Saturday 7-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Arlington - Race #9 - Post: 5:41pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 KEENEASABEAN (ML=6/1)
#11 PRADO'S ENCORE (ML=8/1)
#5 RAGATAGTAG (ML=4/1)


KEENEASABEAN - This racer could be tough in today's race, especially since Murrill rode last time around the track and now should be acquainted with this one. This filly is in first-rate condition right now. Finished first in the last race and comes back soon. PRADO'S ENCORE - Lots of positive 'vibrations' joined to this thoroughbred and her barn. RAGATAGTAG - Each one of this filly's recent finish positions has been progressively better. Taking a drop in class rating points from her Jul 6th race at Arlington. Based on that valuable data, I will give this horse the advantage. This filly is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ended up second last time around the track and comes back rapidly. This horse is tops in earnings per race. She looks solid in today's clash. Average class rating is tops in this group. I think that is a big advantage for a turf race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CANTON COMET (ML=7/2), #7 SAMIS CAR (ML=7/2), #10 KURINGAI (ML=8/1),

CANTON COMET - Earned a somewhat easily forgotten fig last race out in a $12,500 Claiming race on Jul 4th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. SAMIS CAR - Going to have a difficult go of it with all of the other early speed in this race. When checking today's class rating, she will have to record a much better rating than in the last race to be competitive in this turf route. KURINGAI - Recent speed fig of 73 may not be true since it was on the soft turf.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 KEENEASABEAN on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [5,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,5,11] with [4,5,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $32500 Class Rating: 69

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MAKE NO MISTAKE 6/1

# 8 HAPPYCREST 9/2

# 1 TYPICALLY 10/1

I've got to go with MAKE NO MISTAKE. Looks quite good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in turf route races recently. Has very good early pace and ought to fare solidly versus this group of animals. Could best this field based on the Equibase speed fig - 75 - of her last outing. TYPICALLY - At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field. Has put up reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,400 Class Rating: 57

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 MANDERS (ML=5/1)


MANDERS - You'll be generating money right and left by turning your racing money onto this jockey/trainer combination. Alencar is right back for another race today after sitting atop this animal for the initial time on July 2nd and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Sophisticated selectors will tell you that this horse has strong early speed. I cannot ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well. Leading into this race, this campaigner has earned three speed ratings that are equal to or higher than today's class rating. Pretty good indication she should compete well in today's race. That 72 fig this filly earned in her last affair tells me she's a chief player in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 HIGH FIRE (ML=5/2), #4 TEJATE (ML=3/1), #5 SUNRISE SURPRISE (ML=7/2),

HIGH FIRE - Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last time around the track at Belterra Park at 1 mile. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race. TEJATE - Has tasted defeat as the public's top choice in back to back races. A repeat is probably in store. Quite unimpressive speed rating last time out at Belterra Park at 1 mile. Don't feel this entrant will improve too much in today's race. SUNRISE SURPRISE - Not probable that the speed figure she garnered on Jun 23rd will hold up in this clash.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MANDERS - I don't care what kind of competitive event you're in, when you drop down to easier competition the experience of facing stiffer competition strengthens you. This noble animal is live today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 MANDERS on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

PURCHASE

07/20/19, SAR, Race 8, 5.11 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000.
INNER TURF (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (8-11), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	8	Halladay	5-1	Ortiz J L	Pletcher Todd A.	FL
099.8088	1	Variant Perception	4-1	Castellano J	Brown Chad C.	T
098.5951	2	Penalty	9/2	Alvarado J	Mott William I.	J
098.0038	4	Bernin' Thru Gold	5/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Hennig Mark A.
097.1522	10	Hoboe	7/2	Franco M	Donk David G.	EC
096.6879	9	Uncle Sigh	20-1	Hernandez B	Englehart Chris J.	W
095.9373	7	Morrison	8-1	Carmouche K	Sharp Joe
095.1111	3	Rapt	8-1	Davis D	Ribaudo Robert	S
094.0561	11	Saintly Samurai	15-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Motion H. Graham
094.0287	6	King Cause	8-1	Gaffalione T	Magner Dermot
093.9756	5	Lonhtwist	15-1	Landeros C	O'Brien Leo

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

8	70.20	1.84	47.62	20	42	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
1	57.00	1.58	36.73	18	49	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
2	57.00	1.58	36.73	18	49	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
4	73.80	1.51	32.88	24	73	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
10	47.80	1.31	33.33	26	78	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today
9	73.80	1.51	32.88	24	73	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
7	47.80	1.31	33.33	26	78	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today
3	57.00	1.58	36.73	18	49	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
11	73.80	1.51	32.88	24	73	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
6	57.00	1.58	36.73	18	49	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
5	40.50	1.33	34.43	21	61	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Variant Perception	4-1	Castellano J	Brown Chad C.	F
099.4529	8	Halladay	5-1	Ortiz J L	Pletcher Todd A.	EL
098.7355	4	Bernin' Thru Gold	5/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Hennig Mark A.
098.2467	2	Penalty	9/2	Alvarado J	Mott William I.
097.1357	7	Morrison	8-1	Carmouche K	Sharp Joe
097.0979	10	Hoboe	7/2	Franco M	Donk David G.	C
096.9248	9	Uncle Sigh	20-1	Hernandez B	Englehart Chris J.	TW
096.0525	3	Rapt	8-1	Davis D	Ribaudo Robert	S
094.7797	6	King Cause	8-1	Gaffalione T	Magner Dermot
094.5973	11	Saintly Samurai	15-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Motion H. Graham
093.9312	5	Lonhtwist	15-1	Landeros C	O'Brien Leo

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

1	15.60	1.15	41.51	22	53	[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
8	13.00	1.07	21.05	20	95	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
4	15.60	1.15	41.51	22	53	[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
2	15.60	1.15	41.51	22	53	[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
7	26.80	1.56	33.33	8	24	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
3	15.60	1.15	41.51	22	53	[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
6	13.00	1.07	21.05	20	95	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
11	26.80	1.56	33.33	8	24	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
5	15.60	1.15	41.51	22	53	[All Dirt] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park
PURCHASE

07/20/19, MTH, Race 12, 5.47 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.04 STAKES. Purse $1,000,000.
com Haskell Invitational Stakes
Win, Place and Show - Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta - Daily Double (Races 12-13)/50-Cent Pick 3 (Races 12-13-14)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 5 Mucho Gusto 2-1 Talamo J Baffert Bob SWC
099.2778 1 King for a Day 5/2 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A.
098.6305 3 Spun to Run(b+) 15-1 Lopez P Guerrero Juan Carlos
098.6294 7 Maximum Security 8/5 Saez L Servis Jason TFEL
097.5383 2 Joevia 10-1 Lezcano J Sacco Gregory D. J
096.8638 4 Bethlehem Road 20-1 Rodriguez Castro L A Curry Dee
095.1419 6 Everfast 10-1 Leparoux J R Romans Dale L.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to MTH.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC Win# Occ Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
5 5.00 1.13 15.79 3 19 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
1 8.40 1.07 37.10 23 62 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1
7 1.00 1.02 14.29 3 21 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

New York Yankees pitcher Masahiro Tanaka is 10-1 home in his career team-starts in July. His opponent, Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela, is 0-4 away in his career team-starts in July.