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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Phillies -105 over Giants
Arrieta/Menez
The Phillies are a streaky offensive team. Last night Philly had just three hits, but the night before the bats were on fire. This is a great baseball team when they can score more than 4 runs. This team struggles against great pitchers and just can’t win low scoring playoff type games. Tonight the Phillies will be facing a young pitcher in Conner Menez who has not proved himself yet in this league. This is the perfect opportunity for the bats to get back on track. At even money, you can’t go wrong with the experience Jake Arrieta . Take the Phillies
Game:(913) Arizona Diamondbacks at (914) Los Angeles Dodgers Date/Time: Aug 11 2019 4:10 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 4% Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
Leake v. Ryu
Ryu is as dominant as they come in these type spots...but the Dodgers are also 10-0 and 9-1 on the RL in such a spot today where they didn't ever trail the game prior within a series and now are closing out a home series! No one likes layin the 1.5 at home as so much can happen...but the "tricks" up the sleeve of Mike Leake are unlikely to fool such a crushing lineup like the boys in blue! Expand this trend out to all teams and they still win this at a 78% clip and almost 60% on the run line!
The Dbacks couldn't deal with Maeda last night and couldn't score a single run for young lefty Alex Young, a weakness of the Dodgers is hitting LHP. Now they face slow throwing Mike Leake with a bunch of home run hitting monsters up and down the batting order.
The Dodgers finish this series off with a bang, but at the same time I find it hard to believe Ryu gives up much more than a run or two and can get through 7 almost definitely....at least into the 7th minimizing the danger of that bullpen.
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 8/11 | 1:10 PM EDT
12:59 AM
My model says that the Royals win this game about two-thirds of the time, so you're getting excellent value with Kansas City at this price. Royals starter Jakob Junis (7-10, 4.88 ERA) has thrown at least six innings in six straight starts while Detroit's Daniel Norris (3-9, 4.76) is 1-5 with a 4.84 ERA in eight starts at Comerica Park this season. Lay it.
139-102 IN LAST 241 MLB ML PICKS | +3210
36-17 IN LAST 53 KC ML PICKS | +2292
31-11 IN LAST 42 DET ML PICKS | +1826
TEXAS +178
TEXAS @ MILWAUKEE | 8/11 | 2:10 PM EDT
12:52 AM
My model rarely says a money line has a value as good as this one. The Rangers have the pitching edge in this matchup, which features Mike Minor (10-6, 3.06 ERA) against Jordan Lyles (7-7, 4.97), and yet they're significant underdogs? Lyles is 1-5 with a 7.84 ERA in eight career starts against the Rangers. Take Texas and run.
139-102 IN LAST 241 MLB ML PICKS | +3210
21-13 IN LAST 34 TEX ML PICKS | +1214
WASHINGTON +171
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. METS | 8/11 | 1:10 PM EDT
12:38 AM
The Mets may be unstoppable right now, having won eight straight. But this line is an overreaction to their winning streak. The Nationals' Anibal Sanchez has a 2.82 ERA in his last 12 starts, and Washington had the first two games of this series in their grasp until New York took them away. My model says the Nats win Sunday's game about 50 percent of the time, so you're getting terrific value with Washington at this price.
139-102 IN LAST 241 MLB ML PICKS | +3210
37-25 IN LAST 62 NYM ML PICKS | +1642
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