Thursday 8-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Thursday 8-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Marc Lawrence

    Aug 15 '19, 7:30 PM in 13h
    NFLX | Jets vs Falcons
    Play on: Jets +2 -105 at 5Dimes

    Play - NY Jets (Game 403).
    Edges - Jets: 21-13-2 ATS Game Tow of the preseason … Falcons: Quinn 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS last twelve preseason games, and Atlanta 0-7 ATS on Thursday in the preseason … We recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Steve Janus

      Aug 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 14h
      MLB | Twins vs Rangers
      Play on: Twins -144 at 1BetVegas

      1* Free Sharp Play on Twins -144
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Weekly Total Talk
        Joe Williams

        Thursday, Aug. 15

        The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds tangle in the Queen City at Great American Ball Park on Thursday evening, kicking off a four-game set between these National League Central Division rivals. The Reds are limping home after having their lunch handed to them in D.C. by the red-hot Washington Nationals. The Nats capped off a three-game sweep with a 17-7 whitewashing on Wednesday which resembled more of a score we'd expect from the upcoming Cincinnati Bengals-Washington Redskins preseason football game this week.

        The Reds were outscored 27-14 in the three-game sete, and the over has been the rule for Cincinnati of late. The over is an impressive 8-2-1 across the past 11 outings, while going 4-1-1 in the past six at GABP. The over is also 4-0 in RHP Sonny Gray's past four outings, and 5-2 in the team's past seven against right-handed starting pitchers, while going an impressive 6-2-1 in their past nine against winning sides

        For the Cardinals, it's been the complete opposite. The under is a perfect 6-0 in their past six away from home, while going 5-0 in the past five on the road vs. RHP and 5-1-1 in the past seven inside the division. The under is also 22-8-1 in their past 31 games overall. With RHP Michael Wacha on the hill, he is good for under results, too. The under is 4-0 across his past four showings, 5-1 in his past six on the road and 4-0 in his past four in Game 1 of a new series. If you're looking for some support for the over, it is 4-1-1 in the past six starts by Wacha against division foes and 6-1-1 in his past eight starts when working on nine or more days of rest.

        Out west, the Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics square off in the Bay Area. Newcomer RHP Aaron Sanchez goes for the Astros, and he'll be opposed by RHP Mike Fiers, who had a no-hitter earlier this season.

        Sanchez will be making his third start since being acquired from the Toronto Blue Jays at the Major League Baseball trade deadline. He has allowed just one earned run, three hits and five walks with 12 strikeouts over 11 innings in his two outings. The under hit in his first appearance for Houston, but the Astros piled up 23 runs in a massacre in Baltimore in his most recent outing. Overall the under is 8-2 in Houston's past 10 inside the AL West, and 10-3 in the past 13 against teams with a winning overall record.

        For the A's, the under is 4-1-1 in the past six overall, 4-1 in the past five at home vs. RHP and 7-2 in the past nine against teams with a winning percentage over .600. As far as Fiers is concerned, the under is 9-2 across his past 11 showings, 5-2 in his past seven at home and 7-2 in his past nine against winning teams. The under is also 5-1 in his past six in Game 1 of a new series. The under has also cashed in five of the past seven meetings in this series, too.

        Wind Report
        Winds will be light and variable at most MLB venues, and not much of a factor as a result. The only venues which might be slightly affected will be Yankee Stadium, for the Indians-Yankees battle, and SunTrust Park for the Mets-Braves contest. In New York, the winds will be blowing in from right field to home plate at 7-10 mph clip, while in Atlanta the winds are blowing out from 6-9 mph to straightaway center field.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          MLB
          Weather Report

          Thursday, August 15


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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            901La Dodgers -902 Miami
            MIAMI is 14-32 SU (-21.2 Units) when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.

            903Chicago Cubs -904 Philadelphia
            PHILADELPHIA is 10-25 SU (-19.8 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

            905St Louis -906 Cincinnati
            CINCINNATI is 61-41 SU (13.3 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

            907Ny Mets -908 Atlanta
            NY METS are 25-37 SU (-17.9 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

            909San Francisco -910 Arizona
            SAN FRANCISCO is 22-7 SU (12.6 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in the current season.

            911Seattle -912 Detroit
            DETROIT is 1-13 SU (-13.9 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start in the current season.

