Thursday 8-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 8
    David Schwab

    Week 7 Betting Recap

    The Calgary Stampeders started last week’s CFL schedule of games with a tight 17-16 road win against Ottawa closing as six-point favorites. In the second of two Thursday night tilts, Edmonton kept Toronto winless on the year with a 26-0 shutout as an 11-point home favorite.

    Friday night’s inter-division clash between Winnipeg and Hamilton ended with the Tiger-Cats pulling off a 23-15 upset as slight two-point home underdogs. Saskatchewan closed out Week 7 on Saturday night with a 45-18 rout against British Columbia in a game that closed as a PICK to sweep that West Division home-and-home series.

    Thursday, Aug. 1

    Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-6 SU, 2-4 ATS)
    Point-spread: Winnipeg -14
    Total: 48 ½


    Game Overview

    The Blue Bombers lost for the first time this season both straight-up and against the spread. It was also the first time this offense failed to score at least 28 points. Winnipeg is averaging 30.7 points per game while holding opposing teams to just 17.2 points. Matt Nichols threw for 261 yards and one touchdown while completing a pass to eight different players in Friday’s loss to Hamilton. However, he was also picked off three times. The Blue Bombers were held to 63 yards rushing on 12 carries.

    Toronto is still looking for its first SU victory of the season behind an offense that is scoring an average of just 12.5 PPG. The Argonauts’ defense has allowed a combined total of 214 points in those six losses. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson gave way to Dakota Prukop at quarterback in the team’s latest loss. Prukop put the ball up 13 times against Edmonton and he completed eight passes for 68 yards. The two players combined to throw three interceptions. Running back Branden Burks averaged 4.7 yards a carry on nine rushing attempts.

    Betting Trends

    -- Winnipeg has won six of the last seven meetings SU in this inter-division matchup and it has covered ATS in the last five games. The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Toronto.

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS)
    Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
    Total: 50 ½


    Game Overview

    The Tiger-Cats will be without quarterback Jeremiah Masoli for Thursday night. He left last week’s game against Winnipeg late in the first quarter with a season-ending knee injury. Dane Evans took his place and completed 13-of-25 passing attempts for 94 yards. Five different players ran the ball in that game for 82 yards and two scores on 17 rushing attempts. The Tiger-Cats have scored an average of 35 PPG which is the highest total in the CFL. Their defense has only allowed an average of 19.2 PPG.

    The Roughriders’ two-game sweep over BC both SU and ATS has them just two games off the pace in the West Division standings. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games with the total going OVER in three of those contests. Cody Fajardo played one of his better games of the season with 169 yards passing and another 46 yards running the ball. He completed an efficient 21-of-26 passing attempts while averaging 6.6 yards a carry on the ground. William Powell led the rushing attack in Saturday’s lopsided win with 146 total running yards and three scores on 21 carries.

    Betting Trends

    -- Saskatchewan has won 17 of its last 19 home games against Hamilton SU and it has covered ATS in six of the last seven meetings at Mosaic Stadium. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      CFL
      Dunkel

      Week 8


      Thursday, August 1

      Winnipeg @ Toronto

      Game 689-690
      August 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Winnipeg
      122.311
      Toronto
      96.665
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Winnipeg
      by 25 1/2
      43
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Winnipeg
      by 14
      48 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Winnipeg
      (-14); Under

      Hamilton @ Saskatchewan


      Game 691-692
      August 1, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Hamilton
      119.938
      Saskatchewan
      106.463
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Hamilton
      by 13 1/2
      50
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Saskatchewan
      by 3
      50 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Hamilton
      (+3); Under
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        CFL
        Long Sheet

        Week 8


        Thursday, August 1

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WINNIPEG (5 - 1) at TORONTO (0 - 6) - 8/1/2019, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WINNIPEG is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TORONTO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HAMILTON (5 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 3) - 8/1/2019, 9:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          CFL

          Week 8


          Trend Report

          Thursday, August 1

          Winnipeg Blue Bombers
          Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
          Winnipeg is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
          Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
          Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Toronto
          Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          Toronto Argonauts
          Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
          Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
          Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
          Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
          Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
          Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

