Service Plays Sunday 8/4/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia ( VegasInsider)

MLB
New York Mets -125
Cardinals/Athletics Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
3:10 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Rockies -130 over Giants
Freeland/Beedy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3 unit Philly-155

[cpawforpresident]

Jeff Alexander

4* Atlanta -1.5 +155

[cpawforpresident]

John Martin

5* NY Yankees Over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:10 pm est mlb
laa angels vs. Cleveland indians

pick: Cleveland indians -1.5 (+100)

risk: 11 units

1:35 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. Pittsburgh pirates

pick: New york mets (-134)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est mlb
boston red sox vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees (-107)

risk: 11 units

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:35 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New York Mets -126
  
  View Analysis
  
  Syndergaard v. Musgrove
  Thor as stopper! This is why they kept him and even upgraded adding Stroman, right? Mets in a rubber game...and they MUST win series against far inferior teams if they're buyers...I think we get another on point Thor start today and the Mets can keep the hitting up today they had going late last night!
  X factor we have Mike (don't call me Chris, Jim Rome) Everitt behind the plate today...and no umpire going is more toxic to home teams with just 7 SU wins in 20 games umped! He in fact has an average of 1.5 runs more for the road squad!
  
• Game: (967) Kansas City Royals at (968) Minnesota Twins
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Kansas City Royals 1.5 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Keller v. Odorizzi
  We sure ain't stopping now...
  Odorizzi is a fade product and Keller is a guy we back...we get them on the same mound together and the Royals were just walloped last night and need to salvage something from this division series.
  Odorizzi still allows the most fly balls and has close to the top xFIP disparity fitting our system! 70% of the tickets are on the home team yet the has just barely even moved!
  Keller continues to improve despite pitching for KC and just dominated in his last start at Target Field! This time he gets a home team who doesn't have a ton of motivation and would be perfectly fine with a single run victory and probably even a close loss....vulnerable a la their closing game in Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Port Port Sports (MLB) - Brewers/Cubs Over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gary Bart (MLB VegasInsider) - St Louis Cardinals +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeZoBets

3* Marlins +0.5 1H -105
2* Angels +1.5 +100
2* Mets/Pirates o8 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nascar - Watkins Glen Preview
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (7/2)
2) #11 Denny Hamlin (10/1)
3) #14 Clint Bowyer (12/1)
4) #18 Kyle Busch (5/2)
5) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)

[Yellow]

King Creole 3* Over of the week

Yankees Over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 Phillies , 300 Mets game under , 300 orioles game over , 200 tigers , 500 Rockies , 600 Indians game under , 600 reds

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Baltimore Orioles
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Toronto Blue Jays -142
  
  View Analysis
  
  Pitcher v. Yacabonis
  The Yac had a shot at this team in just 1 inning and made a fool of himself....before Toronto started to figure out the offensive end of this game of baseball!
  Over the past week+ no team has more road PAs against RHP and no team has done more with them...hitting for the most power, creating 33 wRC, and a .362 wOBA.
  Action for the BJs side as Reid-Foley should start but I'd hate for any cancellation due to an opener!
  
• Reds Team Total Over 4.5
  Game: (951) Cincinnati Reds at (952) Atlanta Braves
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Cincinnati Reds Team Total Over 4.5 (+108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Gray v. Teheran
  Reds are lining up the toughest version of them for the rubber match in ATL today and have Winker, VanMeter, and Dietrich in there to face Teheran with his 5.57 xFIP against LHP...same at home and his even worse xFIP the second time through the order.
  For what it's worth I think Sonny Gray is worth a look as a first 5 ML candidate as well but the Reds will likely get going quick against Julio a la Gausman and the safest play is to take the runs at 5 or a good bit more!
  
• Game: (951) Cincinnati Reds at (952) Atlanta Braves
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Cincinnati Reds +111
  
  View Analysis
  
  Gray v. Teheran
  Teheran is an xFIP fade and while he struggles to cooperate with me the Reds lineup today should cause him fits!
  
• Game: (953) New York Mets at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:35 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New York Mets -126
  
  View Analysis
  
  Syndergaard v. Musgrove
  Thor as stopper! This is why they kept him and even upgraded adding Stroman, right? Mets in a rubber game...and they MUST win series against far inferior teams if they're buyers...I think we get another on point Thor start today and the Mets can keep the hitting up today they had going late last night!
  X factor we have Mike (don't call me Chris, Jim Rome) Everitt behind the plate today...and no umpire going is more toxic to home teams with just 7 SU wins in 20 games umped! He in fact has an average of 1.5 runs more for the road squad!
  
• Game: (967) Kansas City Royals at (968) Minnesota Twins
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Kansas City Royals 1.5 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Keller v. Odorizzi
  We sure ain't stopping now...
  Odorizzi is a fade product and Keller is a guy we back...we get them on the same mound together and the Royals were just walloped last night and need to salvage something from this division series.
  Odorizzi still allows the most fly balls and has close to the top xFIP disparity fitting our system! 70% of the tickets are on the home team yet the has just barely even moved!
  Keller continues to improve despite pitching for KC and just dominated in his last start at Target Field! This time he gets a home team who doesn't have a ton of motivation and would be perfectly fine with a single run victory and probably even a close loss....vulnerable a la their closing game in Miami
  
• Game: (955) Milwaukee Brewers at (956) Chicago Cubs
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers +122
  
  View Analysis
  
  Houser v. Darvish
  These bargain first 5 lines are just screaming out the value and I can already see how advantageous the lines are going to be once football is in full force!
  Darvish CAN'T keep his walks down and if Houser does this line will be the OOPS of the day no doubt! Houser already has an xFIP of 3.74!
  
• Game: (957) San Francisco Giants at (958) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 3:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H San Francisco Giants 0.5 (-115)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Beede v. Freeland
  This first 5 line is FLAT OUT KOOKY TALK
  I have plenty of analysis...but backing Beede and fading Free(fall)land is just too easy...then you give me the push win?!.!.!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


MIAMI +158


MIAMI @ TAMPA BAY | 8/04 | 1:10 PM EDT
9:14 AM
You're getting solid value with the underdog Marlins at this price. After sitting out most of June with hip inflammation, Miami starter Caleb Smith has thrown three quality starts in five outings, posting a 3.48 ERA in July. Meanwhile Rays starter Yonny Chirinos is coming off his worst start of the season, giving up seven runs on eight hits in 4.0 innings against the Jays. My model says Miami wins this game more than 40 percent of the time, so the price is right. Roll the dice with the Marlins.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
30-15 IN LAST 45 TB ML PICKS | +1799

21-16 IN LAST 37 MIA ML PICKS | +698

HOUSTON -217
SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 8/04 | 2:10 PM EDT
9:06 AM
Less than 24 hours after throwing a combined no-hitter against Seattle, the Astros send ace Justin Verlander to the mound against the Mariners, who have managed just three hits in this series. Houston is rolling right now, having won 13 of 16 games. My model says the Astros win this game more than 75 percent of the time, so you're getting solid value even at this heavy price. Lay it.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
31-24 IN LAST 55 SEA ML PICKS | +1063

30-24 IN LAST 54 HOU ML PICKS | +985


BALTIMORE +122


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
8:56 AM
My model says that Baltimore is winning more than 50 percent of simulations, so you're getting excellent value with the Orioles at plus-money. Baltimore's Hanser Alberto has been an offensive catalyst, hitting .400 with a .985 OPS in his last 17 games. He had two hits in Saturday's comeback win. Take the Orioles.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
41-25 IN LAST 66 TOR ML PICKS | +1625

12-8 IN LAST 20 BAL ML PICKS | +249