Monday 8-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #31
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park



    Delaware Park - Race 4
    Daily Double (Races 4-5) / Exacta / Trifecta (50-cent min.) Superfecta (10-cent min.) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6, 50-cent min.).
    Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 93 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 2:45P
    (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ARK IN THE DARK is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ARK IN THE DARK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JOVIS: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    3
    ARK IN THE DARK
    6/1
    3/1
    4
    JOVIS
    9/5
    9/2

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    SHACKLED ROMANCE
    1
    5/2
    Front-runner
    87
    85
    79.2
    70.0
    60.5
    5
    MY BEAU
    5
    7/2
    Front-runner
    81
    85
    77.8
    81.2
    75.7
    2
    GOLDEN EXCHANGE
    2
    8/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    88
    90
    77.6
    81.2
    72.7
    3
    ARK IN THE DARK
    3
    6/1
    Stalker
    97
    92
    81.0
    92.0
    88.5
    4
    JOVIS
    4
    9/5
    Stalker
    94
    91
    80.4
    86.0
    81.0
    6
    STAR FITZSTALL
    6
    8/1
    Trailer
    86
    53
    58.1
    76.3
    66.3
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #32
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,800 Class Rating: 61

      Rating:

      #2 YENOM NEVE (ML=4/1)
      #7 BEAUTIFUL B (ML=5/2)
      #4 GLITZY GALA (ML=8/1)


      YENOM NEVE - This mare is entered to race right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. The thoroughbred with the top average class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill. Trainer, Bish, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. BEAUTIFUL B - Last time she ran at this distance she garnered a rating good enough to win today's event. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this animal has the highest speed fig for the dist/surf. Recent speed figures show solid pattern of improvement. GLITZY GALA - This filly is in nice physical condition, having run a nice race on July 23rd, finishing third. This animal isn't the morning line choice, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in her last race (Jul 23rd at Mountaineer Park).

      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MY HAT (ML=3/1), #1 ABUNDANT STORY (ML=8/1),

      MY HAT - This equine doesn't have a champion's character. Often finishes in the place or show spot. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list. ABUNDANT STORY - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of efforts.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 YENOM NEVE to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,4,7] with [2,4,7] with [2,4,5,6,7] with [2,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #33
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 67

        FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 2 CHARMING BULLET 9/2
        # 6 TRACK BINDER 10/1
        # 1 FATHER BRYAN 5/2
        I think CHARMING BULLET is a decent choice. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in turf route events in this field. Earned a very good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the recent company kept. FATHER BRYAN - Has solid front-end speed and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group. Must be considered - I like the figures from the last race.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #34
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:20pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 77

          Rating:

          #6 MIKADO (ML=8/1)
          #7 DEEP THINKER (IRE) (ML=7/2)
          #12 WHISPER BARROW (ML=8/1)
          #9 ROARING LAUNCH (ML=4/1)


          MIKADO - The race may set up nicely for this thoroughbred's late kick and he's probably the best closer in the field. Trainer Allen moves this animal down in class ranks to face weaker company. Look for a solid performance given this drop. DEEP THINKER (IRE) - This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Gallardo rode last time around the track and now should be acquainted with this one. Ran last out against tougher competition at Presque Isle Downs. The move down in the class scale should suit him well. I really like that recent effort on Aug 6th at Presque Isle Downs where he ended up third. A repeat of that latest race on August 6th where he registered a speed figure of 78 looks lofty enough to prove victorious in this affair. WHISPER BARROW - This gelding is in fine condition. Ended up first on Aug 5th. Trainer, Rice, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. ROARING LAUNCH - When Morales and Brooks team up on equines the return on investment has been terrific at +86.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ROCKYSBUCKAROO (ML=8/1), #8 MAGICAL KISSER (ML=8/1), #3 LATE ACT JONES (ML=8/1),

          ROCKYSBUCKAROO - Not probable that the speed rating he recorded on August 1st will be good enough in this race. MAGICAL KISSER - 8/1 is not worth it for any entrant in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event recently. LATE ACT JONES - Notched a disappointing speed rating last time around the track in a $6,250 Claiming race on Aug 4th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 MIKADO is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,7,12]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

          SUPER HIGH-5 WAGERS:
          Skip
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #35
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 61

            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JUNE 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 3 LBS.

