Service Plays Thursday 8/1/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider)

MLB - Orioles/Blue Jays Over 10

The Orioles swung the bats well on their west coast roadie and now look to stay hot at home as they welcome in the Blue Jays. They'll need to score runs considering they're expected to throw Asher Wojciechowski back out there despite his struggles. Toronto will go with Tyler Thornton, who has a 7.06 ERA over his last seven outings. Count on seeing runs at Camden Yards and ride the high side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)

MLB - Cardinals -115

The Cubs blanked the Cardinals last night, 2-0 as the two NL Central rivals are tied for the top spot in the division heading into tonight's action. Chicago hasn't fared well off a road win recently by going 1-10 in this situation as Jon Lester takes the mound tonight. Lester pitched well in his last start at Milwaukee, but the Cubs lost to the Brewers in extra innings. Jack Flaherty has looked good of late by allowing two runs or less in four straight starts for the Cardinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

CLEVELAND +170


HOUSTON @ CLEVELAND | 8/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:58 AM
Gerrit Cole vs. Danny Salazar doesn’t sound like much of a matchup. But there is value in the huge underdog Indians. They’ve won eight of 10 at home and have won eight of Salazar’s last nine starts against teams with winning records. The Astros win more than half of my simulations, but it’s close enough to make Cleveland a real value at this price.

129-88 IN LAST 217 MLB ML PICKS | +3641
32-18 IN LAST 50 CLE ML PICKS | +1769

30-23 IN LAST 53 HOU ML PICKS | +1085


TAMPA BAY +111


TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 8/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:58 AM
The Rays have won eight of their last nine games at Fenway Park, and five of six overall. Rays starter Brendan McKay is unproven, but he tossed five innings of shutout ball in his lone road start this year. Tampa Bay wins more than half of my computer simulations, and at a nice underdog price. Take the value with the Rays.

129-88 IN LAST 217 MLB ML PICKS | +3641
29-15 IN LAST 44 TB ML PICKS | +1688

12-8 IN LAST 20 BOS ML PICKS | +119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman

L.A. DODGERS -219


SAN DIEGO @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
11:06 AM
Clayton Kershaw is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA this season and 6-0 with a 2.30 ERA at home. Joey Lucchesi is 7-5 with a 4.12 ERA this season but he is 1-3 with a 6.48 ERA on the road. In 11.1 IP against the Dodgers, Lucchesi has given up six earned runs. Kershaw has faced the Padres three times this season and thrown a quality start in each of the three games. The Dodgers are 40-14 at home and 14-4 when Kershaw starts, while the Padres are 9-11 when Lucchesi starts.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB ML PICKS | +1783
6-0 IN LAST 6 SD ML PICKS | +610

4-2 IN LAST 6 LAD ML PICKS | +107


TORONTO -116


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/01 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:05 AM
Trent Thornton is 3-7 with a 5.45 ERA and 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA on the road. In two starts against the Orioles, he has given up three earned runs in 11 IP. Asher Wojciechowski is 2-3 with a 3.60 ERA in six outings this season but in his one outing against the Blue Jays, he gave up three earned runs in 4.1 IP. Both these teams are playing well right now, but the Blue Jays have won three in a row since calling up top prospect Bo Bichette and the Orioles are coming home for the first game after a long road trip. I like the road favorite.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB ML PICKS | +1783
9-3 IN LAST 12 TOR ML PICKS | +478

6-1 IN LAST 7 BAL ML PICKS | +405


CHI. CUBS +102


CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/01 | 7:15 PM EDT
11:03 AM
Jon Lester is 9-6 with a 3.63 ERA this season and he is 4-1 with a 2.91 ERA in his last seven starts. In July, he was 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA. Jack Flaherty is 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA this season and he is 0-1 with a 2.48 ERA in July. Jon Lester is 4-1 with a 1.98 ERA in eight career starts at Busch stadium while Flaherty is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs. The Cardinals have the 8th worst OPS in the league against lefties. Take the value in the Cubs.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB ML PICKS | +1783
9-2 IN LAST 11 STL ML PICKS | +725

10-3 IN LAST 13 CHC ML PICKS | +655