Service Plays Saturday 7/13/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:05 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-143)

risk: 11 units

7:15 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Boston red sox

pick: Los angeles dodgers (+158)

risk: 11 units

7:15 pm est mlb
san francisco giants vs. Milwaukee brewers

pick: Milwaukee brewers (-126)

risk: 11 units

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
15 milw
8 bos under
8 tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4-Unit Play. Take #611 Las Vegas +5 over Washington (Saturday, July 13 at 7:00 PM ET)

Take Las Vegas ATS as my 4-Unit WNBA Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one my top WNBA systems and even if Elena Delle Donne does play, I still have Las Vegas winning this game outright on the road tonight. Washington hasn't won without Elena Delle Donne and even if she is ready to go tonight, she will not be 100%. Las Vegas gets another shot at this Washington team and they will be ready to play having won 4 straight games heading into this matchup. I still believe that Las Vegas is the best team in the WNBA and I'm ready for them to prove that here tonight. Las Vegas is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against Washington and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against Washington overall. Las Vegas looked like they were in trouble at home against Washington before the earthquake canceled that game so you can bet they will be ready to play tonight. Play Las Vegas ATS as we move to 23-11 with my last 34 WNBA picks, and make sure you get on my 7-Unit MLB Smash that goes Saturday night as my dominating $13,740 premium picks run continues.

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (953) Pittsburgh Pirates at (954) Chicago Cubs
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 2:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: 1H Chicago Cubs -0.5 (-119)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (975) Detroit Tigers at (976) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Detroit Tigers -102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Boyd v. Keller
  
  Analysis to come....
  
  2 systems already here...one is 36-15 last 5 years and the other 40-18
  
• Game: (963) Cincinnati Reds at (964) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds +102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Roark v. Freeland
  Kyle Freeland last started in the major league level on 5/30 of this year, then was sent down due to pure lack of ability to throw strikes and record outs period...let alone coming off a Cy Young-esque 2018 campaign. He had 4 starts down in AAA for the Rockies organization, and one could argue he regressed from his semi-terrible form up in the majors. He walked 5 batters per 9 innings, was able to strand not even 50% of the baserunners he allowed, and kept his HR/FB rate right at its pathetic level of roughly 1 per 5 fly balls. How Kyle Freeland appears as a starter on a Saturday in July and is a favorite for the game (and first 5 innings too kind of!) is beyond me and worth fading by itself!
  The Reds facing lefties over the past month have been the most "patient" lineup going with close to 14% walk rate, good for tops in the MLB. They also have sported a .314 BABIP, both signs of getting on base, the main issue with Freeland, letting baserunners clear the bases and racking up a pitch count much too quickly. On a nice night in Denver at Coors, hard to imagine red hot Eugenio Suarez doesn't wreak havoc on Freeland right off the bat...and odds are there will be runners aplenty on base.
  Tanner Roark isn't the easiest to back on the Reds stellar pitching staff but he is solid in July and his metrics are still wildly better than his opposing starter...ruling out bullpens completely here we hope!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

2* CHICAGO WHITE SOX / OAKLAND ATHLETICS over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* CALGARY +4

3* Cincinnati +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Boston / LA DODGERS over 9

3* Detroit -113

3* San Diego -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

Milwaukee -131 Bum Dav
Miami +121 Syn
Kansas City -105 Boy Kel

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
Top 3* Plays
White Sox/Athletics Over 9.5 (-130)
Red Sox/Dodgers Over 9 (-120)

1* Plays
White Sox +185
Dodgers +160
Indians -1.5 runs
Cardinals -1.5 runs
Brewers -1.5 runs
Padres -1.5 runs

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Giants Astros Dime Man - Cubs Philly Guy - Cubs Astros Nationals Rockies over Champagne - Nationals Brewers Rays Nationals all under

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (953) Pittsburgh Pirates at (954) Chicago Cubs
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 2:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: 1H Chicago Cubs -0.5 (-119)
  
  View Analysis
• Game: (975) Detroit Tigers at (976) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Detroit Tigers -102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Boyd v. Keller
  
  Analysis to come....
  
