Service Plays Tuesday 7/16/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #16
    Vince Akins (3-1 yesterday)

    MLB Trend Plays
    A's ML (-170)
    Cubs ML (-130)
    Pirates ML (+160)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #17
      CleInsidersports (2-0 +28u yesterday)

      MLB
      Marlins ML (+115)
      Red Sox ML (-190)
      Brewers ML (-170)
      Blue Jays/Red Sox UNDER 11
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #18
        Consensus (1-4 L2 days)

        MLB
        8u Cubs ML (-125)
        5u Braves/Brewers UNDER 9.5
        5u Mets ML (+140)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #19
          MARCO D'ANGELO

          Game: (909) Pittsburgh Pirates at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
          Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:15 PM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Heritage
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: Total Over 9.0 (-103)

          Tonight we look for a lot of fireworks in St. Louis. Jack Flaherty is on the mound tonight. Flaherty has an ERA 6.61 in his last 3 starts and a WHIP of 1.46 and that’s with his last game being a Gem going 7 innings allowing just 1 run. It must be noted that a good start was a day game. In 12 night starts this year Flaherty has an ERA of 6.02 and a WHIP of 1.33. In those 12 nights starts by Flaherty the OVER is 9-2. The Pirates are 31-17 to OVER this year following a loss and 12-2 this when revenging a loss where they scored 1 run or less with the average score being 13 runs a game. Fireworks in St. Louis tonight as I see 11 or more runs tonight.

          TAKE PIRATES/CARDS OVER 9 as MARCO’S 4% NL GAME OF THE WEEK
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          • dawggy
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2017
            • 1770

            #20
            SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP


            • Game: (901) Los Angeles Dodgers at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:05 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: William Hill
              Play Rating: 2%
              Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -180

              View Analysis

            • Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Boston Red Sox
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:10 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 2%
              Play: Boston Red Sox -190

              View Analysis

            • Game: (927) Arizona Diamondbacks at (928) Texas Rangers
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:05 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 3%
              Play: Texas Rangers -157

              View Analysis

            • Game: (907) Atlanta Braves at (908) Milwaukee Brewers
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:10 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 3%
              Play: Milwaukee Brewers -170

              View Analysis

            • Game: (919) Chicago White Sox at (920) Kansas City Royals
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:15 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: Westgate
              Play Rating: 3%
              Play: Chicago White Sox -120

              View Analysis

            • Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Oakland Athletics
              Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 10:07 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: William Hill
              Play Rating: 3%
              Play: Seattle Mariners +155

              View Analysis

            Comment

            • dawggy
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2017
              • 1770

              #21
              DR. CHUCK



              BASEBALL PLAYS
              • Game: (901) Los Angeles Dodgers at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:05 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -186

                View Analysis

                Buehler v. Velasquez
                This is a battle of the 2.84/3.36 v. 5.36/4.90.FIP/xFIP split.
                If we need more than this...the Dodgers won last night 16-2 after running Elfin HARD once they reached the second time through. The Philly lineup had Kershaw on the ropes in multiple innings before the.Dodgers exploded but managed 1 single run...the confidence cannot be there. Philly hasn't hit well against lefties, but even more futile against RHP at home this month...with an ISO below .100 and 4 wRC with a .242 wOBA.
                We backed Kershaw first 5 for a simple, easy win...and he struggled mightily but pulled thru allowing just 1 run. He likely should have allowed a handful more runs...Buehler is much less likely to struggle as much as his teammate and his backing offense is clearly ready to POUND!
                Eflin >>> Velasquez
                Buehler > Kershaw
                Last night's easy winner << tonight's easy winner!
              • Game: (903) San Diego Padres at (904) Miami Marlins
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Miami Marlins 1.5 (-145)

                View Analysis

                Allen v. Yamamoto
                Thought the JY (especially at home).value play this big would be non existent after the last 2 times on the mound...but here we are...less than a buck and a half and you get +1.5!
                The Fish offense isn't stellar...and the starting staff is too good to deserve this futility, but facing lefties, specifically at home, they sure ain't all bad...and considering how poorly the Dads offense has been on the road and against RHP in general since 7/1 (8 wRAA, .280 wOBA, 77 wRC+) Yamamoto is good enough to completely have his way with this lineup who improved close to none over the break.
              • Game: (927) Arizona Diamondbacks at (928) Texas Rangers
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:05 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Total Under 10.0 (-109)

                View Analysis

                Young v. Lynn
                Wind blowing in at double digit miles per hour tonight
                Lance Lynn is showing no signs of slowing down
                Alex Young is on the bump for the visiting Dbacks and has been basically magnificent with a pair of nasty devastating breaking pitches in his curve and slider both!
                The Ranger lineup against LHP since the end of June is also sporting a -5.0 wRAA and a .284 wOBA
                We somehow get a double digit total today!!
              • Game: (919) Chicago White Sox at (920) Kansas City Royals
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:15 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Chicago White Sox -119

