Saturday 7-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 2:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,900 Class Rating: 58

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 IT'S SPRINGTIME (ML=6/1)
#7 RIDE THE TIDE (ML=10/1)


IT'S SPRINGTIME - Believe in this horse. No other viable early speed gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. RIDE THE TIDE - This race horse should be rumbling down the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MISS D IRISH (ML=3/1), #3 ZOE MY LOVE (ML=7/2), #8 GRANDMA DOTTIE (ML=9/2),

MISS D IRISH - You think this horse is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done frequently. When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt route. ZOE MY LOVE - Didn't hit the board on April 27th at Tampa Bay Downs. Followed it up with another lackluster try. GRANDMA DOTTIE - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any mount that finishes second and third as often as this participant does.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 IT'S SPRINGTIME on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE

07/06/19, BEL, Race 6, 3.55 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 STAKES. Purse $250,000.
Grade 3
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Late Pick 5 Races (6-10), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 1 Mihos 5-1 Ortiz J L Jerkens James A. W
097.7328 3 Code of Honor 4/5 Velazquez J R McGaughey III Claude R E
097.1427 5 Final Jeopardy 8-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Servis Jason TC
096.8805 2 Rowayton 3-1 Rosario J Chatlos Don SL
096.4312 4 Whiskey Echo 20-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M.
095.8324 6 Majid 6-1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. JF
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
1 19.10 1.24 20.00 8 40 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
5 19.10 1.24 20.00 8 40 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
2 16.40 1.08 37.37 37 99 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Second Race After 45 Days Off
4 16.40 1.08 37.37 37 99 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Second Race After 45 Days Off
6 19.10 1.24 20.00 8 40 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4

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Tony Brown

Tony's MLB free play

Baltimore vs. Toronto, 07/06/2019 15:07 EDT

Money Line: +128 Baltimore

Sportsbook:
Bodog

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Brian Bitler

Brian’s 9* MLB Absolute Winner

Baltimore vs. Toronto, 07/06/2019 15:07 EDT

Money Line: -150 Toronto

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Another game that absolutely is begging for Orioles money yesterday we backed them when they looked sharp tonight we are fading them as the public backs the Orioles big time. This line has moved for a reason to keep you off the Blue Jays well I am going on Toronto as this IMO is Clayton Richard’s last shot to pitch in the big leagues look for a giant effort from him and a clunker for Cashner.

Invest 9 units on the Blue Jays here rotation #916

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Alex Smart

MLB

Miami vs. Atlanta, 07/06/2019 16:10 EDT

Point Spread: -1½/+100 Atlanta

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Atlanta is 9-1 on the ML against the Marlins this season, including three shutout victories. Miami has scored more than two runs in only three of the 10 games against the Braves and are fade material on the runline here this afternoon.

Note: Atlanta Braves left-hander Max Fried will be making his first start Saturday since the death of his close friend, Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs.

The Braves have had their way with lower tier teams:ATLANTA is 13-1 against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) this season with the average run differential clicking in a +3 per game.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL -1.5

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Dwayne Connors

The Yankees and Rays played Over the total on Thursday night when they went 10 innings, and they played Over the total again on Saturday when they went 11 innings at Tropicana Field.


The Over in this series has now cashed the ticket in each of the last 3 showdowns and in 4 of the last 6 overall series meetings.


Today will be CC Sabathia and Blake Snell dueling again for second time this year. On June 19th, the Yankees rocked Snell's world for a total of 6 runs, as they chased Snell after just one out. Snell also walked 4 in that start that landed Over the total.


Snell has seen the Over go 3-0-1 his last 4 trips to the mound, and his season ERA is a BIG 4.87 for the season.


Sabathia has seen each of his last 6 starts this year play Over the total, and the Over is 9-4 in his 13 season starts to date.


The Yankees have been playing some pretty high-scoring games of late, and today shapes up to be another high-scoring affair.


New York-Tampa Bay Over the total.

4* N.Y. YANKEES-TAMPA BAY OVER

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Bob Valentino

Saturday comp play on the Under in the Royals-Nationals game.

I feel pretty sure that Washington is going to hit Kansas City starter Glenn Sparkman who does own a rather "large" ERA of 8.04 for his last 3 starts - 2 of the 3 landing Over the total - but even if the Nats chase Sparkman, I don't see this game landing Over the total with Max Scherzer doing the mound-work for the home team Nats.

Scherzer is in a most definite zone right now, as he has worked his last 8 starts with no more than 2 runs allowed in any of those 8. The Under is 5-1-1 over Mighty Max's last 7 starts, so strong chance the Royals bats remain very, very quiet for this late day showdown in D.C.

Washington comes into this game having played 4 of their last 5 Under the total, and the Under is 5-2 over their last 7 games played overall.

Max Scherzer stays stingy in his last start before the break.

Royals-Nationals Under the total.

3* KANSAS CITY-WASHINGTON UNDER

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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 06 '19, 5:00 PM in 32m
MLB | Red Sox vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +187 at YouWager

1 Dimer on Tigers +187

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Frank Sawyer

Jul 06 '19, 5:00 PM in 32m
MLB | Red Sox vs Tigers
Play on: Red Sox -172 at betonline

Take the Boston Red Sox with the money-line versus the Detroit Tigers listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and Jordan Zimmermann. Boston (47-41) won the opening game of this series last night by a 9-6 score. The Red Sox have now won 24 of their last 33 games on the road. Boston has also won 57 of their last 75 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Detroit (28-55) has lost 26 of their last 34 games after a loss. The Tigers have also lost 46 of their last 63 home games home games against teams with a winning record. Take Boston with the money-line while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

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Doug Upstone

Jul 06 '19, 7:00 PM in 2h
CFL | BC vs Toronto
Play on: Toronto +9 -125 at 5Dimes

British Columbia might be 0-3 (1-2 ATS), but they are still thought of as the superior team over Toronto (0-2 SU & ATS) in this contest of winless clubs. The Lions have been bumped from -6.5 to -7.5 (now +9 at some books) and the Argos are being outscored by 37.5 PPG thus far. With the spread going over a key number of seven and the underdog 7-2 ATS, going to hold my nose and take Toronto.

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Mike Williams

Jul 06 '19, 7:15 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Mets
Play on: Mets -140 at Mirage

1* on Mets -140

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Mark Wilson

Jul 06 '19, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Rockies -107 at pinnacle

Free Play on Rockies -107
The Colorado Rockies look to rebound after an 8-0 loss yesterday to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The odds are in the favor to snap their current losing streak and get back to their winning ways. Not only are the odds in their favor, but so are the numbers. Jon Gray (9-5 3.84 ERA) gets the start for Colorado and faces Robbie Ray (5-6 4.10 ERA) of the DBacks. Gray has 111 K’s in 103 innings and sports a solid ERA and WHIP despite starting half of his games at Coors Field.
The Rockies offense is now third in the league in runs (5.6) and hits (9.5) per game. On top of that, they have the best average in the Majors (.270). Gray has done well against Arizona this season, going 11 ⅓ innings and only allowing three earned runs in two starts, with Colorado winning both games. Ray has struggled in his last two starts against the Rockies, allowing seven earned runs in 10 ⅔ innings. Colorado is 8-1 SU in their last nine games against Arizona, and 6-1 SU in their last seven in Arizona.

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Cole Faxon

Jul 06 '19, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Padres vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -155 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Dodgers -155