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 3 AMORCITO 4/1
            # 6 RAINE OR SHINE 3/1
            # 4 TIMELESS SHRUG 5/2
            AMORCITO looks very good to best this field. Gutierrez is trying to win with this entrant by bringing her back so soon. RAINE OR SHINE - Has competitive speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this event. Is a contender - given the 53 speed rating from her most recent race. TIMELESS SHRUG - She has respectable class ratings, averaging 66, and has to be given consideration in this race.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #36
              Jimmy Boyd

              Aug 19 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
              MLB | Nationals vs Pirates
              Play on: Pirates +118 at 1BetVegas

              1* Free MLB Pick on Pittsburgh Pirates +118
              I think it's worth a shot here to back the Pirates at home against the Nationals. It's been a struggle to say the least for Pittsburgh after the All-Star break. However, I think they are motivated to play spoiler against a team like Washington that's fighting for a playoff spot.
              I also think this team has to be a little rejuvenated after the interactions with the kids in yesterday's game against the Cubs at the Little League World Series. At the same time, this is not an easy spot for the Nationals. Washington is off a crazy series against the Brewers. Really easy for them to not take the start of this series seriously, especially with how bad the Pirates have been.
              The numbers aren't great for starter Trevor Williams, but the end result are hard to ignore. Pittsburgh has won 7 of Williams last 10 home starts. He's also better on longer rest with a 9-3 mark in his last 12 when on 5 days of rest. Take Pittsburgh!
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #37
                Mike Williams

                Aug 19 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
                MLB | Nationals vs Pirates
                Play on: Pirates +115 at YouWager

                1* on Pirates +115
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #38
                  Mike Lundin

                  Aug 19 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
                  MLB | WAS vs PIT
                  Play on: OVER 9½ -111

                  MIKE LUNDIN'S NATIONALS @ PIRATES FREE PICK
                  The red hot Washington Nationals have won nine of their last 12 games, with the last two seeing a combined 53 runs scored! They won the finale of a three-game series against the Brewers 16-8 on Sunday and will most likely need to stay productive at the plate to take this one against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
                  Right-hander Joe Ross (3-3, 5.91 ERA) will take the ball for the Nats. He has posted an impressive 0.50 ERA over his last three starts, but the 26-year-old is the kind of pitcher that can blow up at just about any time. Note that Ross entered the month with a 9.85 ERA before hitting a hot streak ...
                  As for Pirates' starter Trevor Williams (5-5, 5.25 ERA), he was tagged with five runs on seven hits and five walks in five innings against the Angels in a contest the Pirates still won 10-7. Williams has surrendered 14 runs over his last three starts and he owns an ugly 6.11 ERA in eight starts home at PNC Park on the season.
                  Over is 6-0 in Williams' last 6 home starts. Over is 13-2-1 in Pirates last 16 Monday games.
                  Free pick on OVER.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #39
                    Hunter Price

                    Aug 19 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
                    MLB | Royals vs Orioles
                    Play on: Orioles -123 at YouWager

                    1* Free Pick on Orioles -123
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #40
                      Brandon Lee

                      Aug 19 '19, 7:10 PM in 8h
                      MLB | Padres vs Reds
                      Play on: Reds -158 at betonline

                      10* FREE MLB PICK (Reds -158)
                      I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati getting a win at home against the Padres. I like Reds' starter Trevor Bauer and I'm not concerned with his ugly outing at Washington. That's a really good lineup. Padres offense has been pretty average and right now are without arguably their best hitter in Tatis Jr. Even if Bauer struggles, Cincinnati's offense should score enough for the win. San Diego's Eric Lauer has a 6.20 ERA in 11 road starts and the Padres are a good team to fade to open a series. San Diego has lost 10 of their last 13 series openers. Give me the Reds -158!
                      I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati getting a win at home against the Padres. I like Reds' starter Trevor Bauer and I'm not concerned with his ugly outing at Washington. That's a really good lineup. Padres offense has been pretty average and right now are without arguably their best hitter in Tatis Jr. Even if Bauer struggles, Cincinnati's offense should score enough for the win. San Diego's Eric Lauer has a 6.20 ERA in 11 road starts and the Padres are a good team to fade to open a series. San Diego has lost 10 of their last 13 series openers. Give me the Reds -158!
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #41
                        Cole Faxon