            913Cleveland -914 Ny Yankees
            NY YANKEES are 23-6 SU (24.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

            915Minnesota -916 Texas
            TEXAS are 34-16 SU (16.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

            917Chi White Sox -918 La Angels
            LA ANGELS are 1-10 SU (-10.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

            919Houston -920 Oakland
            HOUSTON is 40-25 SU (14.7 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              MLB

              Thursday, August 15


              National League
              Dodgers (81-41) @ Marlins (44-75)

              Buehler is 1-0, 0.60 in his last two starts; he is 1-0, 2.12 in three starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 14-8
              5-inning record: 14-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-22 Over/under: 13-8-1

              Smith is 0-2, 8.38 in his last two starts; he is 0-1, 12.00 in one start vs LA. Team in his starts: 10-9
              5-inning record: 8-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-19 Over/under: last three over

              Dodgers won nine of last ten games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-5-1 last 17 games.

              Miami lost 10 of last 12 games; over is 7-0 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 11-1-2 last 14 games.

              Cubs (64-56) @ Phillies (62-58)
              Darvish is 1-2, 4.30 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 1.96 in three starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 10-14
              5-inning record: 10-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: under 6-3-2 last 11

              Smyly is 1-1, 4.56 in four Philly starts. Team in his starts: 3-1
              5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-2

              Cubs are 11-26 in last 37 road games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4 last ten games.

              Phillies lost five of their last eight games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-5-1 last 15 games.

              Cardinals (63-55) @ Reds (56-63)
              Wacha is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts; he is 12-1, 2.79 in 21 games (17 starts) vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 7-8
              5-inning record: 9-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-15 Over/under: last four under

              Gray is 4-1, 1.05 in his last eight starts; he is 0-1, 3.60 in one start vs StL. Team in his starts: 14-9
              5-inning record: 12-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: last four over

              Cardinals won their last five games; they’re 9-11 in road series openers- under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-2 last nine games.

              Reds lost their last four games; they’re 8-11 in home series openers- over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 last nine games.

              Mets (61-59) @ Braves (72-50)
              Stroman is 0-0, 6.10 in two starts for NYM; he is 2-0, 0.71 in two starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 2-0
              5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

              Teheran is 2-0, 2.89 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 6.08 in three starts vs NY this year. Team in his starts: 4-6
              5-inning record: 4-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-10 Over/under: 1-7-2

              Mets lost their last three games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1-1 last ten games.

              Braves won six of last eight games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

              Giants (60-61) @ Diamondbacks (61-60)
              Rodriguez is 1-4, 14.14 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 4.11 in six games (2 starts) vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 4-6
              5-inning record: 3-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: 4-5-1

              Young is 4-2, 3.53 in seven starts; Arizona was blanked in both losses. Team in his starts: 4-3
              5-inning record: 4-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7 Over/under: 2-5

              Giants won four of last six games; they’re 12-7 in road series openers- under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-6 last 18 games.

              Diamondbacks won seven of last 11 games; they’re 3-7 in last 10 home series openers- over is 6-3-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

              American League
              Mariners (49-72) @ Tigers (36-81)

              Milone is 0-2, 5.79 in his last three games; they’ll likely use an opener. Team in his starts: 0-0
              5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

              Turnbull is 0-5, 6.30 in his last seven starts. Team in his starts: 5-15
              5-inning record: 5-14-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-20 Over/under: 6-12-2

              Mariners lost nine of last 11 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-2 last nine games.

              Detroit lost nine of last 13 games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-4-4 last 19 games.

              Indians (72-49) @ New York (81-41)
              Plutko is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts. Team in his games: 8-3
              5-inning record: 5-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-11 Over/under: last four under

              Bullpen game. Team in his starts: 0-0
              5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

              Cleveland won nine of last 13 games; they’re 10-8 in road series openers- under is 8-4 in their last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4 last ten games.

              New York won 14 of last 16 games; they’re 17-4 in home series openers- over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-4-1 last 14 games.

              Twins (71-48) @ Rangers (60-60)
              Smeltzer is 1-2, 4.30 in four starts. Team in his games: 2-2
              5-inning record: 0-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 0-4

              Payano is 0-1, 5.68 in three starts. Team in his starts: 1-2
              5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

              Twins lost six of last eight games; they’re 12-7 in road series openers- over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3-1 last ten games.

              Texas lost six of last eight games; they’re 6-13 in home series openers- under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-1 last ten games.

              White Sox (54-65) @ Angels (59-63)
              Lopez is 2-0, 2.60 in his last three starts; he is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: 11-13
              5-inning record: 11-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-24 Over/under: under 3-1 last four

              Heaney is 0-2, 4.74 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 1.45 in three starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 6-4
              5-inning record: 6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10 Over/under: 5-5

              White Sox are 8-5 in their last 13 games; they’re 8-11 in road series openers- under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1-1 last eight games.

              Angels lost 10 of last 13 games; they’re 0-6 in last six series openers- over is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-2 last ten games.

