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Tuesday 7-23-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Fp: Under 400 runs on the season Marlin's dead last in the mlb in scoring and just a few runs over 400 white Sox bring up the rear as 3rd worse . 10 runs to beat us tonight will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick !
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
106.070
Atlanta
108.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 3 1/2
149 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+3 1/2); Over
Seattle @ Las Vegas
Seattle @ Las Vegas
Game 649-650
July 23, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
105.328
Las Vegas
114.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 9 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 6 1/2
155 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(-6 1/2); Over
League Betting Notes (Tuesday, July 16 through Monday, July 22)
-- Favorites went 9-3 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 8-4 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams went 9-3 SU
-- Home/road teams went 6-6 ATS
-- The 'under' went 7-5
Season Totals To Date
-- Favorites are 65-47 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs 66-43-3 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams are 66-46 SU
-- Road teams are 57-52-3 ATS
-- The 'under' is 66-46
Team Betting Notes
-- Atlanta (5-14 SU, 8-11 ATS) is back to getting pounded again after putting up a fight for a two-week span. The Dream went 3-3 SU in a six-game stretch from July 5-17, losing one game in overtime, one game by one point and another game by two points. They finally looked to be jelling after a tough start and adjustment period without F Angel McCoughtry (knee). However, they lost 98-69 at Connecticut (12-6 SU, 9-9 ATS) and 93-65 in Washington (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS).
-- As far as the Sun is concerned, they're clinging to first place by a half-game over the Mystics heading into the new week. After a five-game skid, the Sun have rattled off three victories and covers to get back on track. The 'under' is 5-2 across their past seven games.
-- The Mystics have managed 85.9 points per game (PPG), a 45.0 field-goal percentage and 85.9 free-throw percentage, all of which lead the WNBA. Like the Sun, the Mystics have registered a pair of wins to get back on track after a three-game skid from July 7-13. The over is 4-1 across the past five outings, too.
-- Chicago (11-8 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) has worked their way to near the top of the standings in the Eastern Conference with four straight wins and a 3-1 ATS mark during the span.
-- Dallas (5-14 SU, 10-9 ATS) continues to struggle on the offensive end, registering just 69.8 PPG to rank dead-last in the WNBA, and they're 11th in field-goal percentage and 3-point percentage. The Wings have dropped five in a row since their surprising 12-point win over Los Angeles (10-8 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) back on July 9. The Wings are 0-9 SU and 4-5 ATS on the road this season, too.
-- Speaking of the Sparks, they had their three-game win streak snapped at New York (8-10 SU, 8-9-1 ATS). Despite the loss to the Liberty, the Sparks are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS across the past eight to rebound after a slow start.
-- The Liberty have won and covered just once in the past four outings, the win over the Sparks. After losing to L.A. at home back on June 4, the Liberty have won and covered each of the past two outings against the Sparks with the 'over' hitting in each.
-- Indiana (6-14 SU, 10-10 ATS) have dropped five in a row since beating Dallas on July 5, and they're 1-3 ATS across the past four. The Fever have lost eight in a row at home since also beating the Wings on June 7, and they're 2-6 ATS during the awful span in Indy.
-- Las Vegas (12-6 SU, 6-12 ATS) rebounded on Sunday after a three-point loss in Seattle (12-8 SU, 11-8-1 ATS) on Friday. The Aces are now and impressive 10-3 SU across the past 13 after a slow start, but they're still having trouble against the number, going 3-9 ATS over the past 12. Vegas hasn't covered in back-to-back outings all season. Total bettors are liking the Aces, too, as the under is 4-1 over the past five.
-- Lastly, the Storm have won and covered four in a row, as they're finally looking like a championship caliber team after being struck in neutral for most of the first half.
t1. Chicago 11-7-1
t1. Minnesota 11-7-1
3. Seattle 11-8-1
4. Washington 9-8
5. Dallas 10-9
6. Connecticut 9-9
7. Indiana 10-10
t8. Los Angeles 8-9-1
t8. New York 8-9-1
10. Phoenix 7-9-1
11. Atlanta 8-11
12. Las Vegas 6-12
The Dream are tied with the Dallas Wings for the worst record in the league but they're still a respectable 4-6 at home. Atlanta has lost four games in a row but the only home game in that span was a 5-point overtime loss to the Sparks on July 14.
The Sparks are 6-2 over their last eight games although both of those losses came on the road (including one against those woeful Wings).
L.A. will be without Candace Parker and Maria Vadeeva once again but that's been the story for most of the season so don't expect it to effect them much. They are led by the Ogwumike sisters in the frontcourt (combining for 27.8 points and 16.6 rebounds per game) and Chelsea Gray (13.4 points and 5.5 assists per game) in the backcourt.
The Dream will likely be without their best player in Tiffany Hayes and they have relied on her all season. The Dream are bad with her and they're even worse without her. Hayes missed the Dream's last two games with a hamstring injury and they lost by 28 points to Washington and 29 points to Connecticut.
Take the Sparks to win and cover on the road.
PICK: Los Angeles -2.5
SEATTLE STORM AT LAS VEGAS ACES (-6.5, 155.5)
The Aces are coming off a 79-75 win over the Minnesota Lynx while the Storm are coming off a 69-66 win against the Aces. In two games between these teams this season the average score has been 63-62.5 for Las Vegas. Suffice to say both games have been very low-scoring. While that might sound surprising for an Aces team that is second in the league in scoring with 81.6 points per game, they score so much in large part because they play at the fastest pace in the league.
When taking into account pace, the Aces are actually more impressive on the defensive end of the floor where they have the highest ranked team in term of defensive efficiency and hold opponents to just 38.2 percent shooting from the field.
Seattle holds opponents to a league low 73.1 ppg and have done a good job at slowing down the Aces in their two games against them this season. With the Aces missing their leading scorer in A'ja Wilson, who is out indefinitely with an ankle injury, take the game total Under.
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