          Hamilton Tiger-Cats
          Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games
          Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
          Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
          Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing Saskatchewan
          Hamilton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
          Hamilton is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
          Saskatchewan Roughriders
          Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Saskatchewan is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
          Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
          Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
          Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 11 games when playing Hamilton
          Saskatchewan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
          Saskatchewan is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Hamilton
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Thursday, August 1



            Minnesota @ Miami

            Game 915-916
            August 1, 2019 @ 12:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            (Pineda) 16.263
            Miami
            (Yamamoto) 14.461
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 2
            10
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Minnesota
            -175
            8
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (-175); Over

            San Francisco @ Philadelphia


            Game 901-902
            August 1, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Francisco
            (Rodriguez) 13.353
            Philadelphia
            (Arrieta) 16.850
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 3 1/2
            12
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            N/A

            NY Mets @ Chicago White Sox

            Game 917-918
            August 1, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            NY Mets
            (Wheeler) 16.661
            Chicago White Sox
            (Cease) 13.147
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            NY Mets
            by 3 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            NY Mets
            -170
            9 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            NY Mets
            (-170); Under

            Milwaukee @ Oakland


            Game 919-920
            August 1, 2019 @ 3:37 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            (Anderson) 12.759
            Oakland
            (Bailey) 16.257
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oakland
            by 3 1/2
            11
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oakland
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oakland
            N/A

            Toronto @ Baltimore

            Game 909-910
            August 1, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            (Thornton) 14.628
            Baltimore
            (TBD) 12.147
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 2 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            N/A

            Tampa Bay @ Boston

            Game 911-912
            August 1, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tampa Bay
            (McKay) 14.343
            Boston
            (Cashner) 16.813
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boston
            by 2 1/2
            13
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            -125
            10 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Boston
            (-125); Over

            Houston @ Cleveland


            Game 913-914
            August 1, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            (Cole) 18.180
            Cleveland
            (Salazar) 16.581
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 1 1/2
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            -190
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (-190); Under

            Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis


            Game 903-904
            August 1, 2019 @ 7:15 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago Cubs
            (Lester) 17.503
            St. Louis
            (Flaherty) 15.011
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago Cubs
            by 2 1/2
            6
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            St. Louis
            -125
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago Cubs
            (+105); Under

            Cincinnati @ Atlanta


            Game 905-906
            August 1, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cincinnati
            (DeScflfni) 13.904
            Atlanta
            (Fried) 16.435
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Atlanta
            by 2 1/2
            12
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            -155
            9 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Atlanta
            (-155); Over

            San Diego @ LA Dodgers


            Game 907-908
            August 1, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Diego
            (Lucchesi) 16.646
            LA Dodgers
            (Kershaw) 15.164
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Diego
            by 1 1/2
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA Dodgers
            -210
            8
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Diego
            (+180); Under
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

              Presque Isle Downs - Race 8
              $2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) Super High-5 (min .20 cent)
              Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 72 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 8:20P
              (PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 1, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2018 - 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (LIMITED TO10 STARTERS).
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MY SOLITUDE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MY SOLITUDE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LULU'S PRIDE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SENORITA SPARKPLUG: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HOXIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MANDEVILLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
              1
              MY SOLITUDE
              5/1
              9/2
              3
              LULU'S PRIDE
              8/1
              7/1
              5
              SENORITA SPARKPLUG
              3/1
              8/1
              6
              HOXIE
              9/5
              8/1
              2
              MANDEVILLE
              6/1
              9/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              MY SOLITUDE
              1
              5/1
              Alternator/Front-runner
              69
              62
              50.6
              61.4
              52.4
              5
              SENORITA SPARKPLUG
              5
              3/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              71
              65
              45.0
              62.8
              54.3
              6
              HOXIE
              6
              9/5
              Trailer
              70
              70
              57.8
              60.0
              52.5
              2
              MANDEVILLE
              2
              6/1
              Trailer
              70
              65
              20.2
              61.7
              55.2
              3
              LULU'S PRIDE
              3
              8/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              76
              74
              46.1
              56.8
              52.8
              7
              LA LA BAMBA
              7
              10/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              76
              69
              62.6
              54.0
              46.5
              8
              SHE REMEMBERED
              8
              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              34.2
              31.4
              15.9
              4
              FLORIA TOSCA
              4
              12/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              77
              66
              32.4
              39.2
              26.7
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town



