Service Plays Monday 7/29/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman

L.A. ANGELS -1.5


DETROIT @ L.A. ANGELS | 7/29 | 10:07 PM EDT
11:09 AM
Jaime Barria is 4-3 with a 6.63 ERA but he is 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA in four home appearances including one start. Jordan Zimmermann is 0-8 with a 7.57 ERA and he is 0-2 with a 6.83 ERA on the road in six starts. The Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 and they’ve lost six in a row. The Tigers are 3-10 when Zimmermann starts while the Angels are 3-1 when Barria starts.

97-63 IN LAST 160 MLB PICKS | +1770


KANSAS CITY -131


TORONTO @ KANSAS CITY | 7/29 | 8:15 PM EDT
11:08 AM
Thomas Pannone is 2-4 with a 6.39 ERA this season and 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA in 10 road appearances including three starts. Brad Keller is 7-9 with a 3.95 ERA this season and 4-3 with a 3.29 ERA at home. Keller did not have much success in his only matchup with the Blue Jays, but he is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in July and coming off seven shutout innings against the Braves. The Royals are 10-6 since the All-Star Break while the Blue Jays are 6-10.

92-58 IN LAST 150 MLB ML PICKS | +1878
9-2 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS | +609

5-3 IN LAST 8 KC ML PICKS | +88


WASHINGTON -155


ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 7/29 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:07 AM
Dallas Keuchel is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA this season but he is 2-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four starts on the road. He faced the Nationals in his first game of the season and gave up four runs in five innings. Patrick Corbin is 8-5 with a 3.25 ERA and he is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA at home. In July, He is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA and he only gave up two runs in five innings in his one outing against the Braves. Both these teams are good against lefties but the Nats are slightly better with the 4th highest OPS in the league while the Braves are seventh.

92-58 IN LAST 150 MLB ML PICKS | +1878
4-1 IN LAST 5 ATL ML PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ML PICKS | +101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

7:10 pm est mlb
arizona diamondbacks vs. Miami marlins

pick: Miami marlins (-107)

risk: 11 units

8:15 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. Kansas city royals

pick: Kansas city royals (-127)

risk: 11 units

8:40 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Colorado rockies

pick: Over 13 (-102)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins

MLB Trend Plays
Angels ML (-240)
Padres ML (-195)
Diamondbacks/Marlins UNDER 7.5
Braves/Nationals UNDER 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

MLB
Blue Jays ML (+115)
Blue Jays/Royals OVER 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus

MLB
8u Braves/Nationals UNDER 9.5
5u Dodgers ML (-130)
5u Blue Jays/Royals OVER 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-unit play Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 7/29

100* Dodgers -130
100* Royals -125
100* Over 10.5 Tigers/Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex McRae will start in place of Jordan Lyles (traded) for the Pirates tonight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

Raise the Bar 20 Dime Release

Pitching Mismatch of the Month

Reds RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass: 400 tigers game over , 400 dodgers game over , 300 Reds RL, 700 * marlins game under

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Reds Philly Guy - Reds Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Miami -105


1* Two Team money-line parlay

LA ANGELS money -line to CINCINNATI REDS money -line

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

BASEBALL PLAYS

Team Total Over 5.5
Game: Cincinnati Team Total Over 5.5
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 3:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Team Total Runs Over 5.5

View Analysis

Lyles v. Gray

Game: (951) Atlanta Braves at (952) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (+100)

View Analysis

Kuechel v. Corbin

7-0 and 4-1 and 15% and 30% and 65%! So much it's either too perfect all coming together or it really is just a dead nut 2-1 and extras can't even bust this play!

Game: (955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds -0.5 (-150)

View Analysis

Lyles v. Gray

There's a reason the price is so big on a couple of bottom of the Central division teams facing off tonight. The Buccos have lost 8 straight, Jordan Lyles is still inside his own personal Hell month of futility at 0-18 lifetime when he starts for a team in July, and Sonny Gray is quietly one of the best starters going in the NL, and even better than THAT in the friendly confines of Great American Bandbox with the wind blowing out!

