Saturday 8-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 09:20 AM

CFL

Week 10

Trend Report

Saturday, August 17

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 8 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing at home against Hamilton

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Montreal is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 14 games on the road
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
Calgary is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:03 AM

Diamond Trends - Saturday
Vince Akins

PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mets are 21-0 SU as a road favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left more than 16 men on base.

PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Tigers are as a road dog 0-13 SU in the second game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last two games.

TOTAL TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockies are 11-0 OU as a 140+ favorite when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season and it is not a series opener..

PITCHER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Blue Jays are 0-7 SU with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start.

MONSTER TRENDS:

-- The Marlins are 5-0 SU as a road 170+ dog in the second game of a series when they were shut out in the first six innings of the series opener.

-- The Cubs are 8-0 SU with Jon Lester as a road favorite when their bullpen gave up runs in each of their last two games. Chicago won every game by multiple runs, and the average final score has been 7.75 runs to 1.75 runs.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:04 AM

Chase Diamond

Chase’s 8* MLB Easy Early Cash

Cleveland vs. New York, 08/17/2019 13:05 EDT

Money Line: -155 New York

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

This game features the 73-50 Indians and the 82-42 Yankees. 1st game of this series was a wake up call for the Yankees. James Paxton is a consistent 6 inning guy and after that the Yankees bullpen takes over reasonable juice here for the far superior team. 8* Winner on the Yankees.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:05 AM

Tony Brown

Tony’s *5 Star MLB Free Pick

Los Angeles vs. Atlanta, 08/17/2019 19:20 EDT

Point Spread: -1½/-105 Los Angeles

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: dodgers are a perfect 6-0 both straight up and on the run line last 6 contest including game 1 of this series. If it ain't broke dont fix it making la run line my mlb free pick .

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:05 AM

Brandon Lee

Aug 17 '19, 1:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Cubs -141 at betonline

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -141)
I'll take my chances here with Chicago finding a way to get a win on Saturday and put an end to their 4-game losing streak. Cubs got dealt another massive punch to the gut on Friday. For the second time in as many nights, Chicago couldn't protect a lead in the 9th. While not as painful as Thursday's defeat at Philadelphia, last night's definitely stung. Given the road woes and the struggles of today's starter Jon Lester, some might be looking to fade the Cubs in this spot. I just think Lester is going to step up after looking a lot better in his last start at Cincinnati. I also think the Cubs offense shows up against Pittsburgh's Steven Brault, who has a 5.79 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in 3 career starts against Chicago. Cubs are 18-4 in Lester's last 22 start vs a team with a losing record. Give me Chicago -141!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:05 AM

Jimmy Boyd

Aug 17 '19, 4:00 PM in 4h
NFLX | Browns vs Colts
Play on: Browns +3 -110 at Mirage

1* Free NFLX Pick on Cleveland Browns +3 -110
I just think there's too much value with the Browns catching a field goal against the Colts. Not sure why Indy is getting so much love this preseason. They were a 1.5-point road favorite last week in Buffalo. A game they ended up only losing by a final of 24-16, but the Bills led 17-3 in going into the 4th quarter.
With Andrew Luck out, the Colts us a QB rotation of Jacoby Brissett, Phillip Walker and Chad Kelly. Brissett was a mere 2-5 for 21 yards in 3 series last week. People focus a lot on Cleveland's offense, but they should have a pretty good stop unit and they held Washington to just 10 points and 271 yards (forced 4 turnovers) in Week 1 action.
These two teams have been running joint practices and Colts head coach Frank Reich has voiced his concern with how Indy's offensive line has struggled to block the Browns defensive front. Cleveland put 30 points and more than 400 yards on the board in their first preseason game. I just don't see the Colts being able to score enough to win. Take Cleveland!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:06 AM

Kenny Walker

Aug 17 '19, 7:20 PM in 8h
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -143 at 1BetVegas

Free Pick on Dodgers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:06 AM

Mike Williams

Aug 17 '19, 7:20 PM in 8h
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -143 at 1BetVegas