                Charles Town - Race 2
                Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 2-3) / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
                Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 42 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:30P
                FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Dominant Class. POSEIDON'S BLUFF is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POSEIDON'S BLUFF: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FLIRTIN HEART: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth s tart after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                1
                POSEIDON'S BLUFF
                8/5
                2/1
                2
                FLIRTIN HEART
                2/1
                5/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                2
                FLIRTIN HEART
                2
                2/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                40
                34
                58.2
                25.6
                20.6
                5
                LITTLE MAXIMOVA
                5
                5/2
                Alternator/Front-runner
                38
                32
                36.0
                25.0
                17.5
                1
                POSEIDON'S BLUFF
                1
                8/5
                Alternator/Trailer
                54
                50
                26.6
                43.0
                41.0
                3
                CITY OF CLARKSBURG
                3
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                38
                21
                15.0
                18.0
                8.5
                6
                FLIP A COIN
                6
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                39
                21
                14.0
                17.8
                6.8
                4
                RELAUNCHING
                4
                12/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                0
                0
                12.8
                19.5
                8.5
                7
                GANDHI'S TEARDROP
                7
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                0
                0
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Del Mar

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 2 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 94

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 1, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, IF FOR $35,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 2 G Q COVERGIRL 5/2
                  # 6 POINT HOPE (IRE) 5/1
                  # 1 SWIRLING 6/1
                  G Q COVERGIRL appears to be the bet in here. She has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this field. I like Maldonado on this mare to give her a quite good chance to hit the wire first. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace contest which bodes well with this group of horses. POINT HOPE (IRE) - Should best this group here, showing decent figs of late. SWIRLING - Conditioner boasts solid win figs at this distance and surface. With Velez getting the mount, watch out for this pony.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:52pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 49

                    Rating:

                    #3 CANDY PANTS (ML=6/1)
                    #4 LILY RAE (ML=7/2)


                    CANDY PANTS - Great chance for this horse. Big late speed and should have good position. Was in a $4,000 Claiming race at Penn National in the last race. That event had a class figure of 63 and she is moving down today. A certain strong challenger. LILY RAE - Inirio was aboard this filly last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. She has the highest earnings per race. Check out this thoroughbred.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BLAZING D. R. (ML=5/2), #1 SWEET DANCER (ML=4/1), #5 MOXIE MOMENTUM (ML=5/1),

                    BLAZING D. R. - Can't play this probable favorite off the extended layoff. SWEET DANCER - This mount ran a pedestrian speed figure in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat in today's event running that figure. MOXIE MOMENTUM - Tough to put your dough on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as often as this thoroughbred does.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 CANDY PANTS to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 94

                      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 MINNESOTA BRED

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 5 POWER SONG 5/1
                      # 9 IRISH MAJOR 5/2
                      # 3 BANDIT POINT 10/1
                      POWER SONG looks very good to best this field. Mojica has a winning percentage of 30 over the last month. Should go to the front end and could never look back. Keep this gelding in your exotics as Mojica has given backers some double digit dividends. IRISH MAJOR - Has to be carefully examined here if only for the respectable speed figure posted in the last contest. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this group.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Century Mile - Race #6 - Post: 8:15pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,900 Class Rating: 66

                        Rating:

                        #5 SNEAKY SISTER (ML=6/1)
                        #3 PENNY A POINT (ML=10/1)


                        SNEAKY SISTER - Was in a $25,000 Optional Claiming race at Century Mile in the last race. That contest had a class number of 87 and she is moving down right here. A certain strong challenger. Don't throw this one out due to her last event at Century Mile where she ended up fourth on a muddy track. I look for an improvement today. This trainer is 'stretching-out' this horse. Making the move to 1 mile for the 1st time, and Rycroft has had some great success doing that. PENNY A POINT - This filly is in nice condition. Finished third on July 14th. I like to see fast works. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. I like when a horse has dropped in class at least 5 class points like this one did last time around the track and then runs against a similar field right back. Cone must've found the right class level.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CROSS LADY (ML=2/1), #7 INSTANT WYN (ML=4/1), #2 PRINCESS ROBBI (ML=5/1),

