Service Plays Friday 7/19/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

(MLB)

3* Cubs/Padres Under 12.5 (-110)

[dawggy]

DWAYNE BRYANTBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Baltimore Orioles
  Date/Time: Jul 19 2019 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Total Under 5.5 (-112)
  
  View Analysis
  
  7:05 PM ET -- MLB
  
  965 Boston Red Sox
  966 Baltimore Orioles
  
  PLAY: 1H UNDER 5,5 (-112)
  
  BET SIZE: 4%
  
  List Price & Means
  
  4% play at 5.5 or higher
  3% play at 5
  No play below 5
  
  DB's THOUGHTS:
  
  The ball should travel very well tonight at Camden Yards, the #4 ranked park on ESPN's Park Factors list this season. The temp is expected to be in the upper 90s with a feels-like temp of over 100 degrees. So why am I playing the 1H Under?
  
  First, one more thing I do not like... the Orioles bullpen. Complete garbage. 29th in xFIP, 27th in K/BB, and 26th in HR/FB. Straight. Trash. So, we take them out of the equation.
  
  So, we're left with David Price versus the O's lineup, and John Means against the BoSox.
  
  Price owns a very solid 3.97 xFIP on the road. But what I like even more is his low 11.3% HR/FB rate on the road. League average HR/FB rate is 15.3% at this point in 2019. I also like that Price is facing a Baltimore lineup that owns a weak 99 wRC+ versus lefties, and even more pathetic .22 BB/K against southpaws.
  
  Means owns a very solid 0.99 WHIP at home. He also owns a very good 9% HR/FB rate at Camden Yards. I like that Means is coming off a poor outing in his last start in which he got roughed up for 6 runs (3 homers) in 6 innings versus Tampa Bay. Bounce-back time. Boston has faced Means three times already this season and has yet to score more than 2 runs against him.
  
  PLAY 1H UNDER.
  
• Game: (959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) Arizona Diamondbacks
  Date/Time: Jul 19 2019 9:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-114)
  
  View Analysis
  
  9:40 PM ET -- MLB
  
  959 Milwaukee Brewers
  960 Arizona Diamondbacks
  
  PLAY: OVER 10 (-114)
  
  BET SIZE: 4%
  
  List Chacin & Clarke
  
  4% play at 10 or lower
  3% play at 10.5
  No play above 10.5
  
  DB's THOUGHTS:
  
  When you combine a low 1.97 K/BB rate, a high 1.48 WHIP, a low 37.1% GB%, and a high 17.2% HR/FB rate, you get Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin is facing an Arizona lineup with a good .42 BB/K (plate discipline = offensive success, usually).
  
  Taylor Clarke owns a sky high 6.56 xFIP at home. He's facing a Milwaukee lineup averaging 5.2 runs in road night games versus righty starters. The Brewers also own a decent .40 BB/K against righties.
  
  I don't like the Milwaukee bullpen's 25th ranked HR/FB rate. I also don't like the Arizona pen's #23 ranking in K/BB (makes it harder to pitch out of a jam), and its HR/FB isn't great either (#18).
  
  PLAY OVER.
  
• Game: (961) Miami Marlins at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers
  Date/Time: Jul 19 2019 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Total Under 4.0 (-100)
  
  View Analysis
  
  10:10 PM ET -- MLB
  
  961 Miami Marlins
  962 Los Angeles Dodgers
  
  PLAY: 1H UNDER 4 (-100)
  
  BET SIZE: 3%
  
  List Gallen & Ryu
  
  3% play at 4 or higher
  No play below 4
  
  DB's THOUGHTS:
  
  I do not trust a Marlins bullpen that ranks 28th in xFIP and 25th in K/BB, so I'm making this a 1H play.
  
  Zac Gallen has the early advantage here, as these Dodgers hitters have never faced him. Gallen has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 of his 4 starts (allowed 3 runs in the other outing). I love his low 11.8& HR/FB rate, which drops to an better 9.1% on the road. That should hold up at Dodger Stadium.
  
  Hyun-Jin Ryu has been a beast in 2019, especially in LA. At home, Ryu owns a 0.85 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, .209 OBPA, and an 8.1% HR/FB rate. Ryu gets to face a Miami team with a low 92 wRC+ against lefties, and a lousy .30 BB/K against southpaws.
  
  I can't see this going Over if Gallen gives us 5 innings, which has has done in 3 of 4 starts this season.
  
  PLAY 1H UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

keep changing your ip asshole, if you don't think I have enough to ban you at the mall keep trying me douche bag. get it through your fat head, nobody wants you here!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

3* Cleveland -1.5(-140)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

goodfella

3* ottawa/winnipeg under 53


3* LA dodgers -1.5(-140)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

2* Cincinnati / St. Louis over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK

3* TOM

ottawa/winnipeg Under 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

3* Pittsburgh / Philadelphia over 10


3* TOM Yankees / Colorado over 11

2* Cleveland -1.5(-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER

2* Milwaukee -128

2* Pittsburgh / Philadelphia over 10.5

2* Minnesota -125

3* Atlanta / Washington under 10.5

[golden contender]

GC: MLB

Friday we have our American League West Division Total of the Year and a powerful 5* Canadian Football League power system headlining a solid overall card. For our free play for Friday we will go with Tamp Bay on the run line at 7:10 eastern. The Rays swept the Whitesox on the road this year outscoring them 24-7. Chicago has lost 7 straight. The Rays fit a solid 82% system based on both teams playing off a road loss. Jump on tonight as we remain hot in bases and CFL Action. For the free play. See us on facebook to jump on. Take Tampa Bay on the run line. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

7:05 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. New york yankees

pick: Over 11.5 (-106)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
kansas city royals vs. Cleveland indians

pick: Cleveland indians -1.5 (-146)

risk: 11 units

7:20 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. Atlanta braves

pick: Atlanta braves (+106)

risk: 11 units

[cpawforpresident]

Marco

12-3 RUN

4* Seattle +110

[cpawforpresident]

Tony George

12-3 RUN

7* Washington -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al’s big game

Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

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3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #973 Oakland -118 (Bassitt)