Monday 8-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #31
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 6 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 79

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 1 PROSPECTOR FEVER 2/1
    # 6 BAILEY'S POWER 8/1
    # 7 RESCIND 9/5
    I give the nod to PROSPECTOR FEVER here. His 79 average has this gelding with among the most favorable Equibase speed figs in this event. The speed figure of 79 from his last race looks strong in here. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in as of late. BAILEY'S POWER - Has run well when running a turf route race. He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. RESCIND - Very good try today with second time Lasix. Solid average Equibase Speed Figs in turf route races make this animal a contender.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #32
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Presque Isle Downs - Race #4 - Post: 6:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 50

      Rating:

      #2 KUKOO KUNUKU (ML=6/1)
      #9 CAMBIUM (ML=3/1)


      KUKOO KUNUKU - Cox should have her moving strong on the turn. CAMBIUM - Note that although this filly finished second in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. It looks like Pino had to be more familiar with this filly on July 29th when riding her for the first time. Back atop again today. Each one of this filly's recent finish positions has been progressively better. This filly is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back promptly. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (16-27-48) make this horse a powerful contender.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GRAY STARLET (ML=7/2), #1A JUST ONE LOOK (ML=7/2), #4 MORNING PRINCESS (ML=9/2),

      GRAY STARLET - Doesn't seem to have enough positive angles to support the reward. JUST ONE LOOK - Improbable for this horse to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint race. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch. MORNING PRINCESS - Don't believe this vulnerable equine is worth 9/2 in this event.

      GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CAMBIUM - I always examine the equine that is tops in earnings per start. If she meets my fundamentals I make a bet.




      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #2 KUKOO KUNUKU to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/2 or better though
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,9]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #33
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 5 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 96

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2018-2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 4 WE B JAMMIN 12/1
        # 1 DOUBLE WHAMMY 3/1
        # 9 HIGH FIVE COTTON 7/2
        WE B JAMMIN is my selection and is a very strong value bet given the line. Servideo has him trained very well to break promptly out of the gate. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt route races recently. DOUBLE WHAMMY - With one of the most respectable jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this gelding out. Posted a decent Equibase Speed Figure last time out. HIGH FIVE COTTON - Ought to be considered based on the very good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last competition. Always hard to beat Bennett and Centeno working together, winning 25 percent of their races.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #34
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,800 Class Rating: 78

          Rating:

          #7 PAIN IN THE ARCH (ML=5/1)
          #2 MY HALO (ML=6/1)


          PAIN IN THE ARCH - After the race aboard this horse on Jul 30th, the rider is going to know the gelding much better. Larue brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this strong gelding. MY HALO - Like the way this colt's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Nice return on investment for this rider and trainer tandem. Three consecutive improved speed figures (33-45-48) make this one a solid contender.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ZIPPY WILLY (ML=7/5), #5 MY PEOPLE SING (ML=9/2), #3 CACTUSA ICE (ML=6/1),

          ZIPPY WILLY - I think this probable favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. This colt hasn't been getting the job done as the chalk. MY PEOPLE SING - I'm always concerned about any horse that earns his biggest speed rating on an 'off' track. Difficult to put any money on this gelding on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. CACTUSA ICE - This gelding gave a lackluster effort last out. Don't believe this racer will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #7 PAIN IN THE ARCH to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #35
            1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Blue Jays -110
            2. Gameday Network MLB – Yankees GM1 -1.5
            3. VegasSI.com MLB – Nationals -110
            4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Red Sox -115
            5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Angels under 10
            6. Point Spread Report MLB – Diamondbacks under 14
            7. Lou Panelli MLB – Astros over 9.5
            8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Angels -140
            9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Rays +120
            10. William E. Stockton MLB – Blue Jays -110
            11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Yankees GM1 over 11
            12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Angels -140
            13. SCORE MLB – Red Sox over 10.5
            14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Nationals -110
            15. Tony Campone MLB – Astros -1.5
            16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Diamondbacks +105
            17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Rays +120
            18. VIP Action MLB – Nationals -110
            19. South Beach Sports MLB – Blue Jays -110
            20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Astros -1.5
            21. NY Players Club MLB – Angels -140
            22. Fred Callahan MLB – Red Sox over 10.5
            23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Nationals -110
            24. Michigan Sports MLB – Astros -1.5
            25. National Consensus Report MLB – Diamondbacks +105
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #36
              MLB
              Long Sheet