              Astros (78-43) @ A’s (68-52)
              Sanchez is 2-0, 0.82 in two starts for Houston; he is 1-2, 5.12 in six games (4 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 2-0
              5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1

              Fiers is 8-0, 2.20 in his last 12 starts; he is 1-2, 5.29 in six starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: 15-9
              5-inning record: 14-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: 9-14-1

              Astros won nine of last 12 games; they’re 14-6 in road series openers- over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3 last eight games.

              A’s won six of last seven home games; they’re 14-5 in home series openers- under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-2-1 last 15 games.

              %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
              Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/10
              Ariz 18-62……14-55……32
              Atl 20-62…..20-57……40
              Cubs 15-56……22-60…..36
              Reds 19-55……22-60…..41
              Colo 14-61……20-55……34
              LA 16-56……21-63……37
              Mia 8-56……15-60……23
              Milw 20-59…..21-59…..41
              Mets 23-63……19-54…..42
              Philly 15-57…..19-61……34
              Pitt 18-60…..15-56……33
              StL 14-59…..15-56…….29
              SD 17-56……16-57…..33
              SF 8-58……10-58…….18
              Wash 17-60…..16-54……,33

              Orioles 14-55…….19-60..…..33
              Boston 14-58…….20-60……34
              W Sox 14-58…….17-57…….31
              Clev 16-55…..17-61……..33
              Det 18-58……15-55……..33
              Astros 24-58…..13-58……..37
              KC 18-61…..21-58……..39
              Angels 21-61……13-56…….34
              Twins 22-56……15-61……37
              NYY 17-56……20-62……37
              A’s 13-57…..16-59…….29
              Sea 14-56…..16-62…….30
              TB 21-59…..17-57…….38
              Texas 15-59…..21-57…….36
              Toronto 15-62…..17-58…….32

              Interleague play- 2019
              NL @ AL– 68-53 NL, favorites -$830 over 57-55-3
              AL @ NL– 50-50, favorites -$2,080 over 57-44-5
              Total: 118-103 NL, favorites -$2,910 Over 114-99-8
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                MLB

                Thursday, August 15


                Trend Report

                Detroit Tigers
                Detroit is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
                Detroit is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
                Detroit is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
                Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
                Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle
                Seattle Mariners
                Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                Seattle is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
                Seattle is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
                Seattle is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games on the road
                Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
                Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit

                Miami Marlins
                Miami is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
                Miami is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
                Miami is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
                Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games at home
                Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
                Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
                Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
                Los Angeles Dodgers
                LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games
                LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
                LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Miami
                LA Dodgers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games when playing on the road against Miami

                New York Yankees
                NY Yankees is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
                NY Yankees is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
                NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
                NY Yankees is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
                NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
                NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
                Cleveland Indians
                Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
                Cleveland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games
                Cleveland is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
                Cleveland is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
                Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
                Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
                Cleveland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
                Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
                Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

                Philadelphia Phillies
                Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
                Philadelphia is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home
                Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
                Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
                Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
                Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
                Chicago Cubs
                Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Chi Cubs is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
                Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
                Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

                Cincinnati Reds
                Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games
                Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
                Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
                Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                St. Louis Cardinals
                St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games
                St. Louis is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
                St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
                St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
                St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
                St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
                St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

                Atlanta Braves
                Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                Atlanta is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
                Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 19 games at home
                Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
                Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
                Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
                Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
                New York Mets
                NY Mets is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
                NY Mets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                NY Mets is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
                NY Mets is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
                NY Mets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
                NY Mets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
                NY Mets is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                NY Mets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

                Texas Rangers
                Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games
                Texas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
                Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                Texas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                Minnesota Twins
                Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
                The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 23 games
                Minnesota is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Texas
                Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Texas
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas

                Arizona Diamondbacks
                Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
                Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
                Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
                Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
                San Francisco Giants
                San Francisco is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
                San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games
                San Francisco is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
                San Francisco is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
                San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
                San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Arizona
                San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
                San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona

                Los Angeles Angels
                LA Angels is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games
                LA Angels is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
                LA Angels is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
                LA Angels is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
                LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
                LA Angels is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
                LA Angels is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
                Chicago White Sox
                Chi White Sox is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
                Chi White Sox is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Chi White Sox is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
                Chi White Sox is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
                Chi White Sox is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels

                Oakland Athletics
                Oakland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
                Oakland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
                Oakland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
                Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
                Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Houston
                Oakland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
                Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
                Houston Astros
                Houston is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
                Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
                Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
                Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Oakland
                Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  MLB
                  Dunkel

                  Thursday, August 15



                  Seattle @ Detroit

                  Game 911-912
                  August 15, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Seattle
                  (Tuivalala) 14.277
                  Detroit
                  (Turnbull) 11.853
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Seattle
                  by 2 1/2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Seattle
                  -115
                  9 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Seattle
                  (-115); Under