                        CROSS LADY - This filly notched a rating in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. INSTANT WYN - She showed not much at all in the last event. Hard to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this entrant does. PRINCESS ROBBI - I have some doubts when a vulnerable equine has bandages added in the last race.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SNEAKY SISTER - Getting my money. Tops in Power Rating and should go off at generous odds.




                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 SNEAKY SISTER to win if you can get at least 8/5 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        5 with 3 with [2,4,8] Total Cost: $3
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                          08/01/19, GP, Race 6, 3.47 ET
                          6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
                          Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered InAllowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
                          $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          100.0000 1 Rattle'm 9/2 Zayas E J Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. JTFEW
                          098.3957 7 Why Trust 2-1 Torres C A Barboza. Jr. Victor
                          098.2691 5 Rupp 3-1 Vasquez M A Walder Peter R. S
                          094.7811 4 Sweet Kayden 4-1 Lebron V Creque Rasharn L
                          094.1062 6 South Pass 12-1 Sanchez J Gonzalez Oscar M. C
                          093.6794 2 Cajun Embers 6-1 Gomez D F Yates Michael
                          092.7912 3 Silent Tiger 15-1 Santos A Hayford- Quinones Jenn
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
                          1 42.40 1.12 36.67 66 180 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
                          7 42.40 1.12 36.67 66 180 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
                          5 81.20 1.17 35.12 85 242 [All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                          4 14.80 1.03 31.51 69 219 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
                          6 14.80 1.03 31.51 69 219 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
                          2 14.80 1.03 31.51 69 219 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
                          3 81.20 1.17 35.12 85 242 [All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



                            08/01/19, DMR, Race 6, 4.30 PT
                            1 3/8M [Turf] 2.11.01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $64,000.
                            Claiming Price $40,000 (HORSES THAT ARE ENTERED FOR CLAIMING PRICE ARE RUNNING FOR A PURSE OF $52,000) (Plus up to $15,600 for Cal-Breds). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000
                            $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta - $2 Double / $1 Superfecta (10 cent min) / $2 WPS Parlay
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            100.0000 1 Big Buzz 10-1 Pereira T J Sherman Steve M. W
                            099.4218 7 Trojan Spirit 4-1 Van Dyke D Gallagher Patrick J
                            098.1493 5 Twentytwentyvision 7/2 Bejarano R Puype Mike L
                            097.0807 4 Red King 2-1 Gryder A T D'Amato Philip SEC
                            096.9534 6 Unapologetic 5/2 Franco G Spawr William T
                            094.9968 3 Arch Anthem 20-1 Fuentes R McCarthy Michael W.
                            094.7542 2 Ground Attack(b-) 10-1 Maldonado E A Headley Bruce F
                            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
                            1 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            7 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            5 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            4 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            6 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            3 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            2 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            If Race Is Off Turf

                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            100.0000 1 Big Buzz 10-1 Pereira T J Sherman Steve M. W
                            098.7356 7 Trojan Spirit 4-1 Van Dyke D Gallagher Patrick J
                            098.2783 3 Arch Anthem 20-1 Fuentes R McCarthy Michael W.
                            098.0213 2 Ground Attack(b-) 10-1 Maldonado E A Headley Bruce
                            097.8634 5 Twentytwentyvision 7/2 Bejarano R Puype Mike L
                            097.0052 6 Unapologetic 5/2 Franco G Spawr William TS
                            095.8755 4 Red King 2-1 Gryder A T D'Amato Philip FEC
                            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                            Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
                            1 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            7 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            3 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            2 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            5 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            6 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
                            4 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #29
                              Mike Wynn

                              Free Play: San Diego w/Lucchesi +180 Over LA Dodgers
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #30
                                Razor Sharp

                                YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY:CHICAGO CUBS (Lester) +105 over St Louis
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