              Monday, August 12


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              CINCINNATI (56 - 60) at WASHINGTON (62 - 55) - 7:05 PM
              ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              CINCINNATI is 9-20 (-10.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
              CINCINNATI is 40-29 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              CINCINNATI is 38-36 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
              DESCLAFANI is 15-8 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              WASHINGTON is 62-55 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              WASHINGTON is 72-65 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 87-85 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 54-45 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 30-31 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
              2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

              ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
              DESCLAFANI is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.342.
              His team's record is 3-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)

              ERICK FEDDE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
              FEDDE is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 2.250.
              His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              ARIZONA (59 - 59) at COLORADO (53 - 65) - 8:40 PM
              MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. PETER LAMBERT (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              COLORADO is 145-140 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              COLORADO is 99-89 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
              COLORADO is 80-65 (+20.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
              ARIZONA is 59-59 (+1.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              ARIZONA is 32-31 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
              ARIZONA is 23-16 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              COLORADO is 8-5 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
              7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

              MERRILL KELLY vs. COLORADO since 1997
              KELLY is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.184.
              His team's record is 0-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

              PETER LAMBERT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
              No recent starts.

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BALTIMORE (39 - 78) at NY YANKEES (77 - 41) - 1:05 PM
              GABRIEL YNOA (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NY YANKEES is 13-2 (+6.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
              12 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.9 Units)

              GABRIEL YNOA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
              YNOA is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
              His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

              JAMES PAXTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
              PAXTON is 4-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.327.
              His team's record is 5-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BALTIMORE (39 - 78) at NY YANKEES (77 - 41) - 7:05 PM
              TOM ESHELMAN (R) vs. CHAD GREEN (R)
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NY YANKEES is 13-2 (+6.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
              12 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.9 Units)

              TOM ESHELMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
              No recent starts.

              CHAD GREEN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
              GREEN is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 10.79 and a WHIP of 2.278.
              His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              TEXAS (59 - 58) at TORONTO (49 - 72) - 7:07 PM
              ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. NEIL RAMIREZ (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              TEXAS is 59-58 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              TEXAS is 40-38 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              TEXAS is 40-37 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
              TEXAS is 33-25 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
              TEXAS is 31-22 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
              TORONTO is 21-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
              TORONTO is 22-36 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
              TORONTO is 166-186 (-55.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
              TORONTO is 55-73 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
              TORONTO is 30-51 (-17.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
              2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

              ARIEL JURADO vs. TORONTO since 1997
              No recent starts.

              NEIL RAMIREZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
              No recent starts.

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (62 - 58) at CLEVELAND (71 - 47) - 7:10 PM
              EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              BOSTON is 62-58 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              BOSTON is 43-35 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              BOSTON is 45-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
              BOSTON is 21-31 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
              RODRIGUEZ is 37-10 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              RODRIGUEZ is 18-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              RODRIGUEZ is 29-6 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              RODRIGUEZ is 17-4 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              CLEVELAND is 162-121 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              CLEVELAND is 95-77 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
              CLEVELAND is 88-72 (-22.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
              3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

              EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
              RODRIGUEZ is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 0.878.
              His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

              ZACH PLESAC vs. BOSTON since 1997
              PLESAC is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.938.
              His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              HOUSTON (77 - 41) at CHI WHITE SOX (52 - 64) - 8:10 PM
              ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. DYLAN CEASE (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              CHI WHITE SOX are 52-64 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              CHI WHITE SOX are 23-17 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
              CHI WHITE SOX are 33-31 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              HOUSTON is 147-85 (+31.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
              GREINKE is 20-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+2.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

              ZACK GREINKE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
              GREINKE is 8-10 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.199.
              His team's record is 11-13 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-14. (-4.8 units)

              DYLAN CEASE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
              No recent starts.

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PITTSBURGH (48 - 69) at LA ANGELS (58 - 61) - 10:07 PM
              MITCH KELLER (R) vs. JOSE SUAREZ (L)
              Top Trends for this game.
              PITTSBURGH is 11-25 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
              PITTSBURGH is 25-44 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 6-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
              LA ANGELS are 60-44 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
              LA ANGELS are 11-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 25-9 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
              PITTSBURGH is 13-8 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

              MITCH KELLER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
              No recent starts.

              JOSE SUAREZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
              No recent starts.