                  LA Dodgers @ Miami


                  Game 901-902
                  August 15, 2019 @ 3:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Dodgers
                  (Buehler) 18.970
                  Miami
                  (Smith) 13.327
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  LA Dodgers
                  by 5 1/2
                  10
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Dodgers
                  -280
                  7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  LA Dodgers
                  (-280); Over

                  Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia


                  Game 903-904
                  August 15, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (Darvish) 16.856
                  Philadelphia
                  (Smyly) 12.231
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  by 4 1/2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  -145
                  9 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (-145); Under

                  Cleveland @ NY Yankees


                  Game 913-914
                  August 15, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Cleveland
                  (Plutko) 14.416
                  NY Yankees
                  (Green) 16.867
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  NY Yankees
                  by 2 1/2
                  9
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  NY Yankees
                  -160
                  11
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  NY Yankees
                  (-160); Under

                  St. Louis @ Cincinnati


                  Game 905-906
                  August 15, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  St. Louis
                  (Wacha) 16.061
                  Cincinnati
                  (Gray) 14.883
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  St. Louis
                  by 1
                  9
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Cincinnati
                  -160
                  9 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  St. Louis
                  (+140); Under

                  NY Mets @ Atlanta


                  Game 907-908
                  August 15, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  NY Mets
                  (Stroman) 17.516
                  Atlanta
                  (Teheran) 14.521
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  NY Mets
                  by 3
                  11
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Atlanta
                  -120
                  10
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  NY Mets
                  (+100); Over

                  Minnesota @ Texas


                  Game 915-916
                  August 15, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Minnesota
                  (Smeltzer) 13.041
                  Texas
                  (Payano) 15.316
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Texas
                  by 2 1/2
                  10
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Minnesota
                  -150
                  11 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Texas
                  (+130); Under

                  San Francisco @ Arizona


                  Game 909-910
                  August 15, 2019 @ 9:40 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  San Francisco
                  (Rodriguez) 15.746
                  Arizona
                  (Young) 13.184
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  San Francisco
                  by 2 1/2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Arizona
                  -135
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  San Francisco
                  (+115); Under

                  Houston @ Oakland


                  Game 919-920
                  August 15, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Houston
                  (Sanchez) 15.853
                  Oakland
                  (Fiers) 17.475
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Oakland
                  by 1 1/2
                  9
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Houston
                  -130
                  10
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Oakland
                  (+110); Under

                  Chicago White Sox @ LA Angels


                  Game 917-918
                  August 15, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Chicago White Sox
                  (Lopez) 16.583
                  LA Angels
                  (Heaney) 12.643
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Chicago White Sox
                  by 4
                  12
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Angels
                  -170
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago White Sox
                  (+150); Over
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                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    NFL Preseason Betting Stats through Week 1

                    Betting Favorites: 9-7 Straight Up, 8-7-1 Against The Spread
                    Home Favorites: 9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS
                    Road Favorites: 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS

                    Over/Under: 9-6-1
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Hot & Not Report - Week 2
                      Matt Blunt

                      The first full week of NFL preseason action has come and gone, and it was a solid one for those of you willing to follow last week's breakdown – at least against the closing line – as the NFC North teams discussed (Detroit, Green Bay, Minnesota) went 2-1 ATS vs the closing number, while fading those teams from LA swept the board (2-0 ATS).

                      Week 2 of the preseason is where we get to see starters on the field for a much longer period of time (typically at least one quarter or more), although some teams have been moving towards using this game as more of a “dress rehearsal” type in recent years too. Make sure to keep your eyes and ears open for any announcements that head coaches make regarding prospective playing time this week as typically when that news comes out it ends up being a rush to the window for bettors to grab what they believe to be the best numbers currently out there. As of now, the bulk of the games this week have point spreads below the -4 threshold, but don't expect that to hold as the week goes on.

                      So in a similar style to last week's piece, this week deals with preseason Week 2 trends for a few teams across the league, and if you are a football fan, young or old, of those teams with connections to the great state of Texas, it's with those organizations that you may want to start with this week.

                      Who's Hot

                      “Youngest” team in Texas brings home the Week 2 cash

                      Houston Texans 6-1 ATS last seven years in Week 2 of the Preseason


                      When I say “youngest”, I'm not referring to the average age of the players in a Houston uniform, but the time they've existed in pro football. The Houston Texans turn 20 years old this year since being awarded their expansion franchise back in 1999, but they didn't hit the football field until 2002 when they forced the league into realignment. And while there have been some extreme highs and lows for this organization during those 17 years on the football field, they've found much more consistency this decade.