1* on Dodgers -143

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arizona Downs

Arizona Downs - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta
Claiming $3,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BE THOUGHTFUL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BE THOUGHTFUL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	BE THOUGHTFUL	9/5	3/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	BE THOUGHTFUL	2	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	82	75	72.2	73.0	68.0
1	MIGHTY LION	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	68	51.4	65.0	57.5
8	INDY'S OUTLAW	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	75	68	34.0	65.8	58.3
7	TESORO BORINCANO	7	15/1	Trailer	60	59	39.6	53.8	38.3
3	PAR T ROCKET	3	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	66	63.5	60.0	49.0
4	DIMERA	4	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	61	49.6	55.8	46.3
6	JEN LORS LEGACY	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	63	47.4	59.2	50.7
5	RANDY'S BOY	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	66	40.2	60.2	48.2
9	SENJA	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	64	12.6	51.6	40.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Marquis Downs

Marquis Downs - Race 3	Exactor / Quinella / Triactor
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $4,200 • Post: 7:25P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JULY 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $2,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HARBOR GOLD: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOTALING HEART: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THANKSFORASKING: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WYNN DIRECTION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	HARBOR GOLD	5/1	5/1
6	HOTALING HEART	7/1	6/1
4	THANKSFORASKING	4/1	6/1
3	WYNN DIRECTION	6/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	HOTALING HEART	6	7/1	Front-runner	66	50	82.2	50.8	43.3
1	HARBOR GOLD	1	5/1	Front-runner	70	59	61.8	51.2	44.7
4	THANKSFORASKING	4	4/1	Stalker	65	57	68.0	50.6	44.6
3	WYNN DIRECTION	3	6/1	Stalker	62	59	66.4	52.4	46.9
5	EVENING LIGHT	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	54	73.5	47.8	40.8
2	SWEET AND SPICY	2	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	67	47	54.2	45.2	36.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:08 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 60

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 BLUEWATER CAT 5/2
# 3 HERE COMES HOMER 9/5
# 4 D J'S FINALE 5/1

I give the nod to BLUEWATER CAT here. He has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figs. Clark ought to be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this competition. Ran a very strong last race. HERE COMES HOMER - Is a definite contender - given the 61 speed rating from his most recent race. He has put up respectable figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of animals. D J'S FINALE - This colt has some longshot handicapping angles I like to play. Extra focus caused by blinkers change (going off today) likely to result in a big race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:09 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#6 GO VENEZUELA GO (ML=5/1)
#4 JACOBELLA (ML=4/1)
#8 A LITTLE INFO (ML=10/1)
#1 DRIVER'S LICENSE (ML=10/1)

GO VENEZUELA GO - This filly is in good condition. Finished fifth on July 25th. The entrant with the top average Equibase class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This campaigner fits the bill. Last ran at Delaware Park and finished fifth. Reviewing her past performance data, I see she was close at the end, within five of the winner. Look for this filly to run much better today. Last event at Delaware Park finishing fifth on the soft turf is no sign of her true talent. JACOBELLA - A pony coming back this soon after a solid race is a good sign. This filly has the top turf fig in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here entrant has a good chance. Had a powerful closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar performance today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. A LITTLE INFO - Finished off the board last out at Laurel, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 10/1 makes me think she's got a chance. I like to bet on this angle, a racer coming back off a good effort within the last month. Recent speed figures show solid pattern of improvement. DRIVER'S LICENSE - Aro brings her right back. I advise you stick with this strong filly. Handicapping information show this horse with three improving speed ratings. Nunez should be on a live one right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FIERY FLOWER (ML=3/1), #5 WILLED (ML=8/1), #10 PRIDE LEADER (ML=8/1),

FIERY FLOWER - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. This animal doesn't win here at Delaware Park. She needs a better track to show her best. WILLED - Doesn't look to be in a cozy circumstance today. PRIDE LEADER - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as regularly as this horse does.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #6 GO VENEZUELA GO to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:09 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES WILL BE RUN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 SOME SAY SO 5/2
# 7 FIRST HUNTER 2/1
# 8 NORTH OF EDEN 4/1

