CHARITABLE LASS - Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a nice effort on June 20th. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer, Ingram, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. CALLING INDIA - Villegas rode this mount for the initial time last out and comes right back today. This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 UAINTSEENMECRAZYET (ML=8/5), #5 YODEL LADY (ML=9/2), #6 FLIRTIN HEART (ML=6/1),

        UAINTSEENMECRAZYET - Difficult to take this pony at these odds after the finish position (fifth) in the last race. YODEL LADY - This horse ran a pedestrian speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat today running that rating. FLIRTIN HEART - You always think this animal has a shot to win, but she falters often. This filly has had numerous races at Charles Town and still no victories. Substandard speed rating last time out at Charles Town at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much in today's event.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
        Go with #7 CHARITABLE LASS on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds

        EXACTA WAGERS:
        Box [7,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        None

        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #34
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
          PURCHASE

          06/29/19, LAD, Race 3, 4.15 CT
          7F [Dirt] 1.21.03 CLAIMING. Purse $7,500.
          Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
          Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta - .50 Super Pick 5 (Races 3-4-5-6-7) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
          100.0000 4 Miracle Master 4-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. JSFEC
          099.6943 6 Fusaichi Flame 7/5 Dominguez J Broberg Karl TW
          096.0958 2 Freakonthelead 8/5 Green A Smith Joseph P. L
          095.1553 3 Arkansas Martini 10-1 Guerrero J A Turner Patti
          093.4368 1 Mostly Sunny 10-1 Castillo A Decker. Jr. Cecil
          092.9577 5 Salute the C 12-1 Naupac W Perez. Jr. Gilbert O.
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
          Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
          4 111.80 1.26 40.83 89 218 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
          6 49.40 1.19 34.38 44 128 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
          2 46.20 1.20 39.32 46 117 [All Dirt] Best LeadPack
          3 58.30 1.29 39.60 40 101 [All Surfaces] Third Race After 45 Days Off
          1 35.10 1.14 36.59 45 123 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
          5 35.10 1.14 36.59 45 123 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #35
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
            PURCHASE

            06/29/19, GP, Race 4, 1.09 ET
            1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
            Claiming Price $10,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
            $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
            100.0000 1 W W Handsome(b-) 10-1 Camacho S Becker Scott T
            098.0556 6 Beau Splash 2-1 Vasquez M A Vinson John G SFC
            097.7710 3 Yesus Star(b+) 12-1 Rios J M D'Angelo Francisco
            097.6535 7 Jacks City 7/2 Jaramillo E Hickey William J. JE
            096.8425 4 T's Southern Dude 15-1 Torres C A Minguet Ramon L
            095.8220 5 Edward He's Sofine 8-1 Alvarez J L Collazo Henry W
            095.4882 9 Indy Rules 5/2 Meneses M Brownlee David R.
            094.3265 8 Loose Note 30-1 Hernandez O Hayford- Quinones Jenn
            092.8335 2 Sommer Legacy 30-1 Martinez G A Homeister. Sr. Rosemar
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
            Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
            1 27.80 1.20 33.82 23 68 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
            6 64.00 1.25 36.22 46 127 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
            3 29.40 1.70 42.86 9 21 [Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers On From Off
            7 64.00 1.25 36.22 46 127 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
            4 27.80 1.20 33.82 23 68 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
            5 64.00 1.25 36.22 46 127 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
            9 27.80 1.20 33.82 23 68 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
            8 64.00 1.25 36.22 46 127 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
            2 64.00 1.25 36.22 46 127 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #36
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
              PURCHASE

              Bar

              Century Mile - Race #6 - Post: 4:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,600 Class Rating: 61

              Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

              #5 MASTER PIP SQUEAK (ML=3/1)
              #6 AWESOME KNIGHT (ML=9/2)


              MASTER PIP SQUEAK - He has the highest earnings per race. Give the once over to this horse. AWESOME KNIGHT - The jock/trainer duo of Sarmiento and Frey has a strong ROI together. This gelding has 'tactical' speed, Sarmiento will use this advantage by laying in perfect striking position behind the pace, and getting first run on the leaders. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a nice effort within the last thirty days.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #1 COTTAGE (ML=2/1), #8 FLASH TWICE (ML=8/1),

              COTTAGE - Garnered a common rating last out in a $7,000 Maiden Claiming race on Jun 16th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure. FLASH TWICE - Last raced on Jun 22nd at Century Mile, finishing tenth. Unlikely to improve off of that effort today.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
              Go with #5 MASTER PIP SQUEAK on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds

              EXACTA WAGERS:
              Box [5,6]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              None

              SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
              Pass
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