Sunday 8-11-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 84

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 4 KITTY'S RIGHT 3/1
    # 1 FEELIN FOXIE 9/2
    # 6 MARKET MONEY 5/2
    KITTY'S RIGHT looks to be a decent contender. Should be given a shot in this event if only for the respectable Equibase speed fig posted in the last outing. Has performed soundly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 82 avg Equibase speed fig. Going in a turf sprint race gives this mare a solid shot. FEELIN FOXIE - Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved rapidly to the front end recently. Recorded a strong speed figure last time out. MARKET MONEY - Ought to go to the front end and could never look back. Should keep the good string of finish positions intact this time around.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 9 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 71

      GOLD RUSH FUTURITY - TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT 122 LBS. $50 TO NOMINATE. $300 TO ENTER. NOMINATIONS CLOSE AUGUST 4.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 2 MOONSHINE MILDRED 7/2
      # 4 GO LITTLE TE 5/1
      # 7 SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 9/2
      MOONSHINE MILDRED looks solid to best this field. Should compete admirably in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group. Lately Eads has been scorching which may give the edge to this filly. GO LITTLE TE - Solid average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a contender. Shows formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. SHE'S SMART ENOUGH - Always seems to be close at the finishing post. I like the jockey on this filly - competitive chance to win the contest.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Arlington - Race #7 - Post: 4:43pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 93

        Rating:

        #8 FORT RIDGE (ML=6/1)
        #6 HIGH ON SUGAR (ML=12/1)


        FORT RIDGE - This mount obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has garnered the highest Equibase speed figure on the turf at the dist-surf. This one could be close at the end. He's got a terrific late kick. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a strong effort on July 28th. HIGH ON SUGAR - This gelding is in fine form, having run a nice race on July 21st, finishing third.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #4 RHYTHMIA (ML=2/1), #2 DELTA LEVY (ML=7/2), #1 P H FACTOR (ML=4/1),

        RHYTHMIA - Awfully hard to invest in this pony when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. DELTA LEVY - You always believe this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he comes up short frequently. I'm always uncertain about any horse that earns his biggest speed rating on an 'off' track. P H FACTOR - Tough to play at 4/1 odds after the most recent efforts. This gelding registered a rating in his last affair which likely isn't good enough today.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 FORT RIDGE is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        8 with 6 with [2,4,7] Total Cost: $3
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Emerald Downs - Race #2 - Post: 2:33pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,200 Class Rating: 92

          Rating:

          #5 WEST COAST INDY (ML=7/2)
          #4 CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT (ML=8/5)
          #6 ATYPIQUE (ML=10/1)


          WEST COAST INDY - This racer could be tough in this race, especially since Gutierrez rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. This gelding is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ended up fourth last out and comes back promptly. CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT - Matias rode this entrant for the first time in the last race and comes right back today. On Jul 28th this gelding shipped in to win and looks good right back. This gelding is in superb form right now. Ended up first in the last race and comes back soon. ATYPIQUE - This gelding's last speed rating notched on July 28th is at the top in last race speed figs. I just may give this one a good shot. Should rebound off last race where he did run off the board, but was within 5 lengths at the wire. This animal has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 76 to 83 to 91 in succession.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DOUBLE A. PROSPECT (ML=5/2), #3 DESERT PROPHET (ML=4/1),

          DOUBLE A. PROSPECT - If you keep selecting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down frequently. DESERT PROPHET - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to notch a better speed rating than last time around the track to be competitive in this dirt route.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 WEST COAST INDY is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,6]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



            08/11/19, DMR, Race 2, 2.33 PT
            1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
            Claiming Price $32,000, if for $28,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
            $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) - 50 cent Early Pick 4 (Races 2-5) / $2 WPS Parlay
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            100.0000 6 Boyson(b+) 5-1 Prat F Sadler John W. JS
            098.1427 8 Twisted Plot(b-) 4-1 Bejarano R Sherman Art EL
            097.1780 7 Mongolian Legend 15-1 Pena B Ganbat Enebish W
            094.7035 5 Drink 7/2 Diaz. Jr. J Hofmans David E. F
            094.6459 1 Dinesen 8-1 Velez J I D'Amato Philip
            094.1340 2 Lostinthemoment 6-1 Van Dyke D Puhich Michael
            093.8689 3 Suite Alonso 6-1 Roman E A O'Neill Doug F.
            093.7608 4 Ohtani 9/2 Pereira T J Spawr William TC
            089.5716 9 Super Classic 15-1 Flores E Gomez Ruben
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
            6 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            8 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            7 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            5 94.00 1.09 31.17 163 523 [All Surfaces] Not Third Start
            1 94.00 1.09 31.17 163 523 [All Surfaces] Not Third Start
            2 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            3 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            4 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
            9 100.40 1.10 30.75 159 517 [All Surfaces] Does Not Carry Apprentice Weight
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



              08/11/19, SAR, Race 2, 1.34 ET
              1 1/8M [Inner Turf] 1.45.03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000.
              INNER TURF (UP TO $13,050 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019
              Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              100.0000 7 Turco Bravo (CHI) 6-1 Rider TBA Cannizzo David A. FW
              099.7252 2 Dontblamerocket 4-1 Lezcano J Casse Norm W. C
              099.4331 1 Krewe Chief 5/2 Castellano J Maker Michael J.
              099.1467 1A Noble Thought 5/2 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J.
              098.4993 5 Dover Cliffs 9/2 Velazquez J R Sweezey J. Kent S
              098.4560 8 Mo Maverick 8/5 Saez L Cannizzo David A. L
              098.1851 3 Majestic Affair 5/2 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. T
              097.3015 9 Sentry 6-1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R E
              096.4766 4 Super Dude 12-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Persaud Randi J
              093.8339 6 Frammento 8-1 Rider TBA Zito Nicholas P.
              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
              Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
              7 65.90 1.52 42.86 27 63 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
              2 44.50 1.49 42.22 19 45 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer
              1 43.10 1.19 35.71 40 112 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
              1A 43.10 1.19 35.71 40 112 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
              5 64.70 1.54 50.00 30 60 [All Turf] Best Speed
              8 43.10 1.19 35.71 40 112 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
              3 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
              9 68.00 1.59 48.28 28 58 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Earnings
              4 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
              6 47.30 1.27 28.09 25 89 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
              If Race Is Off Turf

              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              100.0000 8 Mo Maverick 8/5 Saez L Cannizzo David A. SFL
              099.9910 1 Krewe Chief 5/2 Castellano J Maker Michael J.
              099.7743 2 Dontblamerocket 4-1 Lezcano J Casse Norm W. JWC
              098.6941 7 Turco Bravo (CHI) 6-1 Rider TBA Cannizzo David A. E
              098.0524 1A Noble Thought 5/2 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J.
              098.0008 5 Dover Cliffs 9/2 Velazquez J R Sweezey J. Kent
              096.9406 3 Majestic Affair 5/2 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. T
              095.9300 9 Sentry 6-1 Rosario J McGaughey III Claude R
              095.8257 4 Super Dude 12-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Persaud Randi
              094.3047 6 Frammento 8-1 Rider TBA Zito Nicholas P.
              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
              Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
              8 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              1 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              2 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              7 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              1A 20.80 1.39 29.63 8 27 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
              5 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              3 18.50 1.26 33.33 12 36 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
              9 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              4 .50 1.02 36.36 4 11 [All Dirt] Race Age 4Up
              6 18.50 1.26 33.33 12 36 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
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