Wednesday 7-3-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358442

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows
    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 96

    FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 3, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 3, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 1 CHIEF OF STAFF 4/1

    # 6 ROCKPORT KAT 7/2

    # 3 UNSTABLED 3/1

    I have to support CHIEF OF STAFF here. Has some positive angles which make this horse a play. His earnings per start in dirt route contests alone makes you take a look at him. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (84 average) at today's distance and surface lately. ROCKPORT KAT - Looks very good versus this field and will probably be one of the front-runners. Is a solid contender - given the 87 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. UNSTABLED - Always difficult to beat Villafranco and Vazquez working together, winning 24 percent of their races. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong speed figures (85 average) at today's distance and surface recently.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358442

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 71

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 2 GOOD AS MONEY 9/2

      # 3 DONALDDEEISSOARING 15/1

      # 5 BARREL OF STOUT 9/5

      GOOD AS MONEY looks to be a very good contender. Has been racing admirably and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in lately. DONALDDEEISSOARING - Could beat this group of animals given the 58 Equibase speed fig earned in his last outing. BARREL OF STOUT - Must be in condition if the handler is bringing him back so soon. Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 55 avg Equibase Speed Figure.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358442

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
        PURCHASE

        Bar

        Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 2:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 48

        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

        #6 KOLE MAN CAN (ML=6/1)


        KOLE MAN CAN - A big drop down in class rating points from his Jun 19th race at Thistledown. Based on that valuable data, I will give this animal the edge.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2B LAST CRUSADER (ML=5/2), #2 JERSEY SPRING (ML=5/2), #3 RUN NEZA RUN (ML=3/1),

        LAST CRUSADER - Not a good enough price on this horse at the likely odds of 5/2. JERSEY SPRING - This gelding ran his best speed figure in some time on the dirt in a sprint race. There may be a bounce today. RUN NEZA RUN - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last two races.

        Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - KOLE MAN CAN - Back in my statistics class, I did a study of how very important sole pace is and the pct of winners that demonstrated this profile. The pct was very high and this horse shows the potential for lone pace.





        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
        Play #6 KOLE MAN CAN to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

        EXACTA WAGERS:
        6 with 4

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        None

        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
        Skip

        ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358442

          #19
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
          PURCHASE

          07/03/19, BEL, Race 1, 1.30 ET
          6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
          Claiming Price $14,000 (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
          Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
          100.0000 3 Mazmania 10-1 Franco M Sciacca Gary W
          099.3143 2 Simona(b+) 7/5 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. JTSFC
          098.6753 1A Tayler's the Boss 9/5 Hernandez B Kantarmaci Mertkan
          097.0986 1 Midnitesalright 9/5 Hernandez B Kantarmaci Mertkan EL
          095.5603 5 Zecha 6-1 Martinez J R Persaud Randi
          094.9717 6 Dazzling Speed(b-) 15-1 Harkie H K Davis Edmund D.
          093.4795 4 Jazzy J 4-1 Reyes L R Maymo Alejandro
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
          Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
          3 34.30 1.31 19.64 11 56 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
          2 34.30 1.31 19.64 11 56 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
          1A 34.30 1.31 19.64 11 56 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
          1 12.00 1.05 29.23 38 130 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
          5 34.30 1.31 19.64 11 56 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
          6 152.70 1.82 23.66 22 93 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent
          4 34.30 1.31 19.64 11 56 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358442

