Thursday 8-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day

-- The Braves are 15-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest after a game in which they scored six-plus runs.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day

-- The Blue Jays are 0-15 SU as a home 135-plus dog off a win as a dog in which they never trailed.

OU Trend of the Day

-- The Yankees are 11-0 OU as a 140+ favorite after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day

-- The Rockies are 0-8 SU in franchise history with Jon Gray when their line is within 30 cents of pickem and they lost as a home favorite in his last start.

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Top Shelf Sports Pick

MLB

ATLANTA BRAVES ‑195

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R and R Totals

NFL

TENNESSEE TITANS/PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ‑105 o36.5

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Mikey Sports

NFL

CAROLINA PANTHERS +3 +100

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Ace / V.I.P.

MLB

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +105

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Mikey Money

NFL

LOS ANGELES RAMS +5

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Top Dog

NFL

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +165

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Pure Lock

NFL

DETROIT LIONS +1.5

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Team Underground

NFL

CAROLINA PANTHERS +3 ‑105

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Tys Terrific Tips

NFL

ARIZONA CARDINALS ‑2.5

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Brand X Sports

MLB

TORONTO BLUE JAYS +200

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DailySpotPlays

MLB

BOSTON RED SOX ‑1.5 ‑140

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Vegas Investment Picks

NFL

DETROIT LIONS +1

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Betting Recap - Week 8
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

This Week

-- Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 8
-- Underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 8
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 8
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 8
-- The total went 2-2 in Week 8

Year To Date

-- Favorites are 20-11 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 17-14 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 20-11 SU overall
-- Home teams are 18-13 ATS overall
-- The 'Under' is 18-13 overall

Analysis

Toronto captured its first victory of the season in Week 8 as it pulled off a 28-27 victory over Winnipeg on Thursday. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson led the club back from a 20-0 deficit and the game-winning touchdown pass came with 10 seconds remaining.

The Argonauts were listed as 15-point home underdogs and bettors taking a chance on the upset were rewarded with money-line payouts as high as +650 (Bet $100 to win $650). The 28 points scored for the Argos was a season-high and that offensive effort helped the ‘over’ (49) cash as well.

After starting the season 5-0, the Blue Bombers have now lost two consecutive games and the defense has allowed 26.5 points per game in those setbacks compared to 16 PPG in the victories.

The lone favorite to win in Week 8 was Saskatchewan, who defeated Hamilton 24-19 on Thursday as a 3 ½-point home favorite. The Roughriders have now won and covered three straight games and that victory pushed them to 3-1 both SU and ATS at home.

The Tiger-Cats fell to 1-2 on the road with the loss, their only victory coming against last place Toronto.

After falling behind 17-8 after the first quarter, Ottawa outscored Montreal 22-10 over the final 45 minutes and captured a 30-27 win on Friday as a 6 ½-point road underdog. The Redblacks dropped a 36-19 decision at home to Montreal in Week 5 and this victory got them even on the season. The ‘over’ has hit in both games.

The win for the Redblacks snapped a four-game losing streak and the offensive production was surprising after the team was held to 12.5 PPG during the skid.

Montreal was playing with rest off the bye and Friday’s loss snapped their three-game winning streak. The club sits at 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season.

Saturday’s finale watched Calgary outlast Edmonton 24-18 as a one-point home underdog. The Stampeders led 9-0 at halftime and held firm in the final 30 minutes. The ‘under’ (47) was never in doubt and the low side has now cashed in five straight games for the Stamps.

Despite owning a 5-2 straight up record, Calgary is just 2-5 versus the point-spread on the season and that includes this win and cover.

Going back to Week 2, the Eskimos have alternated wins and losses in their last six games both SU and ATS. Including Saturday’s loss at Calgary, the club is now 1-3 as a visitor this season.

Similar to the Stamps, the ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run for the Eskimos as well and that mark comes after Edmonton started the season with back-to-back easy ‘over’ winners.

British Columbia (1-6) was off in Week 8 and the team needed a break after losing a home-and-home series to Saskatchewan by a combined scored of 83-43. The Lions will visit Hamilton in Week 9.

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
David Schwab

Week 8 Betting Recap

The month of August started with a doubleheader of CFL action last Thursday night. Toronto posted its first straight-up win of the season in dramatic fashion with a stunning 28-27 upset against Winnipeg as a heavy 15-point home underdog. Later that night, Saskatchewan came away with a 24-19 victory against Hamilton covering as a 3 ½-point favorite at home.

Friday night’s game ended with Ottawa outlasting Montreal 30-27 to pull off the upset as a six-point road underdog. Week 8 came to an end on Saturday night with Calgary upending Edmonton 24-18 as a slight one-point underdog at home.

Thursday, Aug. 8

Calgary Stampeders (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -8 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

First place in the West Division is on the line in this matchup. Calgary has won its last three games SU and it covered against the spread for the first time in its last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in the Stampeders’ last five outings.

Nick Arbuckle continues to fill in at quarterback for an injured Bo Levi Mitchell. He threw for 189 yards and one touchdown with one interception in Saturday’s win. Calgary added 55 yards rushing with six different players carrying the ball.

Winnipeg has now dropped its last two games both SU and ATS after losing to Hamilton 23-15 in Week 7 as a two-point road favorite. The total went OVER 49 points in the loss to Toronto after it had stayed UNDER in four of its previous five games.

The Blue Bombers built an early 20-0 lead against the Argonauts in Thursday’s loss before letting things slip away in the second half. Matt Nichols completed 67.7 percent of his 31 passing attempts for 169 yards and one score. Andrew Harris racked up 152 yards and two scores on the ground on 15 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Over 22 games in this heated West Division rivalry, Calgary has won 19 of those meetings SU. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 meetings in Winnipeg.