                View Analysis

                Cease v. Sparkman
                Sometimes the true sign of success in this dangerous game of ours is starting over completely fresh the next wagers...meaning objectivity to potentially back a team that burnt you hard or fade a team you won big with recently.
                The.ChiSox offense clearly have a hard time getting much going sans their breakout star shortstop and the Sparkman is shockingly bad metrically in most all ways...but also a lot of.that is neutralized with his home splits...which are a HUGE step up from his disastrous road numbers.
                The Royals are not an easy team to back...even after defeating Cy Young candidate Lucas Giolito...and those who backed him first 5 or full game...and while I lean Under first 5 here as well...close to the best play on the board is.the.ChiSox battling through...backing up their rookie top prospect with better opportunistic offense and a series tying win.
              • Game: (909) Pittsburgh Pirates at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:15 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                Play Rating: 2%
                Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +163

                View Analysis

              • Game: (909) Pittsburgh Pirates at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:15 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: Pittsburgh Pirates 1.5 (-123)

                View Analysis

                Agrazal v. Flaherty
                Same system we used (and got bitch slapped with) last night ...still so much value and a little insurance here for the Buccos to get back to that pre-break form and get off this shnide
              • Game: (911) San Francisco Giants at (912) Colorado Rockies
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:40 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 2%
                Play: 1H Total Over 8.0 (-120)

                View Analysis

              • Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Oakland Athletics
                Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 10:07 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: 1H Total Under 5.5 (-111)

                View Analysis

                Gonzales v. Mengden
                Tough park for offense period and a couple of lineups who in the Mariners case has been bottom of the MLB against RHP and Oakland bottom of the league facing LHP.
                This is a spot here with a system that is 19-11 on the season and over 22% ROI

              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358322

                #22
                Dirty Bear Sports

                MLB:
                NYM F5 +.5 -110 3u

                MLB Season: 68-70-7 49% -25.35units (L30: 20-8 71% +30.35 units​)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358322

                  #23
                  +EV: UFC 2u: Ricardo Prasel +162 (DWCS 20) (Tuesday, July 16th)
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                  • dawggy
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2017
                    • 1770

                    #24
                    ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS
                    • Game: (901) Los Angeles Dodgers at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
                      Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:05 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                      Play Rating: 3%
                      Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130)

                      View Analysis

                    • Game: (903) San Diego Padres at (904) Miami Marlins
                      Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Miami Marlins +104

                      View Analysis

                    • Game: (907) Atlanta Braves at (908) Milwaukee Brewers
                      Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+110)

                      View Analysis

                    • Game: (929) New York Mets at (930) Minnesota Twins
                      Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 8:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+115)

                      View Analysis

                    • Game: (923) Houston Astros at (924) Los Angeles Angels
                      Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 10:07 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Houston Astros -112

                      View Analysis

                    Comment

                    • dawggy
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2017
                      • 1770

                      #25
                      JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS
                      • Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Boston Red Sox
                        Date/Time: Jul 16 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                        Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                        Play Rating: 4%
                        Play: Total Under 11.0 (-101)

                        View Analysis

                      Blue Jays/ Red Sox UNDER The Red Sox welcome Andrew Cashner to the mound tonight against the Blue Jays. I’m expecting a lower scoring game with him tonight. Quietly, Cashner has been dominating this year and especially over his last few starts. He’s held his opponents to two or fewer runs in five consecutive starts, has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 96.1 innings pitched this season. Cashner has also owned the Blue Jays throughout his career, going 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA in eight starts that includes pithing 7 innings last weekend while giving up just one run. The Jays can’t hit water if they fell out of a boat right now and Cashner will be pumped for this game. He’ll be looking to show Red Sox nation, in Fenway, that he belongs. Most, if not all, the offense in this game will come from Boston as they will be facing rookie starter Jacob Waguespack, who pitched against them back on July 3rd and gave up 3 runs in five innings pitched. Prior to last night, the UNDER was 6-0 in the Jays last six overall and 4-0 in their last four on the road against a right-handed starter. Expect Cashner to be lights out tonight and back the UNDER in this game with confidence

                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358322

                        #26
                        Jason Sharpe

                        4 Unit CWS -120
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358322

                          #27
                          Doc's Sports

                          Washington -1.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358322

                            #28
                            Seabass : 300 Mets , 400 white Sox , 600 dodgers RL, 800 *white Sox game over
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358322

                              #29
                              MLB (Bob Balfe)
                              7:10 PM EST
                              Rotation #903-904
                              Marlins -105 over Padres
                              Yamamoto/Allen
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                              • B*mb07
                                Senior Member
                                • Mar 2018
                                • 640

                                #30
                                Augie J - Twins Dime Man - Red Sox Philly Guy - Cardinals Nationals NYY Rockies Champagne - Twins Marlins KC over

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