                      Starting with the 2011 campaign, Houston has won the AFC South division crown five different times, finished 2nd once, and bottomed out with a last-place finish twice. It's not like you can paint a picture of Week 2 success in the preseason as a calling card to many of those successful years, but they are one of the best in the NFL right now at covering the spread during this week of action. They've won this game outright in three straight years, and given the fight we saw from them late last week in Green Bay – covering earlier, non-closing numbers of +2.5 vs the Packers – we could possibly see a complete effort from every group on the depth chart this week.

                      Oddsmakers are aware of this trend as well apparently, as they are one of the select few teams currently lined at -4.5 this week, as they host a Detroit Lions team that looked as disinterested as a team could be in Week 1. Lions HC Matt Patricia does come from that New England Patriots way of life and preseason has never been a priority for that franchise, and when you pair that result with Houston being a great Week 2 team, if you are going to back the Texans this week, it's best to do it sooner rather then later.

                      Who's Not

                      “Older” teams with ties to the state of Texas

                      Dallas Cowboys 1-8 ATS last nine years in Week 2, Kansas City Chiefs 2-14 ATS last 16 years in Week 2


                      Speaking of “Texans”, the Kansas City Chiefs started out as the Dallas Texans way back in the start of the AFL, and played their three years before owner Lamar Hunt moved them on to Kansas City. Since then they've long since established a connection to the city of Kansas City, and with how much this team has won, but ultimately come up short in the modern era, there is never a shortage of high hopes for the Chiefs each year. That's especially true this year with them arguably being a literal coin flip away from a Super Bowl appearance last season, and there are plenty of lofty expectations thrust upon them in 2019 because of that result.

                      But the team that originated in Dallas is not one I'd be looking to back this week, as a 2-14 ATS run in these Week 2 games is nothing but fade material.

                      Kansas City looked great from top to bottom in their Week 1 dismantling of Cincinnati, as the Chiefs scored a TD in every quarter en route to the 38-17 win. Four different QB's saw action with starter Patrick Mahomes going a perfect 4-for-4 throwing (66 yards) before getting pulled, and while he will see more action against Pittsburgh this week, the team is likely to still be very cautious with him in numerous ways (how long he stays out and their play-calling).

                      At the same time, I don't believe we see Chase Litton go 11-for-15 for 122 yards and 2 TD's again, while Kyle Shurmur's 6-for-15 is probably right in line with what to expect from a better Pittsburgh defense. Considering this 2-14 ATS run does include two straight wins in Week 2 the past two seasons, there is a case to be made that it's a new era in Chiefs-land during this week, but I'd much prefer to back the larger sample size here and go against them, especially at the current 'pick'em' price.

                      In the Dallas Cowboys case, they have got nothing but support early this week, as an opening line of +3 as visitors against the Rams, quickly turned to a 'pick'em' before continuing to see even more action and now currently sitting at the Cowboys laying -2.5 points. That's such a huge swing regardless of history and has to be taken with some respect, however, at the same time, history suggests that the Cowboys never do all that well during Week 2, and now you are getting a great price to fade them in this spot.

                      Granted, that would mean backing a LA Rams team that showed last week they've got little interest in being competitive in the preseason, as they understand it's all about staying healthy and depth evaluation right now. They aren't going to be a team many will run to the window to back, but it's highly plausible that we see Dallas end up winning this game by two or less points, allowing all that early Dallas money to cash, while the steam chasers on Dallas at -2.5 (or more) end up getting left in the dark.

                      That Cowboys are also 1-7 SU the past eight years during Week 2 of the preseason, and have lost those seven games by an average of 8.7 points. With where the current price is now, a loss of any nature would be detrimental to the bankrolls of Cowboys backers yet to confirm their wager, and for as disinterested as the Rams looked last week, if this line gets to +3 on LA, you've probably got to side with history and look to fade the Cowboys once again.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        Thursday's Preseason Essentials
                        Tony Mejia

                        Note: Quarterback rotation subject to change.

                        Eagles at Jaguars (-3, 35) - 7:00 PM EST

                        Phildadelphia
                        Head Coach: Doug Pederson (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS in season)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Cody Kessler, Clayton Thorson (R)

                        Anyone looking to watch Nick Foles try to match Carson Wentz for even a series is going to be awfully disappointed. After neither played in Week 1, both projected starters are expected to watch from the sidelines in Jacksonville too. Nate Sudfeld got his wrist broken after a late hit against Tennessee last week, so Kessler and Thorson will be at the controls here. Pedersen is 2-1 in Week 2 of the preseason and defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz will likely want to see more from a unit that got lit up by the Titans.

                        Jacksonville
                        Head Coach: Doug Marrone (8-9 SU, 7-8-2 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Gardner Minshew, Tanner Lee, Alex McGough

                        Minshew saw the bulk of the work as the Jags were shut out by the Ravens, so the expectation is he'll play at least the first half on Thursday. Marrone has already given Jags' fans the heads up that they won't see any starters in this second contest, but the hope is that the backups will be much better than they were up in Baltimore. First-round pick Josh Allen will look to be a disruptive force up front. Marrone has split his four Week 2 preseason games and has seen 11 of his 18 go 'under.'

