Service Plays Monday 8/5/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #16
    Miller locks

    7:05 pm est mlb
    new york yankees vs. Baltimore orioles

    pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-159)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    kansas city royals vs. Boston red sox

    pick: Over 11.5 (+102)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    laa angels vs. Cincinnati reds

    pick: Cincinnati reds (-201)

    risk: 11 units
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #17
      Sleepyj

      3* GOW

      Arizona / Philadelphia over 10
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #18
        BEN BURNS

        3* Detroit / Chicago whitesox under 9
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #19
          GREG SHAKER

          3* Baltimore / New York Yankees over 10.5


          1* Boston / Kansas City under 11.5

          1* Detroit / Chicago whitesox over 8.5
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          • Lexdeoh20189
            Senior Member
            • May 2019
            • 372

            #20
            Indian Cowboy

            7U MLB Pick : Atlanta Braves ML -105

            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #21
              Miami has flipped their starting pitchers for today's Doubleheader. R Dugger will start in Game #1 and S Alcantara will start in Game #2.
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              • dawggy
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2017
                • 1770

                #22
                DR, CHUCK



                Game:(903) Milwaukee Brewers at (904) Pittsburgh Pirates
                Date/Time: Aug 5 2019 7:05 PM EDT
                Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                Play Rating: 5%
                Play: Milwaukee Brewers -125

                View Analysis

                Lyles v. Agrazal
                Jordan Lyles is baaaaack! It Ain't July no more and he escaped the toxic time he spent with the Pirates in the steel city. He got a win in July in his first start back for the Brew Crew (the first time he pitched and his team won ever in his career in July!). Now he gets to face his old team who traded him a couple weeks ago, off a game they played at home allowing the Mets to score close to 42 runs and losing yet another rubber match and series! No team is reeling more than Pittsburgh, they are still in some suspensions, and throw Agrazal on the mound to face the daunting Brewers lineup!
                Agrazal is the prototype for the xFIP fade system (if he had more than 7 starts and 37 innings), but despite the small.sample size he has now boasted an ERA of 3.65 and xFIP of 6.20. I like to fade the 2 point difference but rarely get a shot at the almost 3 spot. He also allows the most contact of any starter in the MLB with as many starts. The Brewers had a rough go of it in Wrigley over the weekend and are going to be excited break loose in Pittsburgh after the frustration as well as seeing what can be done to these Pirates...who had a better pitcher going against Thor on Sunday!
                Lyles revenge and return is all just a bonus play on this AMAZING price...that also may not last!

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #23
                  Stephen Oh


                  PITTSBURGH +124


                  MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 8/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
                  9:41 AM
                  Jordan Lyles had a nice debut for the Brewers last week in a win over the A's. My projections call for a Brewers win in Monday's start as well, but it only occurred in 51 percent of my simulations. Milwaukee is in a 2-9 funk in road games against a right-handed starter and are coming off a humbling sweep at the Cubs. The Pirates are struggling, too, but they've been far better at home, especially on offense. The value is in the home team.

                  135-92 IN LAST 227 MLB ML PICKS | +3868
                  19-6 IN LAST 25 PIT ML PICKS | +1275

                  11-8 IN LAST 19 MIL ML PICKS | +266


                  TEXAS +168


                  TEXAS @ CLEVELAND | 8/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
                  YESTERDAY 8:24 PM
                  Mike Minor has a 6.65 ERA over his last four starts but he’s dominated the Indians over his career. Cleveland starter Aaron Civale was impressive in his debut, but this one is about value. Texas wins only 44 percent of my computer simulations, but that success rate suggests a money line of +127 and we’re getting way over that now. Take the calculated risk with the Rangers.

                  135-92 IN LAST 227 MLB ML PICKS | +3868
                  32-19 IN LAST 51 CLE ML PICKS | +1669

                  20-13 IN LAST 33 TEX ML PICKS | +1046


                  BOSTON -218


                  KANSAS CITY @ BOSTON | 8/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
                  YESTERDAY 8:20 PM
                  The Royals are stuck in a funk, they’re winless against the Red Sox this season and haven’t won a start from acquired pitcher Mike Montgomery. The Red Sox have been having pitching issues but the offense has been firing, and they’re 27-14 against teams with a .460 or under win percentage. Boston wins a solid 74 percent of my simulations for Monday, so even at this high price the value is on the Red Sox.

                  135-92 IN LAST 227 MLB ML PICKS | +3868
                  34-17 IN LAST 51 KC ML PICKS | +2016

                  13-8 IN LAST 21 BOS ML PICKS | +230
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                  • FATMANWINS
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 1334

                    #24
                    allan desrosiers
                    10 milw

                    Comment

                    • FATMANWINS
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 1334

                      #25
                      ats
                      5 white sox
                      4 san fran

                      Comment

                      • B*mb07
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2018
                        • 640

                        #26
                        Philly Guy - W Sox Brewers Twins Augie J - Indians

                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #27
                          ROCKY ATKINSON

                          3* Milwaukee -132
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #28
                            BeZoBets

                            3u Rangers +0.5 1H -101
                            3u Angels +1.5 -106
                            2u Cardinals ML +148
                            2u Pirates ML +134
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #29
                              Jason Sharpe
                              3 Unit sf -120
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #30
                                KING CREOLE

                                2* Boston / Kansas City over 11.5
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