Service Plays Thursday 7/25/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

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Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #956 Washington -1.5/-150 (Hoffman/Scherzer)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIT simulator

Texas vs. Oakland Over
Minnesota
Cleveland vs. Kansas City Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
3 Units on Pitt -115

[golden contender]

GC: CFL

A.L. East Game of the Year goes tonight- with 100% Divisional System- CFL Play below

The CFL Totals System Play is on the under in the Toronto at Edmonton game. Rotation numbers 683/684 at 9:30 eastern. This game fits a powerful long term totals system we use that is 34-78 to the under in CFL Action for games in the first 16 weeks. In the series the last have gone under with just 31 and 37 points scored. Both teams have struggled to sustain a consistent offense this year as Edmonton averages 27 ppg while Toronto scored just 15 ppg. The Argos have gone under in 5 of 6 off a loss. The Eskimos are 4 of 4 under in Thursday games and 4 of 5 in July games. Play this one under the total. RV- GC Sports

[dawggy]

JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (961) Cleveland Indians at (962) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-102)
  
  View Analysis
  
  So, the Indians continue to roll along here in the 2nd half of the season and now find themselves just two games back of the Twins. Tonight, they send Adam to the mound who has had his ups and downs this season but is coming off one of the best outings of his career in his last start. He comes in with a record of 3-2, but his earned run average is 4.81, with a 6.18 FIP and a 5.59 xFIP in his 48.2 innings of work. He’s also a fly ball pitcher who doesn't throw the ball by batter’s no does he strike many of them out. That can be problematic at Kauffman Stadium in the summertime when temps are hot as hell and the ball tends to leave the park.
  The Royals counter with Mike Montgomery to start and in all likelyhood, the bullpen. He made his first start of the year against the Tribe last week and it didn't go as planned after he allowed five runs on six hits and faced just 11 batters. Let's be honest, he may not get out of the first inning here tonight. I wouldn't expect him to throw more than 60-65 pitches in this game before they give way to a bullpen that has been horrific of late. In fact, the Royals’ bullpen has an ERA of 6.98 in their last three games alone.
  It should also be noted that this will be the Royals third time seeing Plutko in just over a month and although they haven't had great success against him, there really isn't anything he'll bring to the table tonight that these hitters haven't already seen. The Royals hitters have also been crushing the ball since the All-Star Break, hitting .285 as a team.
  The over is 5-1-1 in the Indians’ last 7 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  Kansas City has seen the over go 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  
  
  I'm betting the OVER tonight in this game and expect both teams to score plenty of runs to make this a winning play
  

[dawggy]

JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (961) Cleveland Indians at (962) Kansas City Royals
  Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 10.0 (-102)
  
  View Analysis
  
  So, the Indians continue to roll along here in the 2nd half of the season and now find themselves just two games back of the Twins. Tonight, they send Adam to the mound who has had his ups and downs this season but is coming off one of the best outings of his career in his last start. He comes in with a record of 3-2, but his earned run average is 4.81, with a 6.18 FIP and a 5.59 xFIP in his 48.2 innings of work. He’s also a fly ball pitcher who doesn't throw the ball by batter’s no does he strike many of them out. That can be problematic at Kauffman Stadium in the summertime when temps are hot as hell and the ball tends to leave the park.
  The Royals counter with Mike Montgomery to start and in all likelyhood, the bullpen. He made his first start of the year against the Tribe last week and it didn't go as planned after he allowed five runs on six hits and faced just 11 batters. Let's be honest, he may not get out of the first inning here tonight. I wouldn't expect him to throw more than 60-65 pitches in this game before they give way to a bullpen that has been horrific of late. In fact, the Royals’ bullpen has an ERA of 6.98 in their last three games alone.
  It should also be noted that this will be the Royals third time seeing Plutko in just over a month and although they haven't had great success against him, there really isn't anything he'll bring to the table tonight that these hitters haven't already seen. The Royals hitters have also been crushing the ball since the All-Star Break, hitting .285 as a team.
  The over is 5-1-1 in the Indians’ last 7 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  Kansas City has seen the over go 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  
  
  I'm betting the OVER tonight in this game and expect both teams to score plenty of runs to make this a winning play

JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (959) Minnesota Twins at (960) Chicago White Sox
  Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Total Under 4.5 (-100)
  