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              TAMPA BAY (69 - 50) at SAN DIEGO (55 - 62) - 10:10 PM
              DIEGO CASTILLO (R) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

              DIEGO CASTILLO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
              No recent starts.

              JOEY LUCCHESI vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
              No recent starts.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #37
                Diamond Trends - Monday
                Vince Akins

                SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

                -- The Red Sox are 11-0 SU on the road off an extra inning game as a favorite.

                SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                -- The league as a whole is 0-18 SU in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify here.

                OU Trend of the Day:

                -- The Yankees are 12-0 OU in the first game of a series with no rest as a home 200+ favorite when their opponents starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.00 on the season.

                Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

                -- The Yankees are 10-0 OU in franchise history with James Paxton when he had more strikeouts than hits allowed in his last start.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #38
                  953 ARIZONA EVEN
                  Diamondbacks are 15-11 since Jun 05, 2019 as a dog
                  Rockies are 4-8 since Jul 02, 2019 as a favorite.
                  Rockies are 4-8 since Jun 16, 2019 as a home favorite.
                  Rockies are 5-11 since Jun 30, 2019 at home.
                  Rockies are 9-26 since Jun 30, 2019.

                  963 HOUSTON -1.5 -180
                  Astros are 27-9 since Jun 28, 2019
                  White Sox are 8-19 since Jun 29, 2019 as a dog.
                  White Sox are 4-13 since Jun 15, 2019 as a home dog.
                  White Sox are 2-10 since Jul 23, 2019 at home.

                  967 TAMPA BAY +120
                  Rays are 12-3 since Jul 24, 2019.
                  Padres are 44-57 since Apr 14, 2019.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #39
                    STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

                    STREAKING

                    Ariel Jurado, Texas Rangers (6-7, 4.74 ERA, -$307)


                    With a slim baseball board, it’s slim pickings for our daily streaking and slumping. However, of all the starters going Monday, Jurado has the most momentum heading into today’s start at Toronto. He’s 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA in his last three starts, bookending a four-inning performance (three runs allowed) by two seven-inning efforts in which he gave up just five combined runs. The righty is also night and day on the road, with a 1.23 WHIP through seven away games (compared to 1.56 WHIP at home).

                    SLUMPING

                    Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh Pirates (0-1, 10.50 ERA, -$362)


                    Keller makes his big-league return after a disastrous trio of starts in June (Does that qualify as "slumping"? It does today). The Bucs prospect was rocked over 12 innings of action and limped back to Triple-A ball, where he’s pitched well this summer with a 3.56 ERA. Pittsburgh isn’t providing much in terms of run support. While the Pirates scored nine runs in a loss to St. Louis Sunday, they’ve put up three or fewer runs in five of eight games in August.



                    3 STRIKES

                    NATIONAL EMERGENCY?


                    The Washington Nationals could sit out slugging outfielder Juan Soto after he rolled his ankle in Sunday’s contest with the Mets. Soto’s injury isn’t serious, listing him as day-to-day, but he’s a vital part of this Nationals lineup, hitting .288 with 24 home runs – second on the team. Soto has a 17-game on-base streak after drawing two walks Sunday before leaving with the injury. Monday’s team total for Washington is set at 4.5 runs (Over -130/Under EVEN).

                    PINSTRIPE POWER

                    The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles double dip today with Game 1 at 1:05 p.m. ET and Game 2 scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. That could mean double the punishment for Baltimore, which has served up 52 home runs in 15 games versus the Bronx Bombers this season. On top of that record-breaking bashing, 11 separate Yankees have recorded multi-homer games against the Orioles, which makes the home run props around today’s games very tempting. Shortstop Gleyber Torres is biggest thorn in Baltimore’s side, with 10 dingers in his 50 at-bats in this season series. He’s at +340 to go Over 0.5 homers in Game 1.