                        Jets (-1 ½, 44 ½) at Falcons - 7:30 PM EST

                        N.Y. Jets
                        Head Coach: Adam Gase (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Sam Darnold, Trevor Siemian, Davis Webb, Luke Falk

                        New defensive coordinator Gregg Williams blitzes in exhibitions and wasn't at all thrilled that he couldn't get home and his defensive backs got carved up by the Giants last week. This will be a huge opportunity for guys looking to impress on that side of the ball. Sam Darnold's entire projected started interior line won't play, so it remains to be seen whether he plays more than a series. New kicker Tyler Bertolet will look to solidify his hold on the gig after Chandler Catanzaro retired. The 'over' is 9-3-1 in Gase's 13 preseason contests as head coach of the Dolphins and Jets. He was 0-3 in Week 2 contests with Miami.

                        Washington jumped out to a solid 6-3 start before quarterback Alex Smith's gruesome leg injury in a home loss to Houston. The Redskins spun out of control and lost six of their final seven games to finish below .500. The quarterback of the future for Washington is former Ohio State standout Dwayne Haskins, as the Redskins look to finish above third place in the NFC East for the first time since winning the division in 2015. Washington has lost three consecutive preseason openers, while losing four of the past six road exhibition contests.

                        Atlanta
                        Head Coach: Dan Quinn (5-13 SU, 4-14 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Matt Simms

                        The Falcons dropped the Hall of Fame Game in addition to last week's high-scoring contest in Miami, so this is Quinn's third look at his team in a game setting. A few offensive linemen are missing too, but Matt Ryan will debut and is likely going to play into the second quarter. Simms, who was signed when Kurt Benkert went on IR, should mop up ahead of WR/QB Daniel Etling, who was just claimed after being waived by New England. Quinn is 0-4 in the third preseason game and carries a 10-game preseason losing streak into this game, last winning on Sept. 1, 2016. The under is 6-11-1 in his preseason games.

                        Bengals at Redskins (-3, 41) - 7:30 PM EST

                        Cincinnati
                        Head Coach: Zac Taylor (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Andy Dalton, Jeff Driskel, Ryan Finley (R), Jake Dolegala (R)

                        The Chiefs routed the Bengals last week to spoil Taylor's debut, but the head coach did see a few bright spots, which included Finley showing out and climbing into the primary backup role ahead of Driskel, who has started getting reps at receiver. Dalton led a drive for a TD against the Chiefs and should be in for a longer stint with backs Joe Mixon, Giovani Bernard and Trayveon Williams all expected to play through ailments. New defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo saw the first-team defense get overwhelmed by Kansas City, which ended up scoring 38 points in making the entire unit look porous. It will be interesting if communication improves as they look to handle a second straight road game.

                        Washington
                        Head Coach: Jay Gruden (12-9 SU, 11-10 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Case Keenum, Dwayne Haskins (Rookie), Jalan McClendon

                        The 'Skins still don't have Colt McCoy (leg soreness) available and lost Josh Woodrum to a torn pectoral muscle, so with McClendon signing this week, it's expected that Keenum and Haskins will get all the snaps as they try and impress in order to secure a starting that spot that looks up for grabs. Haskins, the No. 15 pick, sabotaged an effective debut with costly turnovers, so he'll be among Thursday's most scrutinized subjects. New OC Kevin O'Connell is considered a lock to be a future head coach and is calling plays while working with Haskins, so he should take some shots against the Bengals despite holes along the offensive line. Gruden has won four of five Week 2 games and is 7-3 SU at home in the preseason.

                        Packers at Ravens (-4, 37) - 7:30 PM EST

                        Green Bay
                        Head Coach: Matt LeFleur (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Aaron Rodgers, DeShone Kizer, Tim Boyle, Manny Wilkins (R)

                        Rodgers is expected to play about a quarter, debuting for the first time with LeFleur calling the plays into the future Hall of Famer. We'll see how their relationship evolves, but Rodgers is likely to have most of the offense around him with RB Aaron Jones expected to play after dealing with a hamstring issue. Kizer and Boyle threw for 142 yards and three TDs, showing off great chemistry with the team's younger receivers. A new-look defense lost projected top linebacker Oren Burks and will be looking to improve after giving up 26 points in holding off Houston.