  2 systems already here...one is 36-15 last 5 years and the other 40-18
• Game: (963) Cincinnati Reds at (964) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds +102
  
  View Analysis
  
  Roark v. Freeland
  Kyle Freeland last started in the major league level on 5/30 of this year, then was sent down due to pure lack of ability to throw strikes and record outs period...let alone coming off a Cy Young-esque 2018 campaign. He had 4 starts down in AAA for the Rockies organization, and one could argue he regressed from his semi-terrible form up in the majors. He walked 5 batters per 9 innings, was able to strand not even 50% of the baserunners he allowed, and kept his HR/FB rate right at its pathetic level of roughly 1 per 5 fly balls. How Kyle Freeland appears as a starter on a Saturday in July and is a favorite for the game (and first 5 innings too kind of!) is beyond me and worth fading by itself!
  The Reds facing lefties over the past month have been the most "patient" lineup going with close to 14% walk rate, good for tops in the MLB. They also have sported a .314 BABIP, both signs of getting on base, the main issue with Freeland, letting baserunners clear the bases and racking up a pitch count much too quickly. On a nice night in Denver at Coors, hard to imagine red hot Eugenio Suarez doesn't wreak havoc on Freeland right off the bat...and odds are there will be runners aplenty on base.
  Tanner Roark isn't the easiest to back on the Reds stellar pitching staff but he is solid in July and his metrics are still wildly better than his opposing starter...ruling out bullpens completely here we hope!

Game:(959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks +121

View Analysis

Kelly v. Hudson
I smell a rat with this line...and thus here we are yet again backing the Dbacks, this time on the first 5 line as we mentioned was almost the play last night. I hope more of you than not were able to play action and not listed (purposely or accidentally) to get that solid 2-0 night!
Both these "rookies" in today's matcup are quite a pair: Merill Kelly is worse on the road than he is at home, Dakota Hudson is better on the road than he is at home. Both get to toss pitches in the locale where they are lesser and yet one of the 2 of them is a semi-decent dog of +130 or more with an offensive lineup against RHP that has been nothing short of OFFENSIVE! As we played on the chances of righties coming out of the pen making the Cards potentially worse last night, we now bank on the fact Kelly should face hitters for the first 15 outs tonight and throw from the right side for each one! Over a period of the last month as well as the last couple weeks, the Cards are just flat out metrically the worst....not in a small sample of PAs either...170 since the end of June, piling up -11 wRAA, a .248 wOBA, with the lowest BB rate, and 50 Ks during that span! (quick refresher of hitting metrics - wOBA is the stat I most utilize and is synonymous with the OBP scale- above .400 is considered "excellent" while below .300 is considered "horrible"...so .248 speaks for itself...nobody in the lineup can hit a righty right now...and yet Vegas will PAY YOU to fade the Cards!
The Dbacks on offense is luckily a different story...not world beaters, but over the same amount of PAs have a .320 wOBA, a flat wRAA, and double them up with XBH rating ISO- .194 compared to .105 (think of it in terms of BA but eliminating singles also).
We are getting plus money for a first 5, all at bats included, just need to be leading and have no worries about the outcome...Christian Walker is just as likely to do it all by himself for us and we move to Sunday with a stone cold winner!

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Giants Astros Dime Man - Cubs Philly Guy - Cubs Astros Nationals Rockies over Champagne - Nationals Brewers Rays Nationals all under

Champagne - Astros under (have Nationals twice)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MARCO’S NL GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (957) Washington Nationals at (958) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals +109

View Analysis

PLAY: (957) WASHINGTON +109
RATING: 4% PLAY

Don’t look now but the Washington Nationals are one of the hottest teams in baseball going 16-4 over their last 20 games. Pat Corbin goes for Washington and he has been an absolute stud giving up a total of just 3 runs over his last 4 starts. In those 4 starts he has gone 7 innings in each game. His strikeout to walk ratio in those 4 games is an incredible 35-4. In his 9 division starts this year Washington is 7-2 as Corbin has an ERA 2.26 and a WHIP of 1.00. Aaron Nola goes for Philly and although he is currently pitching well also his division starts have produced just a 5-5 record for the Phillies. The entire Washington pitching staff is razor sharp right now allowing 2 runs or less in 7 of their last 8 games. Washington is a team on the move and I’m riding them here.

TAKE WASHINGTON as MARCO’S 4% NL GAME OF THE WEEK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy 3 unit play WNBA:
Vegas +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass: 400 twins game over , 400 Phillies game under , 300 sf giants , 400 cardinals , 700 * Rockies game over