Service Plays Monday 7/15/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

7-Unit Play. Take #964 Boston (-1.5, -110) over Toronto (7 p.m., Monday, July 15)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

7-Unit Play. Take #964 Boston (-1.5, -110) over Toronto (7 p.m., Monday, July 15)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (961) Tampa Bay Rays at (962) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Snell v. Paxton

This match up just happened and the pitchers were the winner for each side...combining to allow just a couple runs. Neither offense has been particularly good against LHP since the start of July...nothing to write home about at the least.

In a spot like this with an excellently valuable full 5 runs for the first 5 innings I like the pitchers to outduel the lineups through the first couple at bats...or even 1.5 times through the orders. Especially when we have 2 pitchers with very solid to excellent xFIP ratings and 18% & 14% swing and miss rates, respectively

Game: (951) Los Angeles Dodgers at (952) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Los Angeles Dodgers -175

View Analysis

Kershaw v. Eflin

Wait...Kershaw at better than -200? Against Philly? Zach Eflin with his 4.79 xFIP, no plus value pitches, and sub-10 swing/miss rate, and a lineup not great against lefties...with Clayton coming off his best start in a while?!

Count me on the Kershaw first 5 train!

Game: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 10.5 (-115)

View Analysis

Game: (955) Atlanta Braves at (956) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Atlanta Braves -104

View Analysis

Fried v. Houser

13-0 spot for us here in this situation with Atlanta...they are HOT, likely the better team period...and they get to face Adrian Houser who in his last 11 innings has allowed 11 earned runs and struck out just 11 while walking 7 and amassing an xFIP of 5, 5, and 5.68 in each start. Do not be fooled by his overall stats including nearly 20 relief appearances as a reliever...with a very solid 3.66 xFIP. He even allows more hard hit balls (40+%) and the Braves have been hitting RHP consistently 43% hard hits since the start of the month.



The value on the Braves in this spot this close to even is just STOOPID

Game: (967) Chicago White Sox at (968) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Chicago White Sox -129

View Analysis

Giolito v. Junis

Full game line ChiSox -125

First 5 inning line on Cy Young candidate Lucas Giolito now -130 or more and expanding...hmmm...hammer!



More Analysis to come...jump on the cash train!

Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +130

View Analysis

Musgrove v. Mikolas

Pretty prudent wager to back this excellent hitting lineup with one of their better starters on the mound. Since the end of June, in fact, no team has been all around better against opposing RHP than the Buccos...and at this much plus money?!



Whoa.......VALUE!

[dawggy]

ROB VENO

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.5 (-120)

View Analysis

Game: (965) Detroit Tigers at (966) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-115)

View Analysis

Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +129

View Analysis

Game: (959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+130)

View Analysis

Game #2 DH

Game: (969) Houston Astros at (970) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jul 15 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -119

View Analysis

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Yankees Augie J - Cubs Astros

[Yellow]

Essler

3* Pirates +130

1* Brewers -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB (Bob Balfe)
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #967-968
White Sox -120 over Royals
Giolito/Junis
The Royals don’t have much going for them this season. The White Sox have the better starting pitcher, bullpen and are the better team. The Royals don’t play well at home and just anytime they are at this price it’s not a hard decision to go against them. The White Sox are not much of a road team, but might get a little relief against a bad baseball team. Take the White Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
KC F5 +.5 -120 3u

MLB Season: 67-70-7 49% -28.35units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)

MLB - Atlanta Braves -105

The Braves travel to Milwaukee following an impressive three-game sweep of the Padres in San Diego. Atlanta has won 13 of its past 18 games to extend its lead atop the NL East as Max Fried takes the mound tonight. The Braves are 7-2 in Fried's nine road starts this season, while receiving tremendous run support in those games. Milwaukee has hit the skids of late by going 2-7 the last nine games, while posting an ugly 1-7 record in its past eight home series openers.

[B*mb07]

Marco D
PLAY: (954) REDS/CUBS UNDER 10 +101
RATING: 4% PLAY

We are getting great line value here tonight thanks to Cincinnati’s last 2 games where 26 and 19 runs were scored. Those games were at Coors and the ball was flying out of the park in the thin air of Coors Field. Tonight’s game is in the Windy City but the Cubs pitching staff has held 5 of it’s last 6 opponents to 3 runs or less. Prior to the run scoring outburst at Coors the Reds had scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 6 games. The Reds send Luis Castillo to the mound who in his last 2 starts has allowed just 1 earned run in 14 2/3 innings of work. Kyle Hendricks has been horrible in his last 3 starts but all 3 were on the road. In 7 Home starts Hendricks has a ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 0.87. That alone puts me on the UNDER but this really seals the deal. Cincinnati is 34-14 to the UNDER this year when playing at night. In Castillo’s 10 night starts the Reds are 9-1 to the UNDER with the opposition averaging just 1.9 runs a game.
TAKE REDS/CUBS UNDER 10 as MARCO’S 4% TOTAL DOMINATOR PLAY: (954) REDS/CUBS UNDER 10 +101
RATING: 4% PLAy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider)

MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates +130

The Pirates wasted an opportunity to make the NL Central all the more interesting in getting swept by the Cubs at Wrigley, so they've really got work to do in St. Louis to avoid a tailspin. Joe Musgrove has delivered in helping Pittsburgh win each of his past four starts, while Cards' counterpart Miles Mikolas has only helped his team win three of his last 10 outings, so there's certainly value in riding the more desperate visitors. Take a shot with Pittsburgh.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Wilkerson (VegasInsider)

MLB - Over 10 Reds/Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

Cubs OV 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

Philadelphia +156 Efl

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

Tampa Bay +137 Sne Pax