My selection in this contest is SOME SAY SO. Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in turf sprint races lately. Sharp has her trained very well to break sharply out of the gate. Recorded a formidable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. FIRST HUNTER - Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 89. Her earnings per start in turf sprint races alone makes you take a look at her. NORTH OF EDEN - This mare looks good for this event since Berndt has a very strong win percent with horses going this distance. Has to be used in the exotic bets.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:09 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:05pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,300 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#1 K K'S BUCKEYE (ML=4/1)
#7 PRETTY PENNY PADDY (ML=7/2)

K K'S BUCKEYE - This filly's last race was back on May 11th but I do believe she can run a good one coming off a vacation. Don't throw this animal out due to her last event at Belterra Park where she finished sixth on a track listed as good. Expect better today. Dropping down in class rating points from her May 11th race at Belterra Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. PRETTY PENNY PADDY - You always have to be on the lookout for revenue generating jockey/handler combinations; we have it right here. This animal is not the M/L favorite, yet she finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RADIANT BLING (ML=5/2), #4 I'AM A HOT MESS (ML=9/2), #5 CONJURING (ML=6/1),

RADIANT BLING - This morning-line choice hasn't been to the track in awhile. No morning drills since last race. I'AM A HOT MESS - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. This mare garnered a speed figure in her last clash which likely isn't good enough in today's race. CONJURING - I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the job completed now and then.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - K K'S BUCKEYE - This filly is going to be tough against these ponies in today's race. She loves to win at Belterra Park.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 K K'S BUCKEYE on the nose if you can get odds of 6/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2019, 11:10 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/17/19, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
1 3/8M [Inner Turf] 2.11.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $95,000.
Claiming Price $62,500 (1. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	3	Stella d'Oro	8-1	Rosario J	Sisterson Jack	FC
099.6501	2	Devamani (FR)	9/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Clement Christophe	JT
099.1747	4	Cape Angel	7/2	Saez L	Sharp Joe	E
097.8600	6	Nakamura	6-1	Ortiz J L	Motion H. Graham
097.2904	8	Midnight Tea Time	8-1	Castellano J	Sharp Joe
096.8103	1A	Krewe Chief	15-1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.	S
096.5265	1	Westerland (GB)	15-1	Gaffalione T	McLaughlin Kiaran P.	W
095.9071	7	Bird's Eye View	4-1	Lezcano J	Dini Michael	L
095.4852	5	Local Hero	15-1	Carmouche K	Cannizzo David A.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

3	65.70	1.48	42.03	29	69	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
2	38.00	1.17	29.36	32	109	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)
4	68.10	1.54	47.62	30	63	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Earnings
6	37.90	1.16	31.62	37	117	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
8	40.30	1.17	33.05	39	118	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today
1A	63.90	1.50	50.00	32	64	[All Turf] Best Speed
1	38.00	1.17	29.36	32	109	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)
7	38.00	1.17	29.36	32	109	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)
5	38.00	1.17	29.36	32	109	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	2	Devamani (FR)	9/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Clement Christophe	JTFE
097.2288	4	Cape Angel	7/2	Saez L	Sharp Joe
097.0063	3	Stella d'Oro	8-1	Rosario J	Sisterson Jack	C
096.0566	1A	Krewe Chief	15-1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.
095.8580	1	Westerland (GB)	15-1	Gaffalione T	McLaughlin Kiaran P.	W
095.7202	6	Nakamura	6-1	Ortiz J L	Motion H. Graham
095.7171	7	Bird's Eye View	4-1	Lezcano J	Dini Michael	L
095.6359	8	Midnight Tea Time	8-1	Castellano J	Sharp Joe
095.3505	5	Local Hero	15-1	Carmouche K	Cannizzo David A.	S

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

2	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
4	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
3	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
1A	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
1	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
6	18.50	1.18	32.69	17	52	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
7	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
8	8.30	1.03	33.83	45	133	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K
5	18.50	1.18	32.69	17	52	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today

Saturday 8-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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