If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Saturday the NFL Preseason Game of the Month headlines a powerful NFL Card and our Executive Level MLB TIER 1 Play leads the Bases card. MLB Comp Play below
The MLB Comp Play is on the Over in the Detroit at Tampa game at 6:10 eastern. We have a nice 87% totals system that plays over for Home favorites of 200 or more like Tampa that lost by 2 or more runs as a 200+ favorite last out and the opponent is off a road dog win and scored 2 or less in the win.. The Tigers have gone over in 4 of 5 vs leftys and the Rays are 7 of 7 over in game 2 of a series. The Tigers are 5 of 6 over on the road with Zimmerman and have gone over 5 straight when he has 12+ days of rest in between starts. Yarborough for the Rays has a 5.68 home Era so we will back the over 8.5 runs here. On Saturday we have a powerful NFL Card ld by the Game of the Month. In Bases we have our MLB TIER 1 Executive Level masterpiece play headlining the MLB Card. on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free pick. Play Detroit and Tampa over the total. RV- GC Sports
MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #905-906
Padres/Phillies Over 9.5 runs
Lamet/Eflin
The Phillies bats have been on fire ever since ex manager Charlie Manuel came back to be the hitting coach. I would like to ride their winning streak, but I believe the Padres have the pitching edge today. Zach Eflin has been brutal as of late and this Padres lineup has the talent to make him pay. I believe the winner of this game will be up around double digit runs themselves. Both teams should have no problem scoring runs tonight. Take the Over.
Game:(927) Chicago White Sox at (928) Los Angeles Angels Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 9:07 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 3% Play: Total Over 10.0 (-108)
Game: (901) Chicago Cubs at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 1:35 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 4% Play: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+107)
Game: (921) Detroit Tigers at (922) Tampa Bay Rays Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 6:10 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Westgate Play Rating: 4% Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-150)
Game: (915) Cleveland Indians at (916) New York Yankees Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 1:05 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle Play Rating: 3% Play: 1H Cleveland Indians 1.0 (-123)
Plesac v. Paxton
This is just straight value. We all know how this series has gone with the Tribe jumping ALLL over the Yanks in the top of the 1st in game 1 and it being over before they came to the plate....then losing a pitcher's duel last night to Tanaka. Enter James Paxton to the bump to take the series lead...however he will be up there sans Judge and Sanchez and Ford...eliminating much of the power in the order against young starter Plesac, who has looked like a guy meant for the Indians rotation for years to come!
That being said...Paxton has his worst xFIP against RH at home at 4.59 and he walks too many in such a spot. Jason Kipnis will be the only hitter he faces with thr lefty lefty advantage for at least the first couple times through the order...and you are telling me without the sluggers and with Puig in at clean up raking against LHP amongst others...that I can get plus runs for the first 5 innings and I'd probably say the Tribe should be the first 5 favorite!
Holy hell sign us up....quick!
Game: (901) Chicago Cubs at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 1:35 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: William Hill Play Rating: 4% Play: Chicago Cubs -140
Lester v. Brault
The Cubbies and NOT playing in Wrigley is a grim grim affair since 7/1- in fact all told they are 7-16 SU and 5-10 as a road favorite since July began! This includes 2 very VERY ugly walk off losses to and the Philly series and start their series after traveling all the way across Pennsylvania and settling in against cellar dwelling Pittsburgh.
The.Cubbies ain't losing this game. I don't know how I feel about the series and tomorrow's game...but today...NO WAY
Despite the bullpen woes the starting pitching has been great and Lester is the stopper needed for this nasty walk off duo they're staring back at today. Lester is also 8-0 last 8 when his bullpen has had 2 consecutive rough outings.
Also, during this same nasty stretch of road games...their offense has been near the top facing LHP on the road...with a wOBA north of .400 and .308 ISO with 147 wRC+ just since 8/1.
I ain't worried about Lester....he is clutch and his ability to step up in a big spot isn't questioned....even getting Josh Bell from.the right side of the plate...which makes him as ordinary as any hitter in the lineup.
However, Brault on the bump for the Buccos isn't who you'd want in this spot. He is worse metrically across the board at Home of all things....allows a 6.59 xFIP to right handers at home (would be league worst by a point expanded out) and walks as many as he Ks. The.Cubs have excelled at just this during this same stretch...drawing 10+% BBrate and less than 15% K rate.
This price is so solid due to the bad pub and nasty walk off losses....I make this to be -180 at BEST for our side...so thank God they have had those chokes...should be a breeze and hopefully Lester can get to the point the beleaguered pen needs less than 6 outs!
Comment