                        Baltimore
                        Head Coach: John Harbaugh (34-12 SU, 31-14-1 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Lamar Jackson, Trace McSorley (R), Joe Callahan

                        Jackson played more than he was expected to last week and didn't tuck it and run, so it's clear that the Ravens want him to work on his passing from the pocket. He completed 19-of-25 in Tuesday's practice and will be looking to build on that in probably working another three series before giving way to McSorley and Callahan, a former Packer. Robert Griffin III is out for the entire preseason with a hairline fracture in his thumb. The Ravens have won 14 consectuive preseason games, last losing on Sept. 3, 2015. They blanked the Jags 29-0 last week. Harbaugh has gone 8-3 in Week 2 and has dropped just one preseason home game since mid-August of '13.

                        Raiders at Cardinals (-3, 40 ½) - 8 PM EST, ESPN

                        Oakland
                        Head Coach: Jon Gruden (34-17 SU, 19-12-3 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Derek Carr, Mike Glennon, Nathan Peterman
                        Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Paul Gutierrez

                        The Raiders dominated a Rams squad that ran a vanilla offense last week and managed just a field goal, so their defense will get their first true test here. Carr will play for the first time despite Antonio Brown remaining on the sidelines, so we'll get to see what chemistry has developed with the team's other receivers. Offseason Tyrell Williams and a pair of rookies HBO's Hard Knocks' has focused on, Clemson's Hunter Renfrow and UC Davis' Keelan Doss, will get long looks. Rookie RB Josh Jacobs will also get touches to try and balance out a passing attack that looked uneven at best in the opener. Gruden has an incredible record in Week 1 of the preseason but has really struggled in his second games.

                        Arizona
                        Head Coach: Kliff Kingsbury (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS in preseason)
                        Quarterback Rotation: Kyler Murray (R), Brett Hundley, Chad Kanoff, Drew Anderson (R)
                        Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Bob McManaman

                        The Cardinals saw Murray put together an impressive debut and ran a mostly vanilla offense despite Kingsbury's stated desire to push tempo and unveil some innovations. The expectation is that Arizona won't show off many bells and whistles this early in the preseason, but they will want to see the training wheels come off some for top QBs Murray and Hundley. There's also a lot of competition at receiver that must shake out, so the battle for No. 3 between Kanoff and Anderson, a rookie from Murray State, should lead to the ball being in the air often.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          Betting Recap - Week 9
                          Joe Williams

                          League Betting Notes

                          This Week


                          -- Favorites went 4-0 SU in Week 9
                          -- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
                          -- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 9
                          -- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 9
                          -- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 9

                          Year To Date

                          -- Favorites are 24-11 SU overall
                          -- Underdogs are 20-15 ATS overall
                          -- Home teams are 23-12 SU overall
                          -- Home teams are 18-17 ATS overall
                          -- The 'Under' is 20-15 overall

                          Analysis

                          Calgary (5-3)
                          suffered another setback in Week 9, dropping a 26-24 decision on the road against Winnipeg (6-2), although they were able to cover at 7 1/2-point underdogs. The Stamps have now covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season, going 2-0 ATS after a 1-5 ATS start. The 'over' result in Week 9 was a rarity, too, snapping a five-game under streak.

                          As far as the Blue Bombers are concerned, they were able to snap a two-game mini losing streak, including a loss to lowly Toronto (1-6) last time out. Despite the win, the Bombers are now 0-3 ATS across the past three games after a 5-0 ATS start. The 'over' connected for the second straight week, the first time that's happened for Winnipeg this season.

                          Friday night was a weird game in Montreal (3-4). Near the end of the third quarter the game between the home side Alouettes and Saskatchewan (5-3) was stopped due to lightning and heavy rain at McGill. The CFL has a rule that states if the game is more than halfway over and there is a weather delay longer than one hour, the game will be canceled. It's the first time in history that the rule has been put to the test, but the Roughriders were awarded the 17-10 victory after the hour, much to the dismay of CFL fans everywhere, at least those not wearing green. Speaking of green, none was exchanged on this game officially, as all wagers were graded 'no action'.

                          Ottawa (3-5) and Edmonton (5-3) were able to go the distance in a low-scoring battle at Commonwealth Stadium. The Eskimos have alternated wins and losses in each of their past seven outings, and they're just 1-3 ATS over the past four. Edmonton is a favorite of bettors at the window, however, as far as the total is concerned. The under has cashed in six straight outings after two consecutive overs to start the season.

                          For the RedBlacks, they have lost five of the past six games overall, but they have covered a season-high three in a row after kicking off the season 1-4 ATS. The under is 3-1 over their past four outings, too.

                          The BCLions (1-7) nearly pulled off the huge road upset in the CFL Hall of Fame Game at Tim Horton's in Hamilton. The Lions led throughout the game, nearly winning straight-up as 9 1/2-point underdogs (+320 ML). However, Hamilton (6-2) was able to rally for the 35-34 squeaker. The Tiger-Cats are 0-2 ATS over the past two after opening 5-1 ATS in the first six.

