Service Plays Friday 7/5/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 pirates, 300 orioles , 400 Yankees game under , 300 Arizona RL, 500 Oakland game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 967 New York Yankees -105 (M Tanaka | B McKay) (Friday, July 5th)

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Marlins Rockies Philly Guy - Brewers LAD Phillies Astros

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 7:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Baltimore Orioles +115

View Analysis

Bundy v. Sanchez

Wow...it is this easy? Aaron Sanchez and favorite ain't words that go in the same sentence....all aboard the fade train!

Dylan Bundy can't buy a win and he does play for the O's...but against a meager offense like Toronto and his last 4 starts have yielded a few excellent xFIP performances...including 2 sub-3.00 and he is also better on the road...oh and holy hell did I mention he is + money against Aaron Sanchez?! S

Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 11.0 (-103)

View Analysis

Rodriguez v. Soto

Nary a single lineup has punished left handed pitching of late more than these Red Sox. Eduardo gets the best run support by a solidly wide margin of any MLB starter and the reason is likely due to situations like facing Gregory Soto and the Tigers. His numbers are porous at best...often with double digit ERA numbers and a hideous 8.44 through 6 starts

The Tigers will likely need to help us here...but they are off a great offensive explosion and in the perfect mode to do so!

Game: (955) Miami Marlins at (956) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Miami Marlins 1.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Yamamoto v. Teheran

Holy deals deals deals! One of these starters is a young pitcher with only a handful of starts under his belt...with an ERA that is excellent and an FIP that is almost as DAMN GOOD! He has yet to allow a HR so his xFIP is hideous so we slough it off. He walks too many batters and has a BABIP under .200. His opponent has an xFIP of even higher (despite Yamamoto not even surrendering a HR) and fully fadeable FIP also! He strikes out less and walks more batters than JY who we said we worry in that realm!

The former! is the pitcher getting the plus money and the near even money on the Run line!

Take advantage of such a situation as Jordan Yamamoto will not be +1.5 much in his career going forward...even against the clear class of the NL East in Atlanta and on the road!

Most value on the entire slate is here tonight! Love it!

Game: (973) Oakland Athletics at (974) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (-120)

View Analysis

Anderson v. Kikuchi

Kikuchi is such an Over play on the season he even grappled with my Under system play his last time out...faced Verlander no less...and STILL took it over.

Now he faces an offense as close to as good against lefties as most any...and in addition to Kikuchi's amazing 16 of 18 Overs...the A's are 7-3 Over in the division facing lefties!

Game: (961) St. Louis Cardinals at (962) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco Giants -107

View Analysis

Hudson v. Pomeranz



Let's start with good ole Dakota

23.5% is how often a fly ball hit off him goes yard...

He has an FIP 1.5 points and xFIP 1 point higher than his ERA. He. clogs the bases with walks at damn near 4 per 9 and is worse with his control on the road. Everything about this is an excellent spot to fade with an offense in SF that has really turned a corner from its abysmal start to the year.

Pomeranz, on the other hand has metrics that would make him an FIP play ON if it weren't even for how wonderful he has pitched at home the last 4 starts...allowing 2 earned runs in 20 innings!



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[dawggy]

ROB VENO

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 7:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 10.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-118)

View Analysis

Game: (973) Oakland Athletics at (974) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Oakland Athletics -1.5 (-102)

View Analysis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:

ARZ F5 -.5 -130 3u

MLB Season: 61-69-7 47% -43.05 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 967 New York Yankees -105 (M Tanaka | B McKay) (Friday, July 5th


+EV: WNBA 4u: 642 WAS/LVA un166 -110 (Friday, July 5th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: WNBA 4u: 636 Dallas Wings -3.5 -105 (Friday, July 5th)
+EV: WNBA 4u: 639 NYL/PHX ov159 -113 (Friday, July 5th)