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Game: Manchester City at West Ham Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:30 AM EDT Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker Play Rating: 5% Play: Manchester City -1.75 (-115)
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England Premier League
(200005) Manchester City at (200006) West Ham
The Premier League returns to action and defending champions Manchester City look to pick-up right where they left off last year. City won the league by one point over Liverpool last season and strengthened their squad this summer, signing Rodri from Atletico Madrid in La Liga for close to $80M. He is a strong defensive midfielder and should make a decent impact for them right out of the gate. Otherwise we are looking at the same team as last year.
Head to Head, City has won nine straight over the Hammers conceding just four total goals, never more than one in any game, and have covered this number in seven of those nine games. The Hammers finished #10 in the table last year and I don’t see much change for them in the standings this year. They made two big offensive signings this summer to try and bolster their attack bringing in forward Sebastien Haller from Frankfurt for about $45M and Pablo Fornals from Villarreal for about $32M. But, they struggle way too much on the backline and because of that are going to fall in the same #8-12 finish again this season. Of course City is not the team you want to face as you try and start the season on a good note from a defensive standpoint. City looked strong in their win over Liverpool in the Community Shield this past weekend which was great for them to face some elite competition to start the year. The EPL is going to be decided between City and Liverpool again this year and I expect them to come out strong here in their first game as they make an early statement for a repeat.
I do also like the Under in this one as City is so strong defensively and were just 5-14 O-U on the road against this number last year, but I prefer City -1.75 as the play. City has the talent to go off and score 4 goals themselves and a 3-0 score line is very likely so that would only be a half-win on the total. If the Hammers do net one in that situation, the Under is dead, but City will still half-cover this number. TAKE MANCHESTER CITY -1.75
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956 Philadelphia at Arizona
Arrieta & Leake
Heading into last night the Diamondbacks were 12-4 the past three seasons in this series. Mike Leake heads to the NL after the trade from Seattle. In his last five starts against the Phillies he owns a 60 average game score. In his last seven starts overall he has an excellent 31 to 3 SO to BB ratio.
Jake Arrieta has an average game score of 43 his last seven starts. And he has done so allowing just four home runs in those games. Plenty of value on the host here. PLAY ARIZONA
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