                          The Lions will get another crack at the Tabbies on Aug. 24 in Vancouver. The cover was the first for the Lions since June 29 in Calgary, snapping an 0-4 ATS skid. The 'over' is 3-0 in the past three for the Lions, and 6-2 in the past eight overall. BC has allowed 33 or more points in seven of their eight games this season.

                          Team Betting Notes

                          -- BC and Winnipeg battle on Thursday night, as the Lions try to finish off a huge upset this week. However, they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record while going 2-9 ATS in the past 11 overall.

                          -- The Bombers have covered 11 of the past 16 overall despite their Week 9 non-cover, and they're 6-1 ATS in the past seven at home. In this series, Winnipeg is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six at home vs. BC, while going 9-2-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings overall in this series. The over is also 8-2 in the past 10 meetings between the Lions and Bombers, including 5-2 in the past seven battles in Winnipeg.

                          -- Edmonton travels to Toronto looking to snap their alternating win-loss pattern. The Esks are just 1-6 ATS in the past seven games on the road, while going 1-4 ATS in their past five in the month of August.

                          -- Toronto is coming off a bye, and they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven following the off week. They're just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games overall, however, and 1-5 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning overall mark. They're also 0-6 ATS in the past six following a cover in their previous outing. In this series, Toronto is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, while the over is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings and 5-2 in the past seven in Toronto.

                          -- Hamilton and Ottawa lock horns in the nation's capital. The Ti-Cats are 1-4 ATS in the past five games on the road, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven against East Division teams. They're also 0-3-1 ATS in the past four in the month of August.

                          -- For the RedBlacks, they're 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a winning record, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six against East teams. Ottawa has also covered four straight meetings with Hamilton, while the over has cashed in seven of the past eight meetings in Canada's capital city.

                          -- The Alouettes look to rebound after a difficult loss against the Roughriders last week in that weather-shortened game. They face a tough trip to Calgary. Montreal is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 road games, while connecting in eight of their past 10 against winning teams.

                          -- The Stamps are 1-4 ATS in the past five against losing teams, and 1-5 ATS in the past six following a straight-up loss. However, they're 24-7-1 ATS in the past 32 games in the month of August. The under has been the way for both teams lately, going 10-4 in Montreal's past 14 road games, and 5-1 in the past six overall for Calgary. In this series, the under is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings, including 4-1 in the past five in Calgary. Montreal has covered eight of the past nine meetings with Calgary, too.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
                            David Schwab

                            Week 9 Betting Recap

                            Last week’s action in the CFL got underway on Thursday night with Winnipeg slipping past Calgary 26-24 as a 7 ½-point home favorite to remain at the top of the standings in the West Division title race.

                            Friday’s doubleheader of betting action started with Saskatchewan going on the road as a three-point favorite and knocking off Montreal 17-10. Later that night, Edmonton kept pace in the West by beating Ottawa 16-12, but the Eskimos could not cover the closing 9 ½-point spread. Hamilton closed out Week 9 on Saturday night with a 35-34 victory at home against British Columbia. The Tiger-Cats also failed to cover as 9 ½-point favorites.

                            Thursday, Aug. 15

                            British Columbia Lions (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
                            Point-spread: Winnipeg -12
                            Total: 51


                            Game Overview

                            BC covered against the spread for the first time in five games in Saturday’s loss and the total has gone OVER in six of the Lions’ first eight games. Mike Reilly completed 21 of his 28 passes against Hamilton for 306 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw a pair of interceptions. He is currently ranked second in the CFL in passing yards (1,974) and he has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. John White ran the ball 15 times for 124 yards in the losing effort.

                            The Bombers have failed to cover in their last three games closing as favorites in each contest. The total went OVER 49 ½ points in Thursday’s win and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Winnipeg is 3-1 ATS at home this season. Janarion Grant had a big game against Calgary with two punt returns for touchdowns. He amassed over 300 yards in returns to help pace that crucial win. Matt Nichols threw for 177 yards and Andrew Harris added another 100 yards on the ground averaging 5.3 yards a carry.

                            Betting Trends

                            -- Winnipeg is 4-1 both straight-up ATS in its last five home games against the Lions. It is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall with the total going OVER in eight of the last 10 matchups in this West Division clash.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              CFL
                              Dunkel

                              Week 10


                              Thursday, August 15

                              BC Lions @ Winnipeg

                              Game 689-690
                              August 15, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              BC Lions
                              100.363
                              Winnipeg
                              117.384
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Winnipeg
                              by 17
                              55
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Winnipeg
                              by 11 1/2
                              51
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Winnipeg
                              (-11 1/2); Over
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