Service Plays Sunday 7/7/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
1:10 PM EST
Rotation #967-969
Rays -115 over Yankees
Morton/Paxton
The Yankees have owned the Rays this year, but with one swing of the bat the Rays walked it off last night and are riding that momentum. Charlie Morton has been great for Tampa this season and I expect the Rays bats to come out swinging against James Paxton who has struggled on the road. Tampa is feeling good about themselves and are looking to gain a little ground going into the midway point of the season. Take the Rays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports (MLB)

5* Philadelphia Phillies -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eurotigra soccer

Belarus. Vysshaya Liga

FC Gomel - Gorodeja


FC Gomel 0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

1* OVER 7.5 NYY at Tampa Bay

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-115)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Price v. Soto
  Why stop now? We had this total on Friday and it came in with 15 runs even with a delay, then yesterday they upped the ante for 16 total runs. We thought we were riding with Soto on Friday but got Carpenter instead, and sadly for Tigers fans it is basically negligible. Soto does go today, for however long, but it should be enough to get us going strongly in the right direction. His FIP/xFIP split is awful in the mid-6s and were he to "qualify" he would be league bottom in the MLB. Boston has been absolutely raking against lefties recently as well racking up
  .241 ISO
  22 wRC
  5.7 wRAA
  .371 wOBA
  130 wRC+
  metrics just the past couple weeks in almost 130 PAs
  On top of all this, we have Detroit's fine bullpen action...likely to be in early and often after Soto gets chased...who ranks dead last in FIP/xFIP since June 1st piling up a -0.4 WAR, they allow the most hard contact at 42% of batted balls. Everyone knows of how hideous the Mets bullpen has been in the recent past...doing all they could to lose every game they appear, leading or trailing...well the Tigers bullpen is RIGHT on their heels with a -3.00 win probability added, compared to the Mets nearly -5.00
  Finally, on the front of "get a little help from our friends"...the Tigers have been hitting the ball semi-decently at home over the past week, complining an over .300 BA, .200 ISO, .357 BABIP, .346 wOBA, and 117 wRC+ over the last week of play.
  All in all, the value at a 10 in this situation as we head to a much needed break for the players is immense and unlikely to stick around before 10.5 pops up later this AM
  
• Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: New York Mets -102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Nola v. Wheeler
  The biggest aspect of this play is the funky nature of the line. Sure Philly has Harper and the "better" pitcher and Nola has dominated the first 5 inning money, but Wheeler has actually been at least as good, just basically shut down the insanely HOT Yankee lineup at Citi Field last start out, and before that did the same to this Philly lineup on the road. This might be why the money is on the Mets for the full game, following this aspect made me happy, as I LOVED the Mets when the line opened at regular -110 juice...opened bigger at Pinnacle, then dropped!
  Nola is a first 5 stud and likely holds his own the first 2 times through the lineup, but even that is in doubt as he drops so precipitously the second time through, losing 2 Ks per 9 and adding 2 BB per 9 while going up in FIP from around 3.00 to 4.50! Wheeler, however, excels the second time through after facing opponents, dropping xFIP almost a point, ratcheting up his strikeouts, dropping his BB per 9 from 4 to 1, and allowing a .230 BA!
  The bargain basement prices we're being offered on Wheeler lately are too good to pass up, and being at home, and almost a DOG we can thank Aaron Nola, who likely gets pounded by McNeil and Alonso at some point in the middle of this game!

[dawggy]

ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Philadelphia Phillies -107
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) Atlanta Braves
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Houston Astros
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 2:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-107)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 4:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+120)
  
  View Analysis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Accu Picks

MLB
3* #956 Pittsburgh -105 (Musgrove)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Desert sports:

Early release> stl-120 and stl 08. 2 team par

cle-120
tb-110
mil/pit u9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

5% Cubs/Wsox over 10.5
4% Balt/Tor under 10.5
3% Stl/SF under 8

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-115)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Price v. Soto
  Why stop now? We had this total on Friday and it came in with 15 runs even with a delay, then yesterday they upped the ante for 16 total runs. We thought we were riding with Soto on Friday but got Carpenter instead, and sadly for Tigers fans it is basically negligible. Soto does go today, for however long, but it should be enough to get us going strongly in the right direction. His FIP/xFIP split is awful in the mid-6s and were he to "qualify" he would be league bottom in the MLB. Boston has been absolutely raking against lefties recently as well racking up
  .241 ISO
  22 wRC
  5.7 wRAA
  .371 wOBA
  130 wRC+
  metrics just the past couple weeks in almost 130 PAs
  On top of all this, we have Detroit's fine bullpen action...likely to be in early and often after Soto gets chased...who ranks dead last in FIP/xFIP since June 1st piling up a -0.4 WAR, they allow the most hard contact at 42% of batted balls. Everyone knows of how hideous the Mets bullpen has been in the recent past...doing all they could to lose every game they appear, leading or trailing...well the Tigers bullpen is RIGHT on their heels with a -3.00 win probability added, compared to the Mets nearly -5.00
  Finally, on the front of "get a little help from our friends"...the Tigers have been hitting the ball semi-decently at home over the past week, complining an over .300 BA, .200 ISO, .357 BABIP, .346 wOBA, and 117 wRC+ over the last week of play.
  All in all, the value at a 10 in this situation as we head to a much needed break for the players is immense and unlikely to stick around before 10.5 pops up later this AM
• Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: New York Mets -102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Nola v. Wheeler
  The biggest aspect of this play is the funky nature of the line. Sure Philly has Harper and the "better" pitcher and Nola has dominated the first 5 inning money, but Wheeler has actually been at least as good, just basically shut down the insanely HOT Yankee lineup at Citi Field last start out, and before that did the same to this Philly lineup on the road. This might be why the money is on the Mets for the full game, following this aspect made me happy, as I LOVED the Mets when the line opened at regular -110 juice...opened bigger at Pinnacle, then dropped!
  Nola is a first 5 stud and likely holds his own the first 2 times through the lineup, but even that is in doubt as he drops so precipitously the second time through, losing 2 Ks per 9 and adding 2 BB per 9 while going up in FIP from around 3.00 to 4.50! Wheeler, however, excels the second time through after facing opponents, dropping xFIP almost a point, ratcheting up his strikeouts, dropping his BB per 9 from 4 to 1, and allowing a .230 BA!
  The bargain basement prices we're being offered on Wheeler lately are too good to pass up, and being at home, and almost a DOG we can thank Aaron Nola, who likely gets pounded by McNeil and Alonso at some point in the middle of this game!

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Toronto Blue Jays
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Baltimore Orioles +160
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wojciechowski v. Thornton
  Dumbest line I've seen in weeks! We ain't stopping now! We win outright with the O's multiple times in a row...as dogs...on the road...and just because the 3rd starter in 3 tries is in a spot start position the line EXPANDS?!
  Trent Thornton is no (huge) upgrade over the previous 2 fellas in Richard or Sanchez. Maybe the latter 2 are the worst starters in the league...so that's saying something! Thornton metric-ed out still has a 4.80/4.76 FIP/xFIP split and still walks more than 4 hitters per 9 and still struggles just as much the FIRST time thru the order as the THIRD!...with a 4.84 xFIP!
  Look at these words...because they will be fleeting (similar to Jordan Yamamoto being offered at +1.5...
  Trent Thornton is a -180 favorite in a major League baseball contest...today on July 7th of 2019. This on the heels of 2 total runs and putting up zero fight in a 4-1 and 8-1 loss
  This is still scary a bit betting on Baltimore...but do we really think that groove they're in evaporates with 1 final effort to give before the break?! This ahem almost feels like ahem...one of those "bet of the whateveryouwannacallit" type spots!
  
• Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Toronto Blue Jays
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Baltimore Orioles +165
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Toronto Blue Jays
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Baltimore Orioles 1.5 (-120)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wojciechowski v. Thornton
  
  Wow this is an epically DUMB line I cannot skip on! I think if we lose a bet like this I should HAVE to take at least 3 days off (wink wink)
  
• Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-115)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Price v. Soto
  Why stop now? We had this total on Friday and it came in with 15 runs even with a delay, then yesterday they upped the ante for 16 total runs. We thought we were riding with Soto on Friday but got Carpenter instead, and sadly for Tigers fans it is basically negligible. Soto does go today, for however long, but it should be enough to get us going strongly in the right direction. His FIP/xFIP split is awful in the mid-6s and were he to "qualify" he would be league bottom in the MLB. Boston has been absolutely raking against lefties recently as well racking up
  .241 ISO
  22 wRC
  5.7 wRAA
  .371 wOBA
  130 wRC+
  metrics just the past couple weeks in almost 130 PAs
  On top of all this, we have Detroit's fine bullpen action...likely to be in early and often after Soto gets chased...who ranks dead last in FIP/xFIP since June 1st piling up a -0.4 WAR, they allow the most hard contact at 42% of batted balls. Everyone knows of how hideous the Mets bullpen has been in the recent past...doing all they could to lose every game they appear, leading or trailing...well the Tigers bullpen is RIGHT on their heels with a -3.00 win probability added, compared to the Mets nearly -5.00
  Finally, on the front of "get a little help from our friends"...the Tigers have been hitting the ball semi-decently at home over the past week, complining an over .300 BA, .200 ISO, .357 BABIP, .346 wOBA, and 117 wRC+ over the last week of play.
  All in all, the value at a 10 in this situation as we head to a much needed break for the players is immense and unlikely to stick around before 10.5 pops up later this AM
  
• Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: New York Mets -102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Nola v. Wheeler
  The biggest aspect of this play is the funky nature of the line. Sure Philly has Harper and the "better" pitcher and Nola has dominated the first 5 inning money, but Wheeler has actually been at least as good, just basically shut down the insanely HOT Yankee lineup at Citi Field last start out, and before that did the same to this Philly lineup on the road. This might be why the money is on the Mets for the full game, following this aspect made me happy, as I LOVED the Mets when the line opened at regular -110 juice...opened bigger at Pinnacle, then dropped!
  Nola is a first 5 stud and likely holds his own the first 2 times through the lineup, but even that is in doubt as he drops so precipitously the second time through, losing 2 Ks per 9 and adding 2 BB per 9 while going up in FIP from around 3.00 to 4.50! Wheeler, however, excels the second time through after facing opponents, dropping xFIP almost a point, ratcheting up his strikeouts, dropping his BB per 9 from 4 to 1, and allowing a .230 BA!
  The bargain basement prices we're being offered on Wheeler lately are too good to pass up, and being at home, and almost a DOG we can thank Aaron Nola, who likely gets pounded by McNeil and Alonso at some point in the middle of this game!
  
• Game: (975) Cleveland Indians at (976) Cincinnati Reds
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Mahle v. Bauer
  Pitcher's duel to start this bad boy off...both pitchers are on the.big time BACK fest and when I can't decide which I like better but it's that tough it's almost too easy to take a first 5 Under.
  
  Screams 1-1 at worst...even yesterday went Under with 4 runs and Tyler Mahle on the road is 2-7-1 O/U on the season!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Assassin Sports

MLB
Top Play - Tigers/Red Sox Over 10
Regular Play - Cleveland Indians -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks
1:10 pm est mlb
philadelphia phillies vs. New york mets

pick: Philadelphia phillies (-104)

risk: 11 units

1:10 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Tampa bay rays

pick: Tampa bay rays (-112)

risk: 11 units

4:10 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. Arizona diamondbacks

pick: Colorado rockies (-125)

risk: 11 units

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Phillies Braves over Philly Guy - Brewers Phillies Twins Cubs

[dawggy]

SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP

• Game: (967) New York Yankees at (968) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New York Yankees +115
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Houston Astros
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 2:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Los Angeles Angels +150
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (979) Chicago Cubs at (980) Chicago White Sox
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 2:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Chicago Cubs -175
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (957) St. Louis Cardinals at (958) San Francisco Giants
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 4:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: St. Louis Cardinals -120
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (959) Colorado Rockies at (960) Arizona Diamondbacks
  Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 4:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Colorado Rockies -135
  
  View Analysis

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(959) Colorado Rockies at (960) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Jul 7 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Colorado Rockies -130

View Analysis

Marquez v. Young
Marquez is 6-1 SU and 5-2 RL facing the Dbacks since start of 2018 and faces the home debut of Alex Young with his 5.06 xFIP and faces the Rockies lineup facing a sweep heading into the break with the best pitcher on the mound and a second straight lefty to face. Bett ing with Marquez and against a sweep of evenly matched divisional foes makes this just an excellent value play and climbing away from us RAPIDLY so grab the best number fast!