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
            PURCHASE

            07/03/19, LAD, Race 6, 5.37 CT
            5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $24,000.
            Claiming Price $17,500 (Races Where Entered For $15,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500
            Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
            100.0000 6 Fee Fi Fo Fo 8-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. JT
            098.6707 4 Dr Liz 5/2 Eramia R E Delany Sarah S
            098.1715 8 Acadian Driftwood 7/2 Guerrero J A Cart Jerry D. F
            097.2944 3 D'wildcat Indian 5-1 Dominguez J Hodges James E. C
            096.8334 2 Muskarella 12-1 Castillo A Ward Ronnie P. W
            095.7511 1 Veronica's Dream 5-1 Green A Husak Gary J.
            094.5548 7 Tiz the Faith 7/2 Martinez O Arey Anthony EL
            090.9388 5 Yella Wally Gator 30-1 Del-Cid H Smith V. L.
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
            Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
            6 58.30 1.29 39.60 40 101 [All Surfaces] Third Race After 45 Days Off
            4 42.40 1.13 35.37 58 164 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
            8 111.80 1.26 40.83 89 218 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
            3 42.40 1.13 35.37 58 164 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
            2 49.40 1.19 34.38 44 128 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
            1 42.40 1.13 35.37 58 164 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
            7 58.30 1.29 39.60 40 101 [All Surfaces] Third Race After 45 Days Off
            5 42.40 1.13 35.37 58 164 [All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358442

              #21
              1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Indians -150
              2. Gameday Network MLB – Angels -130
              3. VegasSI.com MLB – Dodgers -1.5
              4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Yankees -150
              5. Sports Action 365 MLB – White Sox GM1 -150
              6. Point Spread Report MLB – Nationals -1.5
              7. Lou Panelli MLB – Twins over 9.5
              8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Rangers +120
              9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Rays over 8.5
              10. William E. Stockton MLB – Yankees -150
              11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Tigers GM2 +115
              12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Cubs under 9.5
              13. SCORE MLB – Giants +115
              14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Dodgers -1.5
              15. Tony Campone MLB – Astros -130
              16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Yankees over 9.5
              17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Cardinals -120
              18. VIP Action MLB – Nationals -1.5
              19. South Beach Sports MLB – Reds -130
              20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Dodgers -1.5
              21. NY Players Club MLB – Indans -150
              22. Fred Callahan MLB – Rays -1.5
              23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Red Sox -1.5
              24. Michigan Sports MLB – Nationals -1.5
              25. National Consensus Report MLB – Astros under 14
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358442

                #22
                Brian Bitler

                Brian’s 10* WNBA Main Event

                New York vs. Seattle, 07/03/2019 15:00 EDT

                Point Spread: +7½/-110 New York

                Sportsbook:
                TopBet

                New York Liberty are surprising a ton of people and I am one of those people. I had Atlanta on Sunday but the Liberty put the beat down on them and have won 2 straight. The Storm shoul be in letdown mode after a hard fought loss at home to the Mercury. I think Liberty keep it close and maybe pull the upset.

                Invest 10 units on the Liberty rotation #633
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358442

                  #23
                  Alex Smart

                  MLB

                  San Francisco vs. San Diego, 07/03/2019 21:10 EDT

                  Money Line: +120 San Francisco

                  Sportsbook:
                  Betonline

                  SHAUN ANDERSON (R) vs. CAL QUANTRILL (R)

                  SF has suddenly gone form zeros to heros of late , as their usually light hitting offense has exploded for 33 runs in their L/3 games and in their current form value based underdogs tonight in San Diego against the Fathers. With up trending starter Anderson, on the hill the Giants' are a must play team. He has been the most consistent starter in the their rotation, and delivered another strong performance Friday, holding the D-backs to two runs over 5 2/3 innings. He faced the Padres on June 12 and gave up two runs over six innings and gets the nod again here tonight. Note:SAN DIEGO is 0-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.

                  Play on the SF Giants
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358442

                    #24
                    Golden Lock Sports MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑155
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358442

                      #25
                      Assassin Sports Betting MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑125
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358442

                        #26
                        DONNY ACTION MLB KANSAS CITY ROYALS +140
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358442

                          #27
                          R and R Totals MLB PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES/ATLANTA BRAVES ‑105 o11
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358442

                            #28
                            Ace / V.I.P. MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑130
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358442

                              #29
                              DailySpotPlays MLB OAKLAND ATHLETICS +105
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358442

                                #30
                                FURBOOKIE MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +115
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