                    LEAGUE OF THEIR OWN

                    The Tampa Bay Rays are holding their own in the American League, currently clinging to a ticket for the Wild Card, and can thank the National League for that success. The Rays have rolled to the best interleague record in the Junior Circuit, taking an 11-4 mark into Monday’s road matchup with the San Diego Padres. Books have Tampa Bay as a slight +120 underdog with reliever Diego Castillo getting the starting nod.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #40
                      Cole Faxon

                      Aug 12 '19, 7:05 PM in 30m
                      MLB | Reds vs Nationals
                      Play on: Reds +102 at 5Dimes

                      FREE PLAY on Reds +102
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #41
                        Jack Jones

                        Aug 12 '19, 7:05 PM in 30m
                        MLB | Reds vs Nationals
                        Play on: Nationals +102 at BMaker

                        Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Washington Nationals +102
                        I like the value we are getting on the Washington Nationals as home underdogs to the Cincinnati Reds today. I believe the Reds are getting too much respect from oddsmakers considering they are just 24-33 on the road this season.
                        Anthony Desclafini is having a decent season overall at 7-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in 22 starts for the Reds. However, he has been much worse on the road than at home, going 2-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.365 WHIP in 12 road starts.
                        Erick Fedde is holding his own for the Nationals this season in some spot starts. He is 2-2 with a 4.38 ERA in 10 starts this season. He fired six scoreless innings in a 4-0 win at San Francisco his last time out on August 5th.
                        The Reds are 0-4 in Desclafini’s last four starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Nationals are 12-3 in their last 15 during Game 1 of a series. Washington is 22-7 in its last 29 vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 4-1 in Fedde’s last five starts on 6 days’ rest. Washington is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Bet the Nationals Monday.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #42
                          Larry Ness

                          Aug 12 '19, 7:05 PM in 30m
                          MLB | Reds vs Nationals
                          Play on: Reds +102 at 5Dimes

                          My free play is on the Cin Reds at 7:05 ET. The Washington Nationals sat 19-31 on the morning of May 24 but a 36-15 run to 55-46 in games played through July 24th brought them within 'shouting distance' of Atlanta in the NL East plus placed them right in "the thick of things" in the NL wild card race. However, the Nats have 'cooled off' lately, going just 7-9 their last 16. The team's beleaguered bullpen finally came through to salvage the finale of a three-game series against the New York Mets on Sunday and the Nats open a six-game homestand 6 1/2 game back of Atlanta in the NL East. The Nationals maintain their razor-thin lead in the crowded wild-card chase owning the top spot with a half-game lead over the Cards, while FIVE more teams lurk. The Reds had won five of six before blowing a three-run lead in Sunday's 6-3 loss to the Chicago Cubs, dropping FIVE games back of the second wild card spot. The Reds play three in Washington to open the week, then return home for four games with the Cards Taking the mound tonight for the opener of this three-game set will be Anthony DeSclafani (7-6, 4.20 ERA) and Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA). DeSclafani has not pitched beyond six innings this year but this marks his 23rd start of 2019 (team is 11-11 in his first 22). DeSclafani owns a 2-0 record with a 2.17 ERA in seven career appearances (four starts) / team is 3-1) versus Washington. Fedde will make his third start on Monday in place of the Max Scherzer, who was placed on the 10-day injured list back on July 29 (retroactive to July 26) with an upper back strain. He rebounded from a dreadful outing against Atlanta on July 30 when he allowed nine ERs over just 3.2 innings of an 11-8 loss, by scattering six hits over six innings without walking a batter in a 4-0 win at San Francisco last Monday. DeSclafani is far from being a star but he's proven to be a solid starter this season, while Fedde is 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in eight appearances (five starts) at Nationals Park this year. What's more, Washington relievers (despite the new additions), continue to struggle (6.02 ERA on the season is worst in the NL and second-worst among all teams). Take the visitor. Good luck...Larry
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #43
                            Brandon Lee

                            Aug 12 '19, 7:07 PM in 32m
                            MLB | TEX vs TOR
                            Play on: UNDER 11 -110

                            10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 11)
                            I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 11 on Monday, as we got two struggling offenses facing off in the Rangers and Blue Jays. Texas is known as a strong offensive team, but to say the Rangers are struggling at the plate would be an understatement. Texas has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of 6. The UNDER is 7-2 in their last 9 games. Toronto has some nice young hitters, but they were shutout in the finale against New York on Sunday and have totaled just 15 hits in their last 3 games combined. So while the pitching matchup isn't great, I think there's a really good shot here these two stay under the mark. Give me the UNDER 11!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #44
                              Mike Williams

                              Aug 12 '19, 7:07 PM in 32m
                              MLB | Rangers vs Blue Jays
                              Play on: Blue Jays +105 at GTBets

                              1* on Blue Jays +105
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #45
                                Hunter Price

                                Aug 12 '19, 7:07 PM in 32m
                                MLB | Rangers vs Blue Jays
                                Play on: Rangers -103 at GTBets

                                1* Free Pick on Rangers -103
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