Lyles is 2-4 first 5 away in the division this year and during his terrible stretch is 0-6-3 first 5 ML. The value here is solid, only fading Lyles, no bullpens, better price on the RL by a good bit, and no post-Gray letdown plus where I'd love to play an Under with Sonny as a dead nut play...Lyles with his 0-9 road July record also carries an 8-1 Over mark!

Game: (959) Toronto Blue Jays at (960) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Kansas City Royals -135

View Analysis

Pannone v. Keller

16-6 run for a system including the Royals tonight. Brad Keller is incredibly better at home than on the road, gets BETTER when he faces a batting order the second time through, and the Jays are off the CRAZIEST set of weekend games where on Saturday they were dead to rights losers down by 8 and won 10-9 in extras, to then jump all over Tampa yesterday for them to return the favor and win 10-9 themselves in extras!

During this insanity the Jays also traded Stroman and morale will be hard to come by in addition to the let down of playing identical 40-67 record Royals in KC not in division after nearly winning a series against playoff caliber division foe! Then after the horrendous horrific loss, how did the organization celebrate? They traded stud second baseman Eric Rogers TO the Rays...in a if you can't beat em join em move or as though they had wagered his rights before yesterday's game!

Last time out, Keller completely shut down the Braves in Atlanta for 7 innings in a road win! This play is damn near a 5% or more in my eyes.

Game: (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Colorado Rockies +114

View Analysis

Game: (961) Detroit Tigers at (962) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-130)

View Analysis

Zimmerman v. Barria

Feels like an almost too good to be true type number. I couldn't even care less the Angels will only have 8 at bats...sure seems like 3 or 4 more times up to the plate than we will need tonight! Jordan Zimmerman is attempting to do an exercise nearly impossible to complete...make his 0-8 W/L record look GOOD in comp with his metrics! If he qualified he woukd have the worst ERA in the MLB, worst xFIP, and allows over 90% contact on pitches in the zone in addition to league high BABIP!

AANN

Angels are off a terriblyembarrassing sseries at home against former league worst team from Baltimore and will look to PUNISH the visiting Tigers!

[dawggy]

JOE RAINERI

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (951) Atlanta Braves at (952) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Jul 29 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (+100)

View Analysis

So we've got ourselves a pitchers duel tonight between the two teams that sit atop the NL East. Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Nats while the Braves counter with Dallas Keuchel.

Keuchel has been rolling along over his last five starts (outside of a loss in Milwaukee; four earned in 5.2 innings). He’s got four quality outings during that time but is just 2-2 in those starts. He's pitched well for the Braves thus far and has a 3.50 ERA that is accompanied by a 4.85 FIP. He’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in six of his seven starts, so he’s been keeping his team in the game while trying to get back into pitching form.

Corbin has been lights out for the Nats and as a number three starter for this team, would be a frontline starter on just about any other MLB team. Patrick Corbin is pitching like a true ace and he continues to dominate, sporting a crazy 1.74 ERA this month, and I expect his success to continue considering he features a 1.84 career ERA against the Braves.

I expect very little offense, especially in the first half of this game. Keuchel has been nearly untouchable early on in games registering a ridiculous 0.43 ERA through innings 1-3 on the season. While Corbin can be gotten to early on in games, he owns a 4.03 ERA through innings 1-3, he's been so dominate as of late it doesn't matter.

The Braves are also dealing with some injuries to a few key players as they enter this series.

With Corbin on the Mound the UNDER has cashed in six out of his last seven starts, plus the under is 17-5 in the Nationals’ last 22 games overall. The under is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams.

I'm betting the F5 UNDER in this game and expect respectable performances from these two starters before the bullpens have a chance to enter the game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider)

MLB - LA Angels -1.5 runs (-135)

The Angels are going to need an offensive boost to fuel their wild card push since their pitching isn't likely to hold up. Rookie Matt Thaiss rising up with a two-homer game that included a walk-off blast in the 10th to help snap a three-game losing streak was a welcome sight and he'll likely be back in the mix against winless veteran righty Jordan Zimmermann, who has a 14.09 July ERA. Ride Los Angeles on the run line.