                        Aug 19 '19, 7:10 PM in 8h
                        MLB | Mariners vs Rays
                        Play on: Rays -166 at GTBets

                        FREE PLAY on Rays -166
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #42
                          Rob Vinciletti

                          Aug 19 '19, 7:10 PM in 8h
                          MLB | Mariners vs Rays
                          Play on: Rays -183 at 5Dimes

                          The MLB Comp Play is on Tampa Bay at 7:10 eastern. Rays a big favorite here but they fit a system that has won all 9 times since 2004. We are playing on home teams off a home game where they scored 5 or more runs and the total was 8 or less, vs an opponent off a road dog win in a game where the total was 10 or higher. Tampa has won 10 of 13 on Mondays. Seattle has lost 26 of 34 as a dog of 150 or higher and all 6 road games where the total was 8 or 8.5. The Mariners have dropped 16 of 20 vs winning teams. Mckay should pitch well against this lineup and Gonzales for Seattle has lost his last 4 on the road. Tame Tampa Bay. RV- Golden Contender Sports
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #43
                            Bobby Conn

                            Aug 19 '19, 8:05 PM in 9h
                            MLB | Angels vs Rangers
                            Play on: Angels -110 at 5Dimes

                            1* Free Play on Angels -110
                            Although the Angels (62-64) and Rangers (60-64) are separated by just two wins, these clubs are currently trending in opposite directions. While the Angels have won four of their last five, the Rangers have dropped four in a row and 10 of their last 12.
                            Youth will be featured on the mound this evening as 22-year-old Kolby Allard (1-0, 4.50 ERA) starts for the Rangers against the 26-year-old Dillon Peters (3-1, 3.38 ERA) for the Angels.
                            In his last outing, the left-handed Allard allowed three walks, four hits, and three runs in 5 2/3 innings against Toronto.
                            Peters, another lefty, joined the Los Angeles rotation in late July. In five games since then, Peters has posted a 3.14 ERA. His last outing ended in a victory over the Pirates after allowing just two runs over six innings.
                            So far, Mike Trout has zero at-bats against Allard. That will change today, and could be a scary sight for the Rangers starter. In his last 15 games, Trout is batting .320 with six home runs. On the season, Trout is batting .298 with 41 homers and 96 RBIs.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #44
                              Kenny Walker

                              Aug 19 '19, 8:10 PM in 9h
                              MLB | White Sox vs Twins
                              Play on: White Sox +182 at 5Dimes

                              Free Pick on White Sox
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #45
                                1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Twins -1.5
                                2. Gameday Network MLB – Reds under 9
                                3. VegasSI.com MLB – Astros -1.5
                                4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL – Broncos -1
                                5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Pirates +105
                                6. Point Spread Report NFL – Broncos over 40.5
                                7. Lou Panelli MLB – Cardinals -120
                                8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Reds -160
                                9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Twins -1.5
                                10. William E. Stockton NFL – Broncos -1
                                11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Royals over 10.5
                                12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Astros -1.5
                                13. SCORE NFL – Broncos over 40.5
                                14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Royals +125
                                15. Tony Campone MLB – Pirates under 9.5
                                16. Chicago Sports Group NFL – Broncos -1
                                17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Rays -175
                                18. VIP Action MLB – Rangers +105
                                19. South Beach Sports NFL – Broncos -1
                                20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Royals +125
                                21. NY Players Club MLB – Cardinals -120
                                22. Fred Callahan NFL – Broncos over 40.5
                                23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Reds -160
                                24. Michigan Sports MLB – Twins -1.5
                                25. National Consensus Report MLB – Astros -1.5
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