  View Analysis
  
  What a difference a day makes as the Twins are going from a possible playoff preview against the Yanks to now facing the Chicago White Sox. However, they’ll be facing the best pitcher they’ve seen over the last week. The White Sox are sending Lucas Giolito to the mound.
  Let’s face it, Giolito has been the lone bright spot for the White Sox this year and every time he takes the hill, they have a chance to win. He’s got a 3.12 ERA, 3.14 FIP, and a 3.91 xFIP in 112.2 innings and has been faded by many when facing top tier offenses over the last two months. But that’s misleading.
  Giolito has only given up six runs three times this year. Twice came against the crosstown Cubs and the other was against the Yankees. The Mariners touched him up for 5 runs but that was the second game of the year. So, when you break it down, against every team that isn’t named the CUBS, he’s been good. Really good. Let’s not forget, he got his revenge against the Yankees in his following start against them.
  Jose Berrios is a guy that has seen some regression even though he’s got a 2.96 ERA, a 3.83 FIP, and a 4.46 xFIP. His K’s are down from last year as well. But his early season troubles on the road seemed to have corrected themselves as he has pitched much better lately, lowering his road ERA to below 4.00. The good news for Twins backers is that the White Sox are third in the league when it comes to striking out against right-handed pitchers this year and have been even worse after the All Star Break.
  I don’t think this is a great spot for the Twins after they just lost two out of three (In heartbreaking fashion) against the Yanks. There is bound to be some letdown in this game from them which means their bats aren’t going to be the same, especially against Giolito.
  I’m betting the F5 UNDER in this game because I believe these are two of the best young pitchers in the game and this is a perfect situation for a classic pitcher’s duel. Plus, I don’t want anything to do with either of these bullpens.

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Bay Monster Sports

Play over Mariners 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB

5* New York Yankees -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 Oakland RL, 300 Red Sox , 1000 * Cleveland game under

[B*mb07]

Augie J - NYY over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

5 star over Cleveland/ KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB (Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Yankees -115 over Red Sox
Tanaka/Porcello
Rick Porcello has been knocked around in his last few starts. Luckily for him the Red Sox gave him a lot of run support, but you can’t count on that every start. The Yankees have been knocking the cover off the ball and on top of that have been a great road team all season long. This should be another high scoring series. Take the Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


N.Y. YANKEES -124


N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 7/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:03 AM
Masahiro Tanaka is 7-5 with a 4.0 ERA and he hasn’t taken a loss in seven consecutive starts. Rick Porcello is 8-7 with a 5.61 ERA and he has a 10.57 ERA in his last five starts. Porcello has faced the Yankees once outside of London and he gave up five runs in 4.2 IP. The Yankees are 28-18 on the road while the Red Sox are 24-25 at home. The Red Sox are 0-5 as the home underdog and they are 1-6 against the Yankees this season.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
7-4 IN LAST 11 BOS ML PICKS | +202

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS | +52


OAKLAND -176


TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 7/25 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:02 AM
Brett Anderson is 9-5 with a 3.82 ERA and he has already pitched two quality starts against the Rangers this season. He is 2-0 with a 2.36 ERA in his last four starts. Ariel Jurado is 5-6 with a 4.92 ERA and he has not faced Oakland this season. He is 0-3 with an 8.31 ERA in July. Texas is 22nd in the league in OPS against lefties and the Rangers have lost nine of their last 10.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
14-7 IN LAST 21 OAK ML PICKS | +805

11-4 IN LAST 15 TEX ML PICKS | +729


ST. LOUIS +102


ST. LOUIS 6 @ PITTSBURGH 3
7/25WIN10:01 AM
Miles Mikolas is 6-10 with a 4.17 ERA this season and a 7.04 ERA on the road which gives him good value. He has faced the Pirates three times this season and only given up five earned runs in 21 IP including a shutout in his most recent outing. Joe Musgrove is 7-8 with a 4.08 ERA and 4-3 with a 4.13 ERA at home. In two starts against the Cardinals, he has given up 12 earned runs in 7.2 IP. The Cardinals have won four in a row and eight of their last 10 while the Pirates have lost four in a row and eight of their last 10.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
7-2 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS | +517

9-4 IN LAST 13 PIT ML PICKS | +468

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure


N.Y. YANKEES -123


N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 7/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:12 AM
Every Yankees vs. Red Sox game is huge at this point in the season, and my model gives the clear edge to Tanaka. Porcello has a .425 wOBA allowed in 16.2 innings in July and I expect that trend to continue against this Yankees lineup. The loss of Gary Sanchez is minor as this lineup is absolutely loaded from top to bottom. I make the Yankees -132 in this spot.

12-3 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS | +880
12-8 IN LAST 20 NYY ML PICKS | +493


CLEVELAND -148


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
10:03 AM
The Indians are surging as they try to track down the Twins in the AL Central. This should turn into a bullpen game for the Royals as Montgomery, who projects reasonably well, will be limited to 60 pitches. Plutko will give up a few runs, but the Indians should take the game. I have the Indians winning 61 percent of simulations on the road in Kansas City.

12-3 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS | +880
11-6 IN LAST 17